[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 26, 19:58z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 26, 19:58z for portions of PBZ

194 
WUUS01 KWNS 261959
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT MON AUG 26 2024

VALID TIME 262000Z - 271200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   42729975 42850284 43050330 43310341 43780339 44060313
       44310179 44920033 45459933 45939674 46329444 46039240
       45079151 44149191 43449330 42389827 42729975
0.05   42979780 43179949 43609984 44259972 44849880 45439662
       45479543 45259480 44629463 44359464 43809496 43169699
       42979780
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   38227472 38427502 39277541 40317495 41637453 43897505
       45257433 45397406 99999999 45577128 44497038 43476907
0.05   39990264 41080497 41720694 42960797 43470886 43780894
       44290842 45300690 45920549 46040382 46250116 46639932
       47899430 48459247 48359146 48048956 47708882 47418863
       46578784 44868771 43808783 43159016 43059053 42319456
       41219725 40080006 39990264
0.15   47169194 46679046 45139008 43929127 43349353 42489771
       42210022 42380303 42850366 43250466 44080469 44750390
       45290059 45909760 46969325 47169194
0.15   42887263 43037135 42797056 42007065 41317139 41287311
       42177306 42887263
0.30   43050307 43490325 43890315 44680096 45479848 45879670
       46219527 46259393 46219316 45529283 45119269 44539259
       44039322 43699391 42789768 42729825 43050307
SIGN   45579823 45789657 45619495 45039435 44529430 43619452
       43099656 42779763 42819887 42910024 43060307 43370321
       43900314 44640100 45119969 45579823
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36657531 37117701 37637798 37957865 38227881 38677861
       39287933 39987940 40437910 40647873 40517818 39837711
       39737581 40277496 41597454 43827501 45267431 45437415
       99999999 45587125 44517038 43476910
0.05   46358371 43288363 42308399 41638447 41268564 41448763
       42009042 41989241 41729503 41079692 40179829 38729933
       37140066 37010189 37210332 37470413 38090466 38680473
       39320440 40960499 41610715 42860811 43460912 44050898
       45960619 46629934 47909429 48609199
0.15   40397252 40767271 41237311 42787282 43047138 42797056
       40857003
0.15   40830255 41830312 43200624 43670696 44410660 45030505
       45210334 45410065 46869577 47829186 47458988 46868874
       43548521 42818550 42488696 42658980 42669517 41789805
       40000037 39970186 40830255
0.30   43859300 42629827 42770014 42990173 43200222 43680232
       44490061 46269383 46209315 45839181 45139104 44619121
       44109155 43809219 43859300
SIGN   43259447 42539801 42770013 43000262 43270306 43920310
       44440247 44890089 45079906 45659688 45969584 46039555
       46269388 46189302 45839183 45169097 44249139 43809220
       43829282 43259447
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    43890315 44680096 45479848 46219527 46219316 45839181
       45139104 44619121 44109155 43809219 43859300 42629827
       43050307 43490325 43890315
SLGT   40397252 40767271 41237311 42177306 42477288 42787282
       42887263 43047138 42797056 40857003
SLGT   44410660 45030505 45410065 46869577 47829186 47458988
       46868874 43548521 42818550 42488696 42658980 42669517
       41789805 40000037 39970186 40830255 41830312 43200624
       43670696 44410660
MRGL   36657535 37137702 37567787 37967867 38227881 38677861
       39287933 39987940 40437910 40647873 40517818 39837711
       39737581 40267497 41607454 43897505 45257433 99999999
       45587125 44517038 43476907
MRGL   46358371 43288363 42308399 41638447 41268564 41448763
       42009042 41989241 41729503 41079692 40179829 38729933
       37140066 37010189 37210332 37470413 38090466 38680473
       39320440 40960499 41610715 42880810 43430907 44050898
       45960619 46619939 47909429 48609199
TSTM   31331205 33631112 38050879 40530756 41530800 42170875
       42430981 42331029 42261071 42361112 42471122 44941183
       46221152 47590960 48110686 47909885 48149518 48939254
       99999999 36287475 36227673 36527886 36957985 37828003
       39258050 40318110 40538133 40778187 40888321 40818397
       40998727 41559026 41589231 41359334 40219528 38159800
       37109959 33970204 32500214 31840122 31629915 31859708
       30719109 30278791 30618661 32468260 32978048 32847822
TSTM   43578014 41907861 40507678 40807570 41627523 43847571
       45377436

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW
RAP 40 WNW PIR ABR 25 NNE AXN 50 ESE BRD 65 SW ASX 30 NE EAU 20 SE
EAU 20 NW LSE 20 ESE RST 25 W RST 25 ENE ONL 15 N CDR 40 SSW RAP 10
SSW RAP.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
ISP 20 E ISP BDR 15 W BAF 20 E PSF 30 WSW EEN 20 W EEN 15 SSE CON 25
SSE PSM 30 S ACK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
SHR 30 SSE 4BQ 15 SW MBG DTL ELO 30 SE GNA 25 SSW CMX 50 NNE GRR GRR
35 NW BEH 40 W JVL SLB 35 WSW OFK 20 SE MCK 40 SSW IML 30 SE SNY 20
SW AIA 25 NNE CPR 55 ESE WRL 30 SE SHR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE
ORF 30 SSE RIC 30 W RIC 15 SW CHO SHD 30 NNE SHD 40 NE EKN 20 S LBE
20 ENE LBE 35 NW AOO 15 NNE AOO 30 SSW CXY 10 WNW ILG 10 W TTN 15
ESE MSV 50 E ART 35 NE MSS ...CONT... 65 N BML 30 WNW AUG 65 E PWM.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
ANJ 20 NNE FNT 15 WNW ARB 35 W TOL 30 NW FWA 35 W VPZ 30 SSE DBQ 35
WNW CID 25 SE DNS 15 NNW LNK 30 SSE HSI 30 WSW RSL 20 ENE LBL EHA 40
W SPD 20 NE TAD 15 SSW PUB 10 S COS 40 NNE COS 15 SW CYS 15 S RWL 20
SE RIW 40 NW RIW 35 S COD 35 SSW MLS 40 WSW JMS 40 NE BJI 50 N ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SW TUS 55 ENE PHX
50 NE 4BL CAG 45 WSW RWL 40 NNE RKS 20 ESE BPI 20 SSW BPI 40 SW BPI
55 WSW BPI 55 W BPI 35 NE MQM 35 SE HLN 40 N LWT 15 SW GGW 15 SSE
DVL 45 NNW BJI 45 ENE INL ...CONT... 80 E ECG 30 W ECG 25 E DAN 25
SSE ROA 15 E SSU 40 SW MGW 25 WNW HLG 25 S CAK 25 WSW CAK 25 ESE FDY
20 SW FDY 35 SSW VPZ 15 ENE MLI 35 NNE OTM 10 WNW OXV 20 ENE FNB 10
NW HUT 50 SSE DDC 25 SW PVW 40 N MAF 30 SSE BGS 15 SW BWD 20 NNE ACT
50 SW MCB 35 SE MOB 15 SSW CEW 25 NW VDI 25 W CHS 70 SE CRE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WNW BUF BFD 20 N
CXY 20 NW ABE 25 WSW MSV 20 SE ART 40 NE MSS.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 26, 19:58z for portions of PBZ

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