MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 30, 5:11 AM CST ...New AVIATION...418
FXUS64 KMOB 301111
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
511 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 511 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024
VFR conditions prevail through tonight for the region. Winds
remain light out of the northeast this morning around 5 knots,
becoming light and variable this evening into tonight. MM/25
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 348 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024/
..New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday Night)
Issued at 348 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024
Cold and dry remains the story for the near term period. Surface
high pressure settles into the forecast area through Sunday.
Temperatures will remain quite cold with overnight lows in the
middle to upper 20's inland and lower 30's nearer the coast,
coldest tonight. A Freeze Warning remains in effect through this
morning with much of the forecast area already seeing temperatures
near or below freezing. Have opted to issue another Freeze Watch
for tonight into Sunday morning for all of the forecast area. The
expectation is for middle to upper 20's temperatures to reach all
the way into interior coastal counties, with lower 30's down to
our coastal zones which have yet to see a freeze this season. This
is thanks to the aforementioned surface high helping to calm winds
and keep our skies clear through the night to maximize radiational
cooling. The only locations that will likely escape freezing
temperatures would be on the immediate coast/beaches where middle
30's are expected. Overall highs stay near normal with middle to
upper 50's today and lower to middle 60's Sunday. A low risk of
rip currents continues through Sunday night. MM/25
LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 348 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024
Northwesterly flow aloft continues through much of the period as
a semi-permanent longwave trough remains over the eastern CONUS.
An embedded shortwave is expected to round the base of this trough
on Monday. This will allow for a reinforcing cold front to push
through the area, bringing another shot of cold, dry air to the
region. Highs on Monday and Tuesday will only top out in the 50s
across the area. Lows will plummet into the upper 20s inland to
the mid 30s along the immediate coast. By Wednesday, surface high
pressure over the central US pushes to the east of the local area,
allowing for winds to shift from northerly to southerly. This
will help to modify the airmass, as warm air advection commences.
Temperatures will begin their warming trend on Wednesday, with
highs by Thursday ranging from the low 60s in our northern
counties to the low 70s along the coast. Lows by Thursday night
will range from the upper 40s north to the upper 50s south. In
addition to the warming trend, rain chances will return by
Thursday and Friday as moisture returns to the local area,
shortwave energy passes overhead, and the next cold front begins
to approach the area. /96
MARINE...
Issued at 348 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024
A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 9am this morning
for Mobile Bay, MS Sound, and the Gulf waters. A Small Craft
Advisory remains in effect for the Pensacola Bay System through
6am. Strong offshore flow early this morning relaxes through the
day to a moderate northeasterly flow by this afternoon and light
northerly flow by tonight. Seas over the Gulf waters will be 3-7
ft this morning, highest beyond 20nm. Seas diminish through the
day into tonight. A light to at times moderate offshore flow will
persist through early next week with the strongest winds being
Sunday night and Monday night over the Gulf waters around 15
knots. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 57 31 64 33 59 32 56 34 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 58 37 63 38 59 37 57 38 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Destin 59 40 62 42 60 40 58 40 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 58 28 63 31 56 28 53 27 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 57 28 63 29 56 28 54 28 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Camden 56 28 61 30 53 26 51 26 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crestview 59 26 63 30 59 29 56 27 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Freeze Warning until 7 AM CST this morning for ALZ051>060-261-
262.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for
ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...Freeze Warning until 7 AM CST this morning for FLZ201-203-205.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for
FLZ201>206.
MS...Freeze Warning until 7 AM CST this morning for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Sunday morning for MSZ067-
075-076-078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ630>632-
650-655-670-675.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for
GMZ634.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 30, 5:11 AM CST ...New AVIATION...---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
