MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 27, 1:29 PM CDT ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...396
FXUS64 KMOB 271829
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
129 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Tue Aug 27 2024
An upper ridge will continue across the area through the period,
while a surface ridge slips southward from the Mid-Atlantic states
to the Southeast states. This deep layer ridging will allow both
high and low temperatures to remain about 3 to 7 degrees above
normal most areas. Made slight upward adjustments to the NBM for
the high temperatures today and Wednesday to account for the trend
the past couple of days. While most convection across the area
will be suppressed during the late night and early morning hours,
we should see enough afternoon instability for scattered showers
and storms to develop across the southern half of the area where
precipitable water (PWAT) values climb above two inches. The
northern half of the area will remain mostly dry and hot as a
drier airmass remains. PWAT values climb above two inches across
much of the area on by midweek, so we are expecting scattered
showers and storms to develop area- wide Wednesday afternoon, and
may linger through mid-evening. Highs today and Wednesday will
reach the mid 90s most locations (low 90s at the beaches) with
heat indices between 100-106 degrees. Lows tonight and Wednesday
night should range from 72 to 75 degrees inland, and from 75 to 80
degrees closer to the coast. The risk of rip currents looks to
remain low for the next several days. /22
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 75 93 74 93 74 92 73 92 / 20 50 20 50 20 50 20 50
Pensacola 78 92 78 92 78 91 77 92 / 30 50 20 50 20 50 20 50
Destin 78 92 78 91 78 91 78 91 / 30 40 20 40 20 40 20 40
Evergreen 72 96 72 95 71 95 71 94 / 20 40 20 20 0 30 20 30
Waynesboro 73 96 72 95 71 94 71 94 / 10 50 20 40 20 40 20 40
Camden 72 95 72 94 72 93 72 93 / 0 40 20 20 0 30 10 30
Crestview 73 95 72 94 73 94 73 94 / 30 50 20 40 10 40 20 40
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 27, 1:29 PM CDT ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...---------------
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