The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 24, 12:55z for portions of ILN384
WUUS01 KWNS 241256
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2024
VALID TIME 241300Z - 251200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 31589553 30849663 30009733 29859809 30109871 30579921
31149912 32039871 35119666 36069577 36629500 37659357
38689280 39919231 41419099 42239113 43189105 43419081
44178944 44068764 42288770 41398681 40308710 39698761
38888864 37828956 37008974 36568942 36008867 34608803
34178814 33858847 33728896 33319041 32229339 31589553
0.05 42768777 42308779 41738749 40518783 39938826 39358897
39319031 39469095 40179164 41469088 42279105 42629051
42648900 42768777
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 31907959 32548172 32948586 32749055 32059307 31229477
29559683 29509813 29629866 30219924 30719946 31869907
37409559 38189520 39109459 40339339 41199158 41799126
43099138 43899124 44558966 44498811 43548722 42838615
42688584 42028532 41148504 40528534 39348570 37258652
36468666 36138641 35828533 35628362 35498156 35127925
35337808 35457679 35107500
0.15 36439579 38519334 40559252 41149144 41819111 43079125
43449078 43708936 43338771 41658745 40078747 39068799
38109004 37689029 36969016 36548973 36278925 35908832
35108776 34358790 33648840 33378985 33259077 32649346
31959525 30839686 30249721 29979760 29829818 30009867
30319910 30819917 31189915 31999879 36439579
0.30 35329436 34929441 33639544 30929747 30979856 31369871
32229818 35669581 35689536 35329436
SIGN 30299723 30029768 29909817 29999861 30399907 31209907
32009861 33249777 34729669 36519555 37129475 37629399
37809299 37309187 36189137 35149082 33949098 33259211
33009322 31999556 30929685 30299723
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 31828051 32288139 32458273 32598697 32588939 32479077
32049306 31379532 30559600 29789693 29639815 30119904
30509915 31269909 32709825 34819687 35789592 37579431
38769361 39889360 40339340 41179159 41829118 43119143
43889124 44548970 44508816 43528489 41178377 39328442
38128503 37238513 36468447 35578263 35468110 35327940
35597684 35137513
0.15 33079045 33019195 32409414 31469540 29899693 29839817
29999867 30789874 31349872 35659581 37909277 38749225
40559251 41149147 41809110 43109125 43449078 43698930
43348773 42708585 42028529 41168504 39478579 38188737
36798819 36208806 34898688 34508685 33918717 33518769
33079045
0.30 42448895 41388867 40838916 40989108 41499076 42279098
42448895
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 32219818 35669579 35689535 35339436 34919442 30919748
30979857 31359872 32219818
ENH 40989108 41479078 42269099 42448896 41398867 40838916
40989108
SLGT 31189915 31999879 36439579 38519334 40569254 41139148
41799113 43079127 43449080 43698933 43338771 42708585
42028529 41168504 39478579 38188737 36798819 36208806
34898688 34508685 33918717 33518769 33079045 33029180
32679331 32379415 31459542 29879693 29829818 30009867
30319910 30819917 31189915
MRGL 31818049 32288139 32458273 32598697 32588939 32479077
32049306 31249473 29559683 29509813 29629866 30219924
30719946 31869907 32869847 37409559 39109459 40319338
41179158 41799125 43069140 43899127 44548968 44488813
43528489 41178377 39328442 38128503 37238513 36468447
35578263 35327940 35597684 35137513
TSTM 38121097 37641202 37181453 37781585 39151480 39741303
39931064 39210993 38671021 38121097
TSTM 42518112 41058098 40278029 39857753 39807366 99999999
29848067 30048155 31258209 31398290 30508408 29828523
29628605 29778745 31798945 31859105 31469352 31239422
29839580 29409634 29069786 29029870 29499936 29899951
30669960 32009913 34159779 35399778 36409654 37399584
38849555 41209418 43259439 44379745 45370213 45380528
46100751 46650913 46691066 46031180 45401193 44881305
44931562 44291725 43901852 44411953 45401899 46911651
47831629 48351735 48541811 49281889
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SEP 25
W MKO MKO FSM 15 SE RKR 15 SSW TPL 60 SSE BWD 35 SSE BWD SEP.
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N
BRL 15 W MLI 15 SW DBQ 15 SSE JVL MMO 30 NNW BMI 15 N BRL.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW
BWD 15 NE BWD 15 NNE TUL 20 SE SZL 30 N IRK 30 NW BRL 30 E CID 55
NNW DBQ 35 WNW LNR 40 N MSN 30 NNE MKE 20 SW GRR 20 SE AZO 15 NNE
FWA 30 ESE IND 15 NE EVV 35 ESE PAH 45 SW CKV 20 NNW HSV 10 SSW HSV
35 NW BHM 20 NNW TCL 35 SW GWO 35 NNE MLU 35 ENE SHV 20 WSW SHV 40
WNW LFK 55 ESE AUS 10 NW BAZ 35 NNW SAT 40 ESE JCT 40 ENE JCT 45 SSW
BWD.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
SAV 15 NW SAV 30 NW VDI 15 N SEM 40 WNW MEI 65 NNE HEZ 20 N IER LFK
50 N VCT 15 SSW BAZ 15 WNW SAT 40 SE JCT 25 NE JCT 10 WNW BWD 25 WNW
MWL 20 SSW CNU MKC 35 SE LWD 35 NW BRL 25 ESE CID 55 NW DBQ LSE 15 S
CWA GRB 40 W MBS 10 NNW FDY 15 N LUK 25 WNW LEX 60 W LOZ 50 SSW LOZ
10 NNW AVL SOP 40 NNE EWN 30 ESE HSE.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW 4HV 10 ESE BCE
30 S P38 70 ESE TPH 10 S ELY 30 S DPG 25 NNE PUC 20 NE U28 25 S U28
25 SW 4HV.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW ERI 20 SW YNG
15 SSW PIT 15 NE HGR 40 ESE NEL ...CONT... 40 ESE SGJ 15 WNW SGJ 20
E AYS 30 WNW AYS 15 ENE TLH 15 WNW AAF 45 SSW PFN 50 SSW PNS 25 NNW
PIB 20 NE HEZ 30 SW IER 30 E LFK 35 WNW HOU 45 N PSX 45 SSE BAZ 35
SE HDO 15 NW HDO 40 NNW HDO 15 NE JCT 15 NW BWD 45 ENE SPS 10 W OKC
40 SE PNC 30 SW CNU 15 SSE TOP 35 SW DSM 30 S FRM 30 W BKX 40 S Y22
4BQ 55 ENE BIL 30 SSE LWT 45 WNW 3HT 35 E BTM 30 ENE DLN 35 SW DLN
25 E MYL 45 SE BKE 30 NE BNO 65 NNW BNO 20 SSW PDT 30 ENE PUW 45 WNW
3TH 50 N GEG 65 E OMK 65 NNE OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 24, 12:55z for portions of ILN---------------
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