ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 10:50 AM EDT513
FXUS61 KILN 031450
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1050 AM EDT Thu Oct 3 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the region and allow for dry
weather through the end of the week. Slim precipitation chances
and breezy conditions will return to the region on Sunday as a
cold front moves through the area. In the wake of the cold
front, seasonably cool and dry conditions will settle in for
early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Clear skies and light winds led to fog development across river
valleys - most dense over South Central Ohio and Northeast
Kentucky.
The fog is burning off, leaving mostly clear skies with a few
high level clouds. Surface high pressure will slide off to the
east of the region today, promoting light southerly flow and
temperatures a few degrees warmer than yesterday. This will
allow for highs to top out in the mid to upper 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
A weak system will track through the region tonight into Friday,
providing little more than some brief enhanced cloud cover
Friday afternoon and a wind shift to out of the N for the final
day of the workweek. Suppose that a few sprinkles cannot be
completely ruled out in nrn stretches of the local area, but
expect most (if not all) spots will remain dry through the short
term period.
Aside from additional fog potential again tonight (especially
near/S of the OH Rvr), mainly tranquil conditions are on tap
with temps dipping to around 50 degrees before temps rebound to
the upper 70s to around 80 degrees Friday afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Surface high pressure over the U.P. Friday evening will be north of
Lakes Ontario and Erie by daybreak Saturday. North wind will turn
east-southeast late Saturday, keeping a cool influx of air into the
CWA. Morning lows near 50 will warm to the mid 70s for most of the
region, slightly cooler than Friday. Southerly flow will pick up
overnight, with western CWA only dropping to the mid 50s as opposed
to near 50 for another night in the Scioto River Valley.
Southerly wind will precede a cold front that should cross later in
the day Saturday, letting highs reach to the lower 80s for most
areas, some upper 70s in west central Ohio and the northern
Whitewater Valley as the front will cross these areas first. The
front should be dry for the most part, but some low chances of
showers are prudent to have in the east for late Saturday and into
the evening hours. Passing cloud cover with the frontal passage will
be the exception to generally clear skies in this forecast period.
High pressure will build behind this front and keep a northerly flow
over the region. Above the surface, zonal northwest flow will
prevail through the remainder of the forecast as the surface high
settles over the CWA by daybreak Wednesday and moves southeast on
Thursday.
After the frontal passage Saturday, expect highs to remain from 65-
70 through the remainder of the forecast. Under clear sky cover,
Sunday night will cool into the upper 40s, but then be in the low to
mid 40s onward. Warmest urban areas during this time will be in the
mid 40s, with some upper 30s possible for low-lying and rural
areas.
&&
.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The FG and corresponding LIFR/VLIFR conditions at KLUK will
improve to VFR through 14z, with VFR conditions expected area-
wide thereafter until some areas of FG develop once again past
06z Friday. Aside from a FEW/SCT cirrus expected from time-to-
time through the day, mainly clear skies will prevail today.
Calm winds early this morning will shift toward out of the S
during the daytime, remaining around 5 kts during the day before
subsiding once again by/past 00z, setting the stage for BR/FG
development once again tonight.
OUTLOOK....IFR, or lower, VSBYs are possible tonight into
Friday morning.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KC
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...Franks
AVIATION...KC
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 3, 10:50 AM EDT---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
