LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 6:44 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...867
FXUS64 KLIX 152344
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
644 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024
A dry cold front will move through the area tonight overnight into
Wednesday morning. While this won't bring rain, it will be fairly
windy, especially for coastal areas with winds 10-15mph expected
with gusts up to 20-25mph possible. With the dry air, relative
humidities will be fairly low tomorrow as well around 20-25%.
These conditions combined with dry fuel on the ground will cause
critical fire weather conditions tomorrow. A Red Flag Warning will
be in effect tomorrow morning through tomorrow evening.
Relative humidities will remain low through the end of the
workweek, but winds should be gradually improving starting
tomorrow. No rain expected for the short term forecast, but the
temperatures will be wonderful. The high temperatures will be
around 70 degrees tomorrow with lows in the mid 50s tomorrow and
mid 40s on Thursday. So, expect cool and dry weather for the next
few days, but be mindful of cigarettes and try not to park your
car on the grass, etc. MSW
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday night)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024
Thursday through the weekend, conditions will remain dry and mild.
High temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s with lows in the
low to mid 50s. No rain is expected, looking at the models.
Releative humidities should be improving away from critical levels
this weekend as well. Overall, expect a very nice and cool Fall
weekend! MSW
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 638 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024
Generally VFR conditions for this forecast period. There are some
clouds along the Mississippi coast that could produce brief MVFR
ceilings over the next couple hours before they are forced
offshore. What clouds there are to the north along the front are
generally mid level clouds or higher. The main concern to aviators
will be the strong winds behind the front. North to northeast
winds will potentially cause crosswind issues on east-west
oriented runways, especially at KGPT, KNEW and KMSY, where wind
gusts in excess of 30 knots will be possible, if not likely, late
tonight and Wednesday morning. Winds should gradually subside
toward sunset Wednesday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 223 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024
An approaching dry cold front will bring gusty winds for the
marine areas. Winds 20-30mph are expected with gusts of 40-45mph
tonight through tomorrow morning. A Gale Warning is in effect for
all marine areas from just after midnight through 1PM tomorrow. A
Small Craft advisory is in effect ahead of the front tonight and
as the system starts tapering off during the day tomorrow. Winds
will be primarily northerly to northeasterly tonight through
Thursday morning. Then winds will be mainly easterly to
northeasterly Thursday through the weekend. MSW
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 46 67 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 53 73 42 74 / 0 0 0 0
ASD 51 71 41 72 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 58 70 51 71 / 0 0 0 0
GPT 52 70 44 71 / 0 0 0 0
PQL 51 72 40 74 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for LAZ034>037-
039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM CDT
Wednesday for GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-
572-575-577.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday
for GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
Gale Warning from 3 AM to 3 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ530-532-534-
536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
MS...Red Flag Warning from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for MSZ068>071-
077-080>082.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 3 AM CDT
Wednesday for GMZ532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-
575-577.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Wednesday to 7 AM CDT Thursday
for GMZ532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
Gale Warning from 3 AM to 3 PM CDT Wednesday for GMZ532-534-536-
538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...RW
MARINE...MSW
Source:
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 15, 6:44 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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