PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 4, 2:27 PM CDT580
FXUS63 KPAH 041927
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
227 PM CDT Wed Sep 4 2024
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A brief return to highs around 90 occurs on Thursday before a strong
cold front moves through Friday, accompanied by very limited
rain chances.
- Our coolest airmass since April descends upon the region this
weekend with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s.
- Continued dry next week with a warming trend back above normal
mid to late week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Wed Sep 4 2024
The 500mb disturbance responsible for our clouds and a few
isolated showers will push off to our southeast tonight. A brief
bout of ridging moves in on Thursday helping to boost highs
back to around 90. Meanwhile, to our north a deep trough will be
diving into the Upper Midwest before engulfing the eastern U.S.
this coming weekend. A strong cold front pushes through our
area on Friday. Unfortunately guidance suggests very limited
spatial coverage of rain, with very little QPF anticipated.
Robust cold air advection this weekend will lead to the coolest
airmass since April across the Heartland. Highs will only reach the
low to mid 70s with lows falling into the 40s in most locations
Saturday and Sunday nights. Humidity levels will also be quite low,
likely down around 25-30 percent on Sunday and around 20-25 percent
by Monday. Dry fuels and low RHs will lead to elevated fire weather
concerns by Sunday and Monday, although winds will be rather light.
Could see some places experience a 35-40 degree diurnal range by
Monday due to the dry airmass.
Drought conditions likely will be intensifying across the region as
continued dry weather is anticipated through next week. The upper
trough responsible for the weekend cool down will lift
northeast with increasing upper level heights early in the week.
Eventually 500mb ridging sets up over the middle of the country
mid to late next week leading to well above normal
temperatures. Highs well into the 80s again by Tuesday-Wednesday
and likely pushing around 90 by later in the week. A reminder
that summer's heat isn't done with us yet despite the nice
crisp weekend ahead of us.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed Sep 4 2024
Lingering low VFR and even at times MVFR cigs across mainly
southeast MO and southern IL will lift to mid cloud through the
afternoon and eventually scatter out by evening. Primarily SKC
expected rest of the period. Winds out of the SSE today around
5-8 kts will become nearly calm tonight and light southerly
tomorrow.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...SP
AVIATION...SP
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 4, 2:27 PM CDT---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
