[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 24, 19:57z for portions of ILN

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 24, 19:57z for portions of ILN

766 
WUUS01 KWNS 241959
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT WED JUL 24 2024

VALID TIME 242000Z - 251200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45457370 43287389 42357475 41937654 41757809 41917884
       42377914 43317813 44387744
0.05   39728980 40299174 40569150 40519068 40488967 40458889
       40568756 40728635 40458572 39678585 39628645 39728980
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   41582029 43112019 44092002 45341858 45981674 47151446
       47811315 48831160 48841041 48730983 47830929 46560945
       43701312 42241530 41691781 41241974 41582029
0.05   36567523 36527525 35817781 35318066 35778184 36848065
       38537824 39827617 41217601 41477729 40308182 39458526
       39598967 40239185 40539150 40509042 40468913 40498821
       40678668 40798606 40988534 41488435 41648405 42278238
       99999999 45297339 42807338 39797284
0.05   31871372 33311399 33681409 34351379 35141271 35331152
       33520932 32110932 30950974
0.15   31631300 33061310 33571287 33741235 33701187 33231128
       32491083 32091071 31051082
0.15   42557458 42057604 41317901 40928053 40938100 41308120
       41748088 42117968 42997823 43097714 43437619 43947520
       43847453 43317426 42557458
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   31631300 33071310 33581286 33741236 33701189 33551169
       33211126 32491083 32091071 31051082
SLGT   43447617 43927521 43857452 43317427 42567460 42067603
       41557810 41257922 40928050 40938101 41298120 41738088
       41928025 42127966 42987826 43117711 43447617
MRGL   31871372 33681409 34351379 35141271 35331152 33520932
       32110932 30950974
MRGL   45297339 42807338 40037288 99999999 36527525 35817781
       35318066 35778184 36848065 39007749 39787617 41217602
       41477729 40298190 39448530 39548968 39699082 39969170
       40249186 40569152 40519076 40468874 40548794 40748620
       40878576 41008537 41648405 42278238
MRGL   43112019 44092002 45341858 45981674 47811315 48831160
       48841041 48730983 47830929 46560945 43701312 42241530
       41241974 41582029 43112019
TSTM   48096903 47426889 46486912 45296964 44597047 43527106
       42807132 42347149 41967116 41757066 41667024 41866892
       99999999 49359789 47919799 47269900 46950026 46760170
       46470341 45290544 44400668 43150876 41730999 40791060
       39351064 38831075 37761056 37530980 38030907 39120825
       40740787 41730714 41710588 40900498 38910473 36660439
       35120442 34100446 33140502 32650613 32450680 32140737
       31710823 30970888 99999999 29380179 30110068 30729944
       31819803 33969670 34729630 36469421 37129199 37559138
       38139123 38709171 39079261 38899343 38749395 39039488
       39509530 40169573 40639632 41449711 42019825 41919887
       41169960 40220015 39720111 39850221 40100269 41070282
       42430249 43280208 44000081 44009815 44249663 44169400
       43709305 43389211 42919048 42288939 42168822 41988680
       41968577 41848449 42198390 42898360 43858378 44608388
       45608402 46738400 99999999 32221663 33101701 33771716
       34571777 35731846 36091864 37001924 38011996 39022060
       40342103 41792122 42942132 43932095 45111950 46111823
       47451648 48541478 49441365

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 S
GBN 25 WNW GBN 45 NNW GBN 30 NW PHX 20 NNE PHX 20 ENE PHX 45 ESE PHX
25 NNE TUS 15 E TUS 45 SW FHU.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N
SYR 40 E ART 40 SSW SLK 35 W GFL 45 WSW ALB 10 SSW BGM 30 ESE BFD 15
WNW DUJ 25 SSE YNG 20 E CAK 25 W YNG 35 NNW YNG 10 SSW ERI 20 W JHW
25 E BUF 30 E ROC 20 N SYR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SE
YUM 35 E BLH 55 ESE EED 40 NNW PRC 15 NNE FLG 50 NNE SAD 45 NNE DUG
35 SSW DUG.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNW
BTV 20 E ALB 55 SSE ISP ...CONT... 55 ENE ECG RWI 15 ENE CLT 25 W
HKY 20 S PSK 25 WNW DCA 30 WNW ILG 20 WSW AVP 25 NW IPT 25 N ZZV 55
WNW LUK 20 S SPI 25 SE UIN 25 W UIN 40 ENE IRK 25 SW BRL 25 SE BRL
10 E BMI 30 NW DNV 45 ENE LAF 30 WSW FWA 10 W FWA 15 WNW TOL 30 SE
MTC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N
LKV 55 E RDM 30 SSE PDT 30 SSE LWS 60 SE GPI 40 ENE CTB 35 NW HVR 15
NNW HVR 55 SSE HVR 20 ENE 3HT 55 WNW IDA 45 WSW TWF 45 ESE AAT 15
ENE AAT 65 N LKV.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW CAR 55 NW CAR
60 WSW CAR 50 NW BGR 35 E BML 20 E LCI 30 SSE CON 20 ENE ORH 20 NE
PVD 15 ENE EWB HYA 70 E HYA ...CONT... 60 NW HCO 40 W GFK 25 NNW JMS
25 ENE BIS 45 W BIS 35 SW DIK 10 SSW 4BQ 30 SSE SHR 15 WNW RIW 50 W
RKS 40 SSE EVW 20 SSE PUC 30 N 4HV 15 NNE U17 20 W 4BL 40 NE 4BL 15
E GJT 25 NW CAG RWL 30 NNW LAR 20 SSW CYS COS RTN 45 W TCC 55 N ROW
30 WSW ROW 15 S ALM 50 SW ALM 20 ESE DMN 50 SW DMN 55 SE DUG
...CONT... 50 SSE 6R6 55 NNE DRT 25 NE JCT 30 SSE SEP 15 N GYI 30
WSW MLC 30 ESE GMJ 25 NNW UNO 45 ESE TBN 30 E VIH 25 ENE JEF 25 NW
COU 15 NNE SZL 20 W SZL 15 NNW OJC 25 WNW FLV 10 NW FNB 30 ESE LNK
10 E OLU 40 SE ONL 15 ENE BUB 20 S BBW 25 E MCK 40 NE GLD 40 N ITR
30 E AKO 10 ESE SNY 30 NNE AIA 60 SSW PHP 35 SW PIR 15 NNW MHE 10
ESE BKX MKT 30 WSW RST 40 SSE RST 25 SW LNR 15 WNW RFD 45 E RFD 20
WSW BEH 20 SSW AZO 30 S JXN 10 WSW ARB 10 SE FNT 25 NNE MBS 25 WNW
OSC 40 E PLN 25 NE ANJ ...CONT... 30 SSW CZZ 30 NNE SAN 20 SE RAL 20
ESE PMD 40 ENE BFL 50 NNE BFL 30 ENE FAT 60 NNE MER 35 WNW TVL 65
ENE RBL 35 SE LMT 60 NNE LMT 25 SSE RDM 50 SW PDT ALW 50 ESE GEG 30
WNW GPI 80 NW CTB.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 24, 19:57z for portions of ILN

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