MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 26, 6:31 PM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION...315
FXUS64 KMOB 262331
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
631 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 631 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous
conditions for small craft over the open Gulf waters until
early afternoon and potentially into the evening hours well
offshore.
- Moderate to strong northeasterly winds may create hazardous
conditions for small craft mainly well offshore from Wednesday
through Saturday.
- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas today,
and again Thursday and Friday.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 631 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
The forecast remains on track and no updates are needed. SS/97
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1106 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
An upper ridge over much of the eastern states weakens somewhat
and becomes oriented near/along the East Coast through Wednesday.
An essentially zonal flow develops over the area on Thursday, then
a series of shortwaves move across the region Friday with the
potential for an upper trof to move across the area late Saturday
night into Sunday. A strong surface ridge over the eastern states
becomes oriented over the southeastern states by Thursday, then a
surface low or inverted surface trof looks to approach (or move
into) the forecast area late this weekend. Dry conditions continue
over the area through Friday, then slight chance to chance pops
follow for Saturday and Sunday. There could be the potential for
some strong storms this weekend depending on how the pattern plays
out which will be monitored. Highs on Tuesday will be mostly in
the upper 70s to lower 80s then slowly trend to mostly in the
lower to mid 80s by Sunday. Lows tonight through Wednesday night
range from the mid/upper 40s well inland to the mid/upper 50s at
the coast then trend by Friday night to around 60 well inland to
the mid 60s near the coast, with similar values continuing into
this weekend. A High Risk of rip currents today will be followed
by a moderate risk for tonight through Wednesday night, then a
High Risk returns for Thursday and Friday. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period. Current light
northerly to northeasterly winds increase tomorrow morning to
around 8-10 knots with periodic gusts up to 15 knots generally
from the east. SS/97
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1106 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
Moderate to strong northeasterly winds diminish this afternoon,
increase somewhat this evening, then gradually subside overnight
into Tuesday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the
open Gulf waters until 1 pm this afternoon. Small craft should
exercise caution this evening well offshore. The offshore flow
begins to strengthen again late Tuesday night, with a moderate to
occasionally strong northeasterly flow for Wednesday and
eventually becoming easterly by Saturday. A Small Craft Advisory
may become necessary mainly for the well offshore waters from
Wednesday through Saturday. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 53 79 54 80 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 58 79 60 80 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 59 80 61 81 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 46 79 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 48 79 47 80 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 46 76 47 78 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 48 80 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 26, 6:31 PM CDT ...New UPDATE, AVIATION...---------------
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