[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 30, 19:59z for portions of IWX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 30, 19:59z for portions of IWX

532 
WUUS01 KWNS 302000
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0259 PM CDT TUE JUL 30 2024

VALID TIME 302000Z - 311200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   37888973 39329296 40249516 41209799 41369969 41680045
       42480067 42990044 43169989 42829823 42959656 43819533
       45119409 46179376 46459321 46489168 45658977 42828977
       40878849 38258574 37038473 36268444 35498469 35118510
       35288543 36098665 36798766 37238845 37888973
0.02   49479780 47649830 46399878 46170024 46310112 46560154
       49930101
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47126716 45996833 45036921 43827063 43447245 43407310
       43337389 44147435 45917472
0.05   49759648 48199677 47519530 46869295 46229019 45768902
       44938829 43868786 42618781 41928748 41368718 39628603
       37558415 36368215 35208249 34538433 34798582 36538802
       37979140 39059452 39929696 40189943 41950131 44040239
       45590319 46830323 48040229 49500198
0.15   41670036 42410054 43140032 43189808 43539308 42569046
       41228896 40258887 39628888 39228917 38758966 38439018
       38529079 38669153 39139257 39759351 40979753 41349970
       41670036
0.15   49469762 47879774 45249922 44299989 44160054 45120204
       45840220 47670158 49490122
SIGN   41670035 42390052 43130030 43189859 43169797 42669738
       42029743 41349800 41199865 41349969 41670035
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   46966694 45846830 44876923 43217055 42897093 42947160
       43077405 43327602 44037625 44707627
0.05   49729648 48439663 47389397 45938861 44508696 41868492
       40028496 38558402 37788327 36988175 36858073 37917966
       39757883 41017876 41947832 42087741 41937608 41317577
       39107565 37987662 36927758 35847831 34627881 33507805
       33207766 99999999 30118058 29268393 99999999 29728599
       30988489 31978502 32918546 35018778 36148965 37579230
       38999532 40209942 41950133 44290245 45610321 46810326
       48070230 49480199
0.15   49489759 47929774 46589807 45229919 44319985 44130058
       45020179 45960198 47460156 48750130 49480117
0.15   38829365 40119591 40979757 41780015 42280025 42720015
       42839974 43139875 43539311 42569046 40938851 39928732
       38068529 34698026 33848033 32908147 32808287 34558608
       36108796 36978951 38829365
0.30   42649738 42649588 41279178 40299037 38878856 37898810
       37568834 37418870 37438929 37739007 38519152 41119599
       41699814 42159818 42649738
SIGN   40289471 41069707 41529816 42189829 42609771 42629625
       42389365 41839201 41119064 39658921 38718875 38158929
       38179008 38479086 39329241 40289471
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    42649738 42669595 41279177 40089007 39378918 38848858
       37898810 37548837 37438870 37428928 37749009 38479145
       39429303 41119599 41699814 42159818 42649738
SLGT   49499760 47879774 46589807 44319985 44130058 45120204
       45840220 47670158 49500123
SLGT   43140032 43179819 43539311 42569046 40938851 38068530
       34708027 33848033 32908147 32808287 34558608 36108796
       36978951 38829365 40979757 41349969 41680037 42410054
       43140032
MRGL   46746720 45846830 44876923 43227054 42897094 42947160
       43067405 43327602 44037625 44707627
MRGL   29718600 30968491 32048505 32918548 35018778 36148965
       38999532 40179941 41950133 45600321 46830323 48040231
       49490199 99999999 49499651 48439663 47389397 45928859
       44508696 41868492 40028496 38568402 37788327 36988175
       36848073 37907966 39747883 41037876 41957831 42087745
       41937607 41327577 39107565 38007661 36927758 35847831
       34627881 33507805 99999999 30128057 29258395
TSTM   45996716 44536848 43227051 42497137 42027127 40876889
       99999999 48649056 47688980 47028756 46638589 46918403
       99999999 28408925 29539031 29889265 29109596 28759692
       29119751 29589748 30329681 30909595 31079512 31149367
       31059256 30689070 30958978 31438913 31788888 32568891
       33398901 34208913 35008968 35589014 36049076 36489132
       36919236 37079412 37019581 36849773 36469888 35849992
       35070105 34410202 33650292 32650353 31760335 31300279
       30460205 29190154 99999999 31721393 32321375 32841337
       33401219 34690998 35790852 36690745 37520639 37910575
       38030473 37950382 37820312 38000217 38380164 38970115
       39960129 40970223 41850285 43240349 44090424 44060515
       44020634 43820721 43620844 42870998 42561139 42541340
       43031565 43951669 45041711 45971691 47921692 49381709

