Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 7, 0:45z for portions of PBZ  (Read 668 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 7, 0:45z for portions of PBZ

238 
WUUS01 KWNS 070047
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT TUE AUG 06 2024

VALID TIME 070100Z - 071200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   32637920 33097985 33878009 34277972 34737904 35117804
       35477670 35127395
0.05   32777897 33197946 33487961 33607962 34157937 34627866
       34857764 34817688 34517546
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49459941 48749955 48099981 47710090 47370189 47260221
       46670207 42860269 40260288 38270412 37880480 38180539
       40890561 42990571 44350774 45321159 46171357 47511438
       49271446
0.15   49230677 47830552 47250588 46260723 45540874 45731002
       46321189 47121330 49281352
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49459940 48669956 48099982 47240220 45540170 42740185
       39460286 38130396 37810458 37830531 38170546 42970572
       44340776 45321160 46201357 47551440 49591451
0.05   32211463 33241516 34411474 35401357 35601315 35521243
       35301192 35091160 33811027 33100988 30970924
0.05   39768005 40097976 40547864 40217606 40207519 40157423
       39997384 39667380 39097603 38917764 39477891 39497997
       39768005
0.15   47541225 48021208 48401081 48590620 47460516 46990483
       45660367 45280337 44200272 43560280 43390353 43560481
       44240646 45400923 45801036 46301182 46591224 47031238
       47541225
0.15   32051425 33891421 34241324 34201197 33751102 32951067
       31081046
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   49230677 47770549 45270335 44180272 43550279 43380347
       43560484 45000823 46291178 47141329 49301351
SLGT   32061422 33901422 34241323 34201199 33751104 32951068
       31091049
SLGT   32767896 33207946 33557963 34157936 34637861 34857766
       34817693 34587582
MRGL   49459941 48729955 48099981 47690095 47250221 45540170
       42710186 39490284 38110393 37800464 37820530 38130546
       42990571 44360777 45311159 46191359 47531437 49291447
MRGL   32627917 33087984 33878009 34257973 34727905 35107803
       35477667 35157415
MRGL   32171461 33231516 34421475 35381358 35581314 35531250
       35321194 35071158 33811025 33090986 30880923
MRGL   39768004 40097975 40537865 40217604 40217528 40167425
       40007382 39677378 39087602 38917762 39467890 39497996
       39768004
TSTM   27728328 28318249 29198220 30088208 30828223 31728276
       32808263 33948200 36027995 36857887 37487894 38478176
       38548237 38508432 38268614 38228728 38828770 40458520
       41478337 41538110 41717852 42137613 42757258 42496909
       99999999 49249396 46999506 45789597 39099788 38529812
       38369901 38200072 38270116 38120172 37280315 35750613
       35000840 33740865 31350673 99999999 32351678 33491669
       35811486 38531289 38941266 39631039 39870947 40350732
       41190604 41880621 42210839 42191052 42411194 43901278
       46361652 46621698 46761722 46751779 46721841 46771873
       46901885 47851860 49671929

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N
GGW 25 S OLF 20 SSE 2WX 20 ENE RAP 35 SSE RAP 40 NNW CDR 60 NNE DGW
50 NE COD 25 SSE HLN 35 NNW 3DU 70 NW CTB.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
YUM 35 NE BLH 55 WSW PRC 40 SE PRC 60 ENE PHX 60 NNE TUS 35 SSW FHU.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E
CHS 40 ENE CHS 40 WSW CRE 20 E FLO 30 SSE FAY OAJ 20 SSE EWN 45 SSW
HSE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW
DVL 50 NW DVL 40 W DVL 20 E N60 40 NE DIK 35 SE Y22 60 NW MHN 35 WNW
ITR 25 WNW LHX 35 SSW PUB 40 NE ALS 55 W PUB 25 NW DGW 30 NNE WRL 40
SSW BZN 40 SSW 3DU 45 NNW MSO 70 N GPI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE
CHS 15 NE CHS 30 SW FLO FLO 20 SSW FAY 25 S GSB 35 NE EWN 85 E HSE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S
YUM 35 SW BLH 25 SSW EED 20 ENE IGM 50 ENE IGM 35 SW GCN 20 NW FLG
FLG 35 SSW SOW 20 NW SAD 45 SSE DUG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW
MGW 25 SW LBE 25 NW AOO 40 E CXY 25 N PHL 10 NNE NEL 25 E NEL 40 SE
NEL 30 W DOV 30 W DCA 50 W MRB 10 S MGW 10 NW MGW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW PIE 30 NNE PIE
OCF 30 NNE GNV 30 SSE AYS 40 NNW AYS 45 NNW VDI 40 N AGS GSO 30 NE
DAN 20 NE LYH 10 NW CRW 15 NE HTS 35 NNE LEX 25 WNW SDF 20 NE EVV 50
SSW HUF 15 NE MIE 25 ESE TOL 30 NW YNG 10 SE BFD 10 WSW BGM 20 SW
EEN 85 NE HYA ...CONT... 50 NNW INL 35 S BJI 30 WSW AXN 25 NNW SLN
30 SW SLN 35 SSW RSL 20 N GCK 35 NW GCK 50 E LAA 30 W SPD 10 NNW SAF
30 WSW GNT 80 NNW SVC 35 SSW ELP ...CONT... 25 SW CZZ 30 WSW TRM 25
SE LAS 10 NE MLF 30 SSW U24 20 E PUC 40 S VEL 15 SE CAG 20 WSW LAR
50 NW LAR 45 SSE LND 35 SW BPI 25 NE MLD 45 NW IDA 25 E LWS 10 SE
PUW PUW 30 W PUW 45 N ALW 50 NNW ALW 40 SE EPH 50 WNW GEG 85 N OMK.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 7, 0:45z for portions of PBZ

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