[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 5:48z for portions of IND

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 5:48z for portions of IND

120 
WUUS01 KWNS 140550
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2024

VALID TIME 141200Z - 151200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   28147925 27648054 26998161 26388255 99999999 29568816
       30248791 30918701 33288716 36258759 38138752 38818623
       38328474 36948336 35668290 34768177 34388059 34327979
       34457912 34617811 34477751 33907657
0.05   28957976 26948321 99999999 29138441 29898397 30268218
       30518062 30337942
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29158823 30078798 31738750 32948765 35038895 37208870
       38438738 38758565 38108370 37238277 35788188 34137962
       33367896 32937832 99999999 28177973 26468270
0.05   34840173 34990111 34580058 31899916 31219894 30759920
       30739966 31000017 32010108 33570187 34840173
0.05   38060021 37250128 37010273 37360465 38030548 38510554
       39000571 39660472 40470349 41880324 43370294 43820149
       43450003 42749942 41580002 39650007 38060021
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29398825 30748804 32828793 34098891 35548931 37738889
       39008692 39148447 38348314 37128222 36448162 35768066
       35217927 34807796 34437728 33977661 99999999 26857950
       26448099 25788267
0.05   33510199 34970184 35250076 33399978 31379879 30849890
       30519934 30579986 31490091 32280148 33510199
0.05   42091196 43700971 43180729 43300528 43710381 44470206
       44580037 42909871 40909860 38639931 37729973 36980108
       36810305 37180504 38630615 39830772 40851027 42091196
0.15   28887969 26838321 99999999 28548591 29878569 30878307
       30928061 30357842
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   29378587 29878569 30878307 30918103 30778056 99999999
       28717994 27868145 27018316
MRGL   42909871 40909860 38639931 37729973 36980108 36810305
       37180504 38630615 39830772 40851027 42091196 43700971
       43180729 43300528 43710381 44470206 44580037 42909871
MRGL   33399978 31379879 30849890 30519934 30579986 31490091
       32280148 33510199 34970184 35250076 33399978
MRGL   29628821 30748804 32828793 34098891 35548931 37738889
       39008692 39148447 38348314 37128222 36448162 35768065
       35217927 34807796 34437728 34067674 99999999 26917942
       26448099 26058239
TSTM   25507945 25918079 25838245 99999999 28609178 30738927
       32118921 34649265 37339443 38929500 40629382 41439268
       41559096 41868844 42008691 42068398 42328288 42918184
       99999999 48336914 44336903 43456962 41837415 41117701
       39977854 38968015 37838036 37157959 37347918 37927737
       38237434 99999999 49589851 47739772 45559687 42399649
       38819671 37149598 35879605 35139730 33729905 31599840
       30749847 30349876 30319985 30700134 31510250 32580253
       33200251 34360297 34480405 34240491 33360689 33520893
       34291116 34971257 35891328 36701401 36971588 36861671
       36601737 36311794 36261820 36251853 36381885 36651921
       36881952 37341995 38472096 39022115 39682122 39882072
       39602016 39491886 40051708 40361523 40251381 39831291
       40351213 41531264 43611383 45091412 47611294 48021297
       49761400

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW
AAF 25 S PFN 15 ENE VLD 30 ESE SSI 60 ESE SSI ...CONT... 60 NE MLB
15 NNW AGR 45 SW SRQ.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N
ONL 15 WSW GRI 30 WSW RSL 15 ESE DDC LBL 25 NNE CAO 40 W TAD 45 E
GUC 45 WNW EGE 50 NW VEL 20 ESE MLD 50 E JAC 45 WNW CPR 40 N DGW 45
WSW RAP 35 NW PHP 15 NNW PIR 30 N ONL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N
ABI 30 SSE BWD 55 ENE JCT 25 E JCT JCT 25 WNW SJT BGS 15 SW LBB 20
SSW AMA 45 SE BGD 65 N ABI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S
MOB 15 ENE MOB 35 SSW TCL 15 SSW TUP 20 W MKL 20 E MDH 20 WSW BMG
LUK 30 W HTS 45 NNE TRI 45 E TRI 40 E HKY SOP 20 W OAJ 35 SE OAJ 70
ESE ILM ...CONT... 45 ENE PBI 50 ENE APF 40 W APF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE MIA 30 WNW MIA
45 WSW APF ...CONT... 85 SSE 7R4 25 NNW GPT 30 WSW MEI 25 WSW LIT 15
NNE JLN 15 WNW OJC LWD 25 ENE OXV 25 WNW MLI 35 NNE MMO 25 WSW BEH
15 SW ARB 20 S MTC 55 ENE MTC ...CONT... 115 NNW CAR 35 WSW BHB 35
ESE PWM 20 NW POU 10 SSW IPT 25 SSW AOO 20 WNW EKN SSU 25 ESE ROA
LYH 30 N RIC 65 E SBY ...CONT... 90 NW HCO 30 WSW GFK 25 NW VVV SUX
20 S MHK 25 N BVO 25 SSW TUL 25 SE OKC 35 WSW SPS 35 ESE BWD 55 NW
AUS 60 NNW SAT 15 SSW JCT 70 SW SJT 35 SSW MAF 40 E HOB 50 SW LBB 20
E CVS 40 W CVS 45 ENE 4CR 25 ENE TCS 60 NE SAD 55 SSW INW 25 NNW PRC
55 NE IGM 35 SW SGU 20 NNE DRA 40 WNW DRA 65 NNE NID 45 NNW NID 50
NW NID 60 NW NID 55 ESE FAT 30 ESE FAT 15 ENE FAT 30 E MER 30 E SAC
40 NNE SAC 65 ESE RBL 55 WNW RNO 20 WNW RNO NFL 40 SSW BAM 45 SE EKO
35 SSE ENV 25 S DPG 30 SSW SLC 40 NW OGD 25 ENE SUN 10 W SMN 65 N
3DU 50 SSW CTB 100 N GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 14, 5:48z for portions of IND

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