[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 28, 0:59z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 28, 0:59z for portions of PBZ

388 
WUUS01 KWNS 280100
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT MON MAY 27 2024

VALID TIME 280100Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   32929940 33219957 33760003 34080018 34360003 33849752
       33409660 32339536 31489557 29519721 28569852 26099849
       26359927 27640005 27950031 30219923 30989891 31789879
       32929940
0.02   45407358 44067318 43467307 42727300 42017316 40427388
       39707409 38917426 37697493 36797555 35687531 35157541
       34837628 34537717 32598019 31918092 31008160 30038480
       30338879 31138862 32618595 33348449 33938329 34957939
       37887777 39087762 39847754 41217724 42897671 45577445
0.05   38507745 39757666 41297596 41867483 41737396 40267458
       38367565 37787578 38507745
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29440207 30320103 31160008 33130021 33900097 34330140
       34880152 35420144 36210074 36629980 35959771 34669604
       32539424 31309056 31588826 32698614 33628481 34878230
       36257975 38557840 45417542 99999999 45237371 44297318
       42607292 41257246 40217144 99999999 30878098 29588337
       29548671 29608954 29769322 28679797 28089836 25749793
0.05   40469198 41409125 41998964 41178831 40168806 39768889
       39639044 39599108 39809150 40469198
0.15   29140159 29570100 31159909 31889856 32959901 33569834
       33489747 33249680 32359538 31489539 30509694 28699864
       25699869
0.15   31248823 31888649 32388528 32908326 33368105 33817960
       33657929 33197929 31408167 30668233 30528524 30528822
       30718823 31248823
0.15   37177433 37477497 38457735 39367685 41207599 41837487
       41597391 40977372 38957229
SIGN   30519717 31209862 31879855 32959900 33569833 33479746
       33249680 32349538 31519545 30519717
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   39738815 39508892 39539010 39529122 39949186 40389219
       41449128 42238922 41778828 41208793 40218785 39738815
0.05   46047416 44347315 42417291 41317249 39917105 99999999
       30848101 29558332 29568686 29628990 29779154 29879333
       28659800 28009836 25669783 99999999 29250214 30410083
       31309997 33079973 34260042 34790074 35129972 35079801
       33969618 32519417 31429079 31778800 32648635 33538496
       34028415 34858243 37258106 39287984 40457928 42167895
       44277675
0.15   31288828 32388545 33178231 33438113 33927967 33677928
       33097923 31438168 30698232 30518511 30498745 30488834
       31288828
0.15   34727519 35497598 37037646 38107663 38487752 39767674
       41307602 41917483 41717388 40927367 39157233
0.15   29140164 31109919 31879860 32989899 33549833 33479752
       33189674 32419545 31489551 30769666 28539869 25639859
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   34727519 35497598 37037646 38107663 38487752 39767674
       41307602 41917483 41717388 40927367 40027299
SLGT   31288828 32388545 33438113 33927967 33677928 33097923
       31408167 30668233 30518511 30488834 31288828
SLGT   29210155 31109919 31879860 32959901 33569834 33489747
       33249680 32359538 31489539 30569684 28589864 25759859
MRGL   41449128 42238922 41778828 41208793 40218785 39738815
       39508892 39529122 39949186 40389219 41449128
MRGL   29440207 31180008 33130021 34330140 34880152 35420144
       36210074 36629980 35959771 34669604 32519417 31429079
       31778800 32648635 34028415 34858243 39287984 40457928
       42167895 44277675 99999999 45407358 44727338 44347315
       42607292 41307248 40457161 99999999 30848101 29558332
       29558606 99999999 29578812 29769322 28669798 28029835
       25669783
TSTM   46487238 45127154 44777062 44556989 44326893 43796667
       99999999 30328072 28988207 27808238 27118298 99999999
       25978238 26848113 28327970 99999999 25447846 24977980
       25118181 25118255 99999999 29000267 31660065 32580056
       33300106 34700242 36140272 37390214 39250070 39309847
       38129564 37619435 36629347 35529359 34969403 34469442
       34089448 33679437 33339400 33109369 32569223 32509189
       32029005 31938899 32238776 32898669 33918676 34688814
       36589115 38059193 40619329 42969633 45000099 47240524
       50310958 99999999 49809790 48259718 47899664 47529570
       47199474 47249278 46939162 46679086 45518898 43658617
       41598551 40468600 38698705 37458675 38538259 41008024
       42417958 44547925 99999999 38612029 39192085 39362168
       39222224 39672300 40632350 42402290 44362250 47621863
       47901729 47451662 45131797 44271910 43071993 42152008
       41311997 40422005 39701917 38131817 36621816 36401872
       38022012 38612029

