The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 0:55z for portions of ILN637
WUUS01 KWNS 170057
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 PM CDT TUE JUL 16 2024
VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 34930274 35420342 36610344 37830361 39450327 41510168
42640095 43010013 43059890 42959749 42379648 41439594
39909630 39119599 38369490 38348994 38218786 38098582
37588551 36708586 35948964 35229437 34989658 34939736
34960084 34930274
0.15 42759988 42859910 42459838 41829765 40539742 40149768
40029803 40059963 40230017 40460045 41380098 42210054
42759988
0.15 36860226 37150308 37710308 38420286 38570241 38260069
37449862 36899853 36640021 36800198 36860226
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 31311224 32621191 33381151 33551067 32660911 31080895
0.05 37937427 37537808 37308070 36828517 36548584 35668778
35039006 34829072 34699354 34929742 34970044 34930267
35450342 36690343 37810360 39400327 41500166 42630092
43010017 43039895 42939756 42419651 41439598 39999629
39179603 38669481 38658978 38368721 38858306 39427827
40047665 40957485 41937352 43067221 44377172 44517123
44407077 44137013 43516960 43066932 42696983 41537104
40337213 40217214
0.15 38657516 38437650 38597751 39077771 39917664 40367552
41257404 42157285 42877208 43717147 43877091 43637038
43407018 42437056 41377277 40137360 38657516
0.15 37268562 37008603 36748713 36378879 35659159 35569291
35839332 36339369 37099336 37609227 37608944 37618783
38048590 37838553 37268562
0.15 42240052 42759986 42899904 42419833 41799762 40599746
40089766 39999806 40059964 40240019 40430044 41390097
42240052
0.15 38270065 37219811 36749791 36359792 35899872 35760000
35830124 36360304 37770336 38480313 38650287 38270065
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37258561 37018600 36728712 35639163 35569290 35859332
36329367 37099336 37609227 37628948 37618783 38048590
37838553 37258561
SLGT 42190054 42719991 42869901 42429835 41799764 40579745
40099767 39999806 40059964 40230017 40430044 41380098
42190054
SLGT 36330304 37740335 38430313 38670287 38570220 38270065
37219811 36749791 36359792 35899872 35760000 35830124
36330304
SLGT 38637755 39077770 39877668 40357552 41227407 42147285
42907204 43697148 43867091 43637037 43387016 42447057
42227095 41377278 40137360 38667512 38427652 38637755
MRGL 31311224 32621191 33381151 33551067 32660911 31080895
MRGL 42756976 41327123 40347211 99999999 37937443 37527818
37308082 36918458 36818518 35698777 34839071 34679349
34909712 34930271 35410340 36710342 37780360 39400325
41440170 42610094 42990021 43039893 43009877 42939753
42419655 41419596 39919629 39179603 38639480 38658946
38358722 38848328 39417831 40027669 40997475 41907356
43087220 43997184 44407167 44487131 44427085 44157021
43626967 42976932
TSTM 32147986 31978213 31318421 30428563 29318676 99999999
26248311 28268185 29158102 29538008 99999999 28719450
29539428 30399372 31209187 32209021 32778978 33538979
33799018 33769172 33749482 33779745 34080512 33370751
32130763 31220724 99999999 31461377 32491374 33141384
36861597 37691649 39271871 40502129 41162185 41722272
41722272 42542521 42592525 99999999 45902494 46002368
43831798 41821580 41271495 41001367 41241257 41911193
43591168 44761043 44580926 42030725 41230617 41090486
41310387 43080125 43619953 43639796 43209639 42659574
41979556 40769577 39899531 39359445 39049306 39379114
41548557 42688326 44118154
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE
BWG 25 E BWG 20 ENE CKV BVX 25 NNE RUE 30 SSW HRO 30 W HRO 10 S SGF
15 SW TBN 15 SW MDH 35 SSW EVV 15 SW SDF 25 SSE SDF 50 ENE BWG.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
MHN 10 NNE ANW 30 NNW ONL 15 E ONL 15 SW OFK 40 WSW LNK 40 N CNK 40
NW CNK 45 NNE HLC 20 E MCK 20 NNE MCK 25 NW LBF 30 ENE MHN.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE
CAO 20 SSE LHX 35 NE LHX 45 NNW LAA 45 NE LAA 25 N GCK 25 ESE P28 25
N END END 45 NE CSM 55 WNW CSM 15 NE BGD 10 SE CAO.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW
DCA 25 SSE MRB 25 SSE CXY 20 SSW ABE 30 SSW POU BAF 10 E EEN 10 NNW
LCI 30 NE LCI PWM 20 SSE PWM 25 ENE BOS 10 SSE BOS 25 NE BDR 35 SSE
JFK 30 NE SBY 10 NNW NHK 30 WSW DCA.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW
TUS 50 ESE GBN 30 E PHX 65 SW SOW 35 ESE SAD 45 SE DUG.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE
PSM 20 ENE BID 60 ESE ISP ...CONT... 55 E WAL 45 SSE CHO 15 NNW PSK
30 WSW LOZ 60 N CSV 65 E MKL 45 WSW MEM 25 WNW HOT 45 N ADM 50 NE
CVS 20 NE TCC 25 NW CAO 20 SSW LHX 25 ENE LIC 55 SW MHN 25 SW VTN 20
ENE VTN 40 NNW ONL 35 N ONL 10 W YKN 10 W SUX 10 NNW OMA 35 SE BIE
25 WNW TOP 15 SSW OJC 25 ENE BLV 30 NE EVV 50 NW HTS 15 W MRB 15 SSE
CXY 35 NW EWR 25 NE POU 15 NNE EEN 35 SW MWN 20 WNW MWN 15 SSW BML
25 SE BML 25 WSW AUG 30 E PWM 70 SE PWM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S CHS 20 SE VDI 15
S ABY 15 NNE PFN 85 SSE PNS ...CONT... 80 WSW FMY 35 WSW ORL DAB 65
ENE DAB ...CONT... 45 SSE GLS 30 ENE GLS 35 WNW LCH 30 ESE ESF 70
NNE MCB 55 SSE GWO 15 E GWO 20 NNW GWO 10 N LLQ 30 SW DEQ 45 SW ADM
30 E 4CR 20 NW TCS 10 SSE DMN 65 SW ELP ...CONT... 95 SSE YUM 50 ESE
YUM 55 NE YUM 15 N DRA 40 SE TPH 15 S NFL 55 ENE RBL 25 ESE MHS 35
NW MHS 35 NW MHS 55 NW 4BK 60 NW 4BK ...CONT... 55 WSW AST 15 SE AST
50 ENE BNO 20 ESE OWY 55 NE EKO 25 NE ENV 30 W OGD 25 SE MLD 20 ENE
IDA 35 E WEY 15 WNW COD 15 N RWL 25 WSW LAR CYS 40 SSW BFF 40 WNW
VTN 15 SW 9V9 10 SSE MHE 30 SSE FSD 25 W SLB 10 W DNS 20 W SDA 20 SE
FNB 20 NNE MKC 35 NE SZL 40 S UIN 40 ESE SBN 20 WNW MTC 75 ENE BAX.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 17, 0:55z for portions of ILN---------------
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