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657 FXUS64 KLIX 130824AFDLIXArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service New Orleans LA324 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE....SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)Issued at 247 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024Sfc moisture is making its way back into the area slowly as dew pts creep up toward 80F. And as you have heard, this will couple with the strong heating each day to bring about heat advisories. Not much change in these conditions for the next few days. The cause of this remains the large stacked high centered over northern TX today which will migrate a bit more east toward northern LA, at least this is the H3 level position. Some sh/ts will be able to get started in the heat of each day but will be isolated to scattered at best.&&.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)Issued at 247 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024The H3 high will eventually center itself over the SE CONUS by Thu as it moistens and weakens during this time frame. A new SW CONUS stacked high will then take up residence where the current high vacated. This new stacked high is currently located near 30N 127W which is over the EASTPAC. As this new high quickly moves east into the continental US, it will help intensify our NW flow bringing some storms from the north as an upper level trough axis remains over the east. With this and a weak short wave moving through by the end of the week, we may see a quick rise in precip numbers for the weekend. These would be traveling from the north and several could be strong or even severe. Timing looks like late Sat or overnight Sat. Some will definitely welcome the rain but no large scale changes at the moment.&&.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS) Issued at 247 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024All terminals VFR this taf cycle. There is a low chance of TSRA mainly near coastal locations during the afternoon hours and these will be timed in taf set.&&.MARINE...Issued at 247 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024Wind direction will be around the compass through the week but will be rather light at 10kt or less. Higher winds and seas will be in and around storms.&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...MCB 97 74 98 75 / 20 10 20 10 BTR 99 79 100 79 / 40 10 20 10 ASD 97 77 99 78 / 40 10 20 10 MSY 97 80 98 80 / 40 10 30 10 GPT 96 78 98 79 / 30 10 20 10 PQL 100 77 102 77 / 30 10 20 10 &&.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LA...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090.GM...None.MS...Heat Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening for MSZ068>071-077-083>088.GM...None.&&$$SHORT TERM...TELONG TERM....TEAVIATION...TEMARINE...TE