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
HSE 30 NW HSE 15 WNW ORF 15 SW NHK 35 SW DCA 30 S CXY 15 W AVP 15 N
MSV POU 20 NNE JFK 55 S ISP.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N
MOB 15 S AUO 15 W OGB 20 S FLO 20 W CRE 45 SSW CRE 20 NW SSI 40 WNW
JAX 25 S MAI 15 SSW MOB 40 N MOB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW
DRT 50 SSW BWD 20 ENE BWD 55 NE ABI 30 SSE SPS 45 N FTW 25 N DAL TYR
40 WNW LFK 30 W CLL 35 ENE COT 35 SW MFE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
CID RFD 35 NE MMO 40 ESE MMO 15 W DNV 20 NNE MTO 25 S DEC 30 S UIN
35 W UIN 25 NE IRK 40 SE CID.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE
6R6 30 ESE SJT 60 NNW ABI 20 ENE PVW 25 SSE AMA 20 S BGD 50 NE BGD
65 W AVK 30 SSE END 20 SW MLC 20 WNW SHV 25 NW MCB 60 SE MEI 25 N
MGM 30 NNE ATL 10 WSW GSP 25 S MGW 15 NNE LBE 15 E JHW 40 WNW ART
...CONT... 70 NNW BTV 20 NNW BTV 10 S BTV 25 ENE PSF 20 W GON 50 S
BID ...CONT... 35 SE SSI 15 WSW CTY 50 SSW PFN ...CONT... 75 S MOB
25 S LCH 25 NW NIR 30 NW ALI 30 SW BRO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 N EFK 35 ENE EFK
30 ENE BML 15 NNW AUG 30 WSW BHB 80 SSE EPM ...CONT... 45 ENE SGJ 15
SSE OCF 20 ESE PIE 35 SW SRQ ...CONT... 40 WSW APF 50 ENE FMY 60 ENE
MLB ...CONT... 115 ESE MIA 65 SSE MIA 40 N EYW 60 NW EYW ...CONT...
75 SSW 6R6 20 NNW SJT 50 WNW ABI 50 ESE LBB 55 SW AMA 15 NW DHT 25
ENE SPD 45 W HLC 35 NNE RSL 30 NNW CNU 35 NNE JLN 30 SE UMN 35 WNW
RUE 30 SE FSM 30 N DEQ DEQ 25 NW TXK 10 S TXK 30 SE TXK 10 WNW MLU
10 E MLU 55 NW PIB 30 SSW MEI 45 W SEM 40 NNE SEM 25 N BHM 30 W MSL
35 NNW ARG 10 WSW VIH 35 E LWD 40 N SUX 45 SW MBG 20 WNW GDV 120 N
HVR ...CONT... 85 NNW HCO 20 N GFK 25 WSW TVF 35 W BJI 25 SSE BJI 10
SSE HIB 20 SSW BFW 10 NNE ASX 25 ESE RHI 35 N MKG 40 E SBN 35 WNW
MIE 40 SW BMG 30 SE OWB 10 NNW HTS 30 SE YNG 25 NW JHW 115 NNW BUF
...CONT... 25 SW TVL 50 WNW TVL 60 N SAC 50 E UKI 40 NNE UKI 35 ESE
EKA MFR 40 ENE EUG 45 ENE EPH 20 NNE GEG 45 ESE GEG 20 NNW BKE 45 N
BNO 60 SW BNO 15 E LKV 35 ESE AAT 65 NNW RNO 25 WNW NFL 55 NNE BIH
50 SSE BIH 60 ESE FAT 55 NNE MER 25 SW TVL.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 28, 0:59z for portions of PBZ

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