ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 23, 7:33 PM EDT722
FXUS61 KILN 232333
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
733 PM EDT Sun Aug 23 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Increased precipitation chances into this evening and also added
patchy fog in for overnight.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible
into this evening across parts of the area.
2) Dry and cool to start the week on Monday, Thunderstorm chances
return for Wednesday night into Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
An upper level disturbance will move across the area through this
evening allowing for scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
This will be focused initially north of I-70 and then chances will
shift into central portions of the forecast area. Dry conditions are
expected south of the Ohio River. Due to low freezing level, cannot
rule out small hail with a few of the storms. Severe weather is not
expected. After precipitation moves out overnight there will be the
potential for some patchy fog later in the overnight hours.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
Cool and dry conditions are expected for Monday with just some cu.
Cannot rule out a sprinkle in central Ohio, however probability was
too low to mention. Continued dry conditions are expected through the
day on Wednesday. Temperatures on Monday are expected to be in the
70s for highs in most locations. On Tuesday a few highs near and
south of the Ohio River will rise into the 80s, elsewhere expect 70s
again for highs. Low temperatures in the 50s are generally expected
at night Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday nights. Shower and thunderstorm
chances return to the forecast for Wednesday night into Thursday as
a system moves through during that time.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid level low over the Great Lakes to migrate slowly east-northeast
into southeast Canada by Monday evening. Shortwave to pivot around
the the mid level low thru the southern Great Lakes this evening.
Surface trof and very marginal instby has resulted in isold to
scattered showers along and north of the I-70 corridor. Have a
mention of a shower in the central Ohio TAF/s thru early evening from
a VFR deck. Clouds scatter out and dissipate thru late evening.
Overnight winds decrease and skies clear out. This will allow for the
potential for fog at KLUK and KILN. Fog will improve quickly after
sunrise Monday. Winds will start to pick up again for Monday,
however they are expected to remain around 10 knots or less. Dry
conditions are expected for Monday with only few to scattered VFR
cumulus clouds.
OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms possible Thursday afternoon.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...08
AVIATION...AR
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 23, 7:33 PM EDT---------------
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