[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 15, 19:57z for portions of IWX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 15, 19:57z for portions of IWX

610 
WUUS01 KWNS 151958
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2026

VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38158890 38628886 39338835 40198772 40328608 40158552
       39728535 39188531 38818543 38568574 38208690 37908741
       37568807 37478845 37658871 37958883 38158890 
&&

... HAIL ...

&&

... WIND ...

0.05   38288604 38058704 37568808 37268898 37228938 37488952
       38408921 38748896 39638827 40178773 40728725 41358258
       41368135 41018100 40718095 40358126 39728231 38698480
       38288604 
0.15   38148853 38778849 39198821 39498689 39568610 39238559
       38648565 38448646 38138775 38148853 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   38778849 39198821 39498689 39568610 39238559 38648565
       38138775 38148853 38778849 
MRGL   38408921 39638827 40728725 41358258 41368135 41018100
       40718095 40358126 39728231 38698480 38288604 38058704
       37568807 37268898 37228938 37488952 38408921 
TSTM   30340554 31700412 33130261 33970174 36299880 36419848
       37849627 38429543 39009528 39529540 39849581 40209647
       40949810 41579947 42329960 42749926 42809708 42569565
       42379333 42429024 42458868 42488809 42748495 43268147
       99999999 43637962 43847620 43557495 42937447 42357454
       41487510 39997632 37967849 36967942 36308062 36248189
       36308361 36318488 36278696 36169004 35779161 34479403
       33769466 32679506 31339480 30329397 29929244 29369042
       28838859 99999999 27529651 28609662 29179682 29639757
       29789850 29599939 28909997 27840044 99999999 27958342
       28058266 27068171 27008105 27258017 28057959 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
ENE SLO 20 S MTO 25 E HUF 15 SE IND 50 SE IND 30 N SDF 15 WNW EVV
20 SE MVN 25 ENE SLO

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 SW SLO 10 N MTO 25 NW LAF 35 N MFD 30 N CAK 25 SW YNG 30 ESE
CAK 40 SSE CAK 25 SW ZZV 35 SW LUK 20 WNW SDF 25 NNE OWB 45 SW EVV
15 NW PAH 10 E CGI 20 N CGI 20 SW SLO

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 W MRF 45 SSE CNM
45 NE HOB 15 S PVW 35 SSW AVK 25 SSE AVK 35 S EMP 45 SSE TOP 20
ESE TOP 35 NNE TOP 20 SW FNB 15 ESE BIE 10 E GRI 15 NE BBW 25 SE
ANW 35 WNW ONL 15 ESE YKN 20 W SLB 55 S MCW 25 E DBQ 20 ESE JVL 25
SW RAC 20 W LAN 80 NE MTC ...CONT... 65 NW BUF 15 SW ART 35 NE UCA
35 WNW ALB 45 NNE MSV 20 SW MSV 30 ESE CXY 10 S CHO 25 N DAN 40
WNW GSO 35 ESE TRI 40 NNE TYS 25 NNE CSV 20 WNW BNA 35 WNW DYR  0
- BVX 35 NE DEQ 25 SW DEQ 30 NW GGG 10 NNW LFK 25 N BPT 20 WNW 7R4
20 SE HUM 60 SE BVE ...CONT... 65 ESE CRP 25 SE VCT 25 NNE VCT 30
ESE BAZ 15 N SAT 20 NW HDO 55 NW COT 65 WNW LRD ...CONT... 45 W
PIE 10 N PIE 35 NNE FMY 50 SSE AGR 30 SSE VRB 60 ENE VRB

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 15, 19:57z for portions of IWX

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