NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Oct 7, 3:00 PM GMT365
WTNT42 KNHC 071441
TCDAT2
Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Discussion Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024
300 PM GMT Mon Oct 07 2024
Satellite imagery and model analyses indicate that Kirk has
completed its transition to an extratropical cyclone. Therefore,
this will be the final NHC advisory. Kirk is expected to remain a
large and powerful extratropical cyclone over the next couple of
days as it moves east-northeastward across the northeastern Atlantic
Ocean toward western Europe. Gradual weakening is forecast, and the
intensity forecast best matches the GFS and ECMWF global models.
Very little change has been made to the previous NHC track forecast.
The track forecast is near the consensus models.
Kirk will be passing north of the Azores over the next 24 hours.
Large breaking waves are likely along portions of the coasts of the
Azores, along with gusty winds. Swells from Kirk may continue to
induce a high rip current risk along portions of the U.S. East
Coast for another day or so. These swells will affect Bermuda,
Atlantic Canada and the Azores for a few more days. Kirk will move
over western Europe by late Wednesday.
Future information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 07/1500Z 41.7N 38.4W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 08/0000Z 43.1N 33.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 08/1200Z 43.5N 25.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 09/0000Z 43.7N 16.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 09/1200Z 45.4N 6.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H 10/0000Z 48.5N 4.5E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 10/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Source:
NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Oct 7, 3:00 PM GMT---------------
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