ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 2:46 PM EDT590
FXUS61 KILN 091846
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
246 PM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure and a dry airmass will remain in control of the
weather through the end of the week. A few showers will be
possible on Sunday into early next week as a cold front moves
through the region. Much cooler air is expected to settle into
the region early next week, with much below normal temperatures
possible during this stretch.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
High pressure and a dry airmass will lead to another night of
light winds, clear skies and good radiational cooling. Lows
tonight will again be in the upper 30s to mid 40s, with some mid
30s possible in outlying areas. This could lead to some patchy
frost development late tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Mainly clear skies will continue through the short term period.
Low level flow will transition more to the northeast through
Thursday morning and this will allow for some weak CAA to
develop. As a result, temperatures will be a little cooler with
highs on Thursday in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Lows Thursday
night will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure will remain in control of a dry forecast until a cold
front lays out over northern Ohio on Saturday, followed by a low
pressure center. This low will develop over IL and track east
through the southern Great Lakes on Sunday and Sunday night. Some
rain may accompany this low pressure system, generally over the
northern half of the CWA and expected to be light in nature.
In the wake of the low, northerly winds will pull moisture off of
Lakes Michigan and Erie to bring some shower activity close to
northern sections of the CWA. A significant upper low is noted
during this time, but tropical influences in the near term are
likely polluting model mass fields at this time of the forecast.
However it works, after a cool start Thursday night, mild
temperatures will prevail through Saturday night, and then cool off
significantly in the wake of the surface low and associated cold
front. Highs from Monday onwards should be in the 50s, with lows in
the mid 30s.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
High pressure will remain in control through the TAF period.
Outside of some river valley fog late tonight into early
Thursday morning (possibly affecting KLUK), VFR conditions are
expected through Thursday.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...JGL
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 2:46 PM EDT---------------
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