ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 30, 5:56 AM EDT862
FXUS61 KILN 300956
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
556 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure and a somewhat cooler airmass will settle into the
area today into Saturday.
2) A series of upper level disturbances will result in occasional
rain chances through the first half of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
The cold front will move southeast of our area this morning with
high pressure building into the region behind it. This will lead to
dry and somewhat cooler conditions as we head into the weekend. Highs
today will range from the mid 60s north to the lower 70s in the
south, with highs on Saturday mainly in the 65 to 70 degree range.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
A mid level short wave will move out of the mid Mississippi Valley
Saturday night and across the Ohio Valley Sunday into Sunday night.
There remains some uncertainty as to how much moisture will be
pulled up into our area ahead of this, with the NAM and GFS still the
most bullish. However, the ECMWF/ECMWF mean have trended just a bit
wetter, so will continue with chance pops.
A deeper mid/upper level trough is forecast to progress east across
the central CONUS early next week, but there remains significant
differences in the timing of this as well as the timing/placement/
strength of any embedded short waves. As a result, a fair bit of
uncertainty continues with the forecast through the second half of
the long term period so will still broad brush with chance pops.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure will build into the region today before shifting off
to the east as we head into the day on Saturday. VFR conditions are
expected to prevail with just some mid and high level clouds
possible at times.
OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibility possible Sunday into Monday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 30, 5:56 AM EDT---------------
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