ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 9:25 PM EDT476
FXUS61 KILN 020125
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
925 PM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure over the region will move east on Sunday and a
warm front will be located to the north overnight. The warm air
will continue to be brought in on southerly winds through early
Tuesday. A weakening cold front is expected to cross the area
later Tuesday and Tuesday evening, bringing the next likely
round of rainfall to the area.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
There are a few clouds that remain across extreme northern
portions of the region. In addition some high clouds will also
move across the region at times. Overall however, expect mostly
clear skies and in some places clear skies overnight. Winds will
be light. A good radiational cooling night will allow for
temperatures to drop off into the 30s. There will be the
potential for some fog in the river valleys and across some of
the northern and northeastern portions of the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Aside from some cirrus moving downstream and east across the
area, sky cover will remain clear with a light easterly wind due
to the high pressure system centered over MI and moving slowly
east.
High temperatures will be between 60 in the north and 65 in the
south, with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Some cooler
readings are likely in central Ohio for low lying areas and
large portions of the Hocking Hills.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The first cyclone in a series of low pressure systems in the Plains
next week will lift a warm front through the Ohio Valley on Sunday.
Winds veer from the east to more of a southerly component by the
afternoon. A noticeable increase in moisture is expected by the
evening as dew points rise back into the 50s. A fair bit of clouds
are forecast, but most locations likely remain dry. Highs reach to
near 70.
Southerly flow will persist Sunday night through Tuesday before the
next low in the Plains brings a cold front into the Ohio Valley on
Tuesday evening. Forecast highs on Monday and Tuesday are likely to
approach the upper 70s along with dew points reaching up near 60. If
slightly warmer temperatures materialize, forecast highs could be
challenged both Monday and Tuesday. A chance for rain does exist
Sunday night through Tuesday morning northwest of I-71. Rain chances
will then expand across the rest of the area Tuesday evening as a
cold front drops through the area. The best rain chances still
remain north of I-70 later on Tuesday where upper level forcing is
strongest.
High pressure builds in across the Ohio Valley on Wednesday trough
the end of the work week. More seasonable conditions are expected
along with mostly dry conditions.
&&
.AVIATION /02Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mostly clear skies will generally be in place overnight with
some passing high clouds at times. Some MVFR river valley fog
will be possible at KLUK later in the overnight hours, otherwise
expect VFR conditions. A few cu cannot be ruled out on Saturday.
OUTLOOK...Wind gusts around 25 kt possible Monday. Wind gusts at or
above 30 kt likely on Tuesday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Franks
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...Franks
LONG TERM...Campbell
AVIATION...
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 9:25 PM EDT---------------
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