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S
YKN 30 NE SUX 35 ENE OTM 25 NW SPI 35 SSW DEC 25 ENE SLO 30 WSW EVV
40 NE PAH 25 N PAH 20 NE CGI 20 E FAM 30 NE VIH 40 SE CDJ 15 SSW OMA
40 WSW OFK 35 SE ONL 20 S YKN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW
HCO 25 WSW GFK 40 SE JMS 20 ESE PIR 25 SW PIR 55 S Y22 Y22 N60 85 N
MOT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE
VTN 40 S MHE 30 NNE MCW 15 NE DBQ 30 SSE MMO 25 ESE SDF 50 NW FLO 40
NE OGB 45 SE AGS 45 E MCN 40 N GAD 45 SW CKV 20 S CGI 10 NW SZL 35
SSW OLU BBW 40 NNE LBF 30 S VTN 25 NNE VTN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE
CAR 30 SW HUL 20 WNW BGR 15 NE PSM 15 SSW PSM 20 SSW CON 25 NNW ALB
15 NNE SYR 10 W ART 50 NNW ART.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW
PFN 20 ENE MAI 35 SSW CSG 20 N AUO 20 NNW MSL 15 NW DYR 15 ESE TOP
45 SSW EAR 15 WSW MHN 15 E 2WX 20 W DIK 50 NW N60 90 NNW MOT
...CONT... 55 NNE HCO 25 SSE HCO 45 ESE BJI 25 WNW IMT 40 WNW MBL 35
SW JXN 30 SE MIE 45 SSE LUK 20 NNE JKL 35 SW BLF 20 S PSK 35 ENE SSU
45 SW AOO 15 SE DUJ 20 ENE BFD 30 WSW ELM 20 SSW BGM AVP 10 WSW DOV
20 SSW NHK 30 ENE AVC 25 W RWI 25 S FAY 50 ESE CRE ...CONT... 45 ENE
SGJ 60 WSW CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE HUL 10 NW BHB
20 ENE PSM 20 WNW BOS 20 NNE PVD 65 ESE ACK ...CONT... 60 N GNA 25 E
GNA 35 N MQT 75 W ANJ 35 NNE ANJ ...CONT... 65 S BVE 20 E HUM 30 WNW
7R4 30 W LBX VCT 40 WNW VCT 35 ESE BAZ 30 SW CLL 30 WNW UTS 25 WSW
LFK 30 WNW POE 30 SSW ESF 35 SSW MCB 40 N ASD 10 ESE PIB 35 NE PIB
20 NNW MEI 35 WSW CBM 20 WSW TUP 15 E MEM 35 ESE JBR 10 ESE ARG 35
NW ARG 30 WNW UNO 20 NW UMN 20 NE BVO 35 NNE END 25 SSW AVK 55 NW
CSM 40 ESE AMA 25 NW PVW 55 SSE CVS 20 W HOB 10 W INK 25 NNE FST 30
NNE 6R6 40 WSW DRT ...CONT... 75 SSE YUM 55 ESE YUM 40 W GBN 10 WSW
PHX 30 N SOW 25 NE GUP 35 SSE DRO 30 WNW ALS 35 N ALS 20 SW PUB 15
WSW LHX 25 SE LHX 30 E LAA 60 WNW GCK 40 SE GLD 40 WSW MCK 40 ESE
SNY 15 S AIA 35 NW CDR 60 W RAP 30 SE GCC 45 WSW GCC 40 ESE WRL 35
SW WRL 20 NNE BPI 55 ENE MLD 20 E BYI 45 SE BOI 35 NW BOI 40 ENE BKE
30 S LWS 35 NE GEG 125 N GEG.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 30, 19:59z for portions of IWX

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