Author Topic: [Alert]PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 29, 1:21 PM CDT  (Read 30 times)

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PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 29, 1:21 PM CDT

768 
FXUS63 KPAH 291821
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
121 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Expect potentially another 24-48 hours of more clouds than
  not. Patchy fog is possible late at night during this time.

- Lower 80s returns to the forecast by Tuesday, then a cold
  front's passage cools us into the 70s Wednesday, before more
  80s return to finish the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

With the low pressure cyclone still spinning in the Commonwealth
thru Monday, expect more clouds than not during the next 24-48
hours. If/where breaks occur, esp at night, time/height cross
sections show near saturation at the surface, so low status or
fog can be expected. A spotty shower or even some light drizzle
at times cannot be ruled out.

It takes it a while still for the cyclone to fully depart the
Ohio Valley, but a cold front's passage Tuesday should help do
the trick. We'll be in the 70s til then, briely warm up into the
lower 80s Tuesday, dive back into the 70s behind the front for
Wednesday, then resume our lower 80s to finish out the week.

After Tuesday, we're finished with pops until, at the earliest,
next weekend. High pressure is firmly in control the back half
of the week, then we have to start looking at the Gulf and how
that next potential tropical system may play out...it's still a
little early for that but we'll need to watch closely for any
teleconnected direct or even indirect interactions that could
impact sensible weather parameters up this way.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Restricted bases will be predominant thru this package, even
though there may be some occasional breaks of improvement. If any
such breaks occur tonight, time/height cross sections reveal
the super saturated near surface environ is conducive for low
stratus or fog formation, providing additional restrictions to
flight. The lingering chance of showers may also further in
restricted offerings of CIGS/VSBYS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 29, 1:21 PM CDT

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