[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 0:45z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 0:45z for portions of ILN

250 
WUUS01 KWNS 280047
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT TUE AUG 27 2024

VALID TIME 280100Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   41128556 41228742 41648857 42418826 42458730 42118532
       41128556
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45197558 43227601 42117761 40948059 40378260 39238776
       38459185 38249631 38329877 39689926 40709563 41119235
       42009015 43638848 43338564 42348445 42148320 42438217
0.15   41138651 40498761 39239094 39709240 40609149 41498962
       42388846 42538769 42218672 41758622 41138651
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   44967561 43247596 41537784 40778008 39238776 38469182
       38249631 38319878 39689926 40729561 41129230 42019013
       43598859 44278512 44338109
0.15   44497770 43447741 43047763 41697920 41058132 40498755
       39229095 39279270 40059323 40559278 40889087 41548959
       42388847 42538777 42618207
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   44097759 43447741 43057761 41697919 41048133 40508759
       39229097 39269271 40069324 40549280 40869087 41538960
       42388844 42548772 42608211
MRGL   44967561 43247596 41507786 40768008 39238776 38459185
       38249631 38319877 39689926 40729557 41129234 42019013
       43658849 44268510 44318124
TSTM   28270362 30060286 31870081 33729806 34049636 33589512
       32469456 30919440 30489345 30309130 31418877 31868685
       31698506 30948318 29428250 27138177 26378103 26918031
       29078067 29378009 99999999 46117134 44687026 43277074
       42387180 40907561 39678037 38828367 36779018 36439265
       36559455 37049728 36550018 34720262 32730538 30960615
       99999999 31221349 34541209 37670635 40000208 40849908
       41639550 43379090 44728800 45958655 45938529 45558392
       44978160 99999999 49680849 47640971 46581179 46331303
       46211560 47031608 48511485 49801507

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N
ROC 25 NNE ROC ROC 30 WSW BFD 10 NNE CAK 20 N DNV 45 NW STL 40 NW
COU 25 NE CDJ 35 NNW IRK 15 ENE BRL 45 E MLI 35 ESE JVL 15 SSE RAC
35 E MTC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
MSS 10 NE SYR 45 ESE BFD 20 NNE PIT 30 WSW HUF 20 ESE JEF 10 SW EMP
40 S RSL 35 NE HLC 10 WSW SDA OTM 40 SE DBQ 25 S OSH 20 WSW HTL 95
ENE BAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 145 S MRF 40 W 6R6 40
NNW SJT 30 SE SPS DUA 20 E PRX 10 ENE GGG 30 SE LFK 30 NNW LCH 40 E
LFT 35 E PIB 35 NNE GZH 35 NE DHN 15 NNE VLD 20 SW GNV 40 N FMY 50
ENE APF 20 NW PBI 25 ESE DAB 60 ENE DAB ...CONT... 95 NNE EFK 35 NW
AUG 15 NNE PSM 10 NNE ORH 20 NNW ABE 25 W MGW 45 ESE LUK 15 E POF 20
NNW FLP 10 ESE GMJ 25 NNW PNC 55 SE LBL 45 ENE CVS 40 E ALM 60 SSE
ELP ...CONT... 120 SSE YUM 20 ESE PRC 30 WNW ALS 45 SW IML 10 NNW
EAR 25 SSW DNS 35 WNW LNR 20 NNE GRB 30 ENE ESC 35 NW PLN 35 NNW APN
95 ENE OSC ...CONT... 95 NE HVR 40 NNW LWT 10 E HLN 25 SSE 3DU P69
50 SW 3TH 30 WNW GPI 110 NNW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 28, 0:45z for portions of ILN

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