[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 22, 12:02z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 22, 12:02z for portions of PAH

841 
WUUS01 KWNS 221204
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026

VALID TIME 221300Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49301526 48161565 47181733 47031836 47211988 47862123
       49342220 
0.05   39830550 41380569 42460620 43580698 44600677 44670590
       44260523 43720475 43100435 42380391 41660344 40790312
       39580310 38170356 38260495 39830550 
0.05   43157979 41997920 41167889 39647933 38228046 37438124
       37048174 36748274 36758324 36868399 37188447 37728497
       38548501 39608464 42598398 43738340 43948274 43998158
0.05   33639401 33749632 33859778 34059945 34480083 34840120
       35140085 35269935 35369841 35699785 36179751 37689835
       38469846 38709791 38629684 37769402 36829133 36088939
       35208929 34378970 33629043 33559217 33639401 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49881480 49111389 46610996 45540917 43361010 41461221
       40261284 39131403 38781472 38881561 39411634 41071668
       42311619 43491591 46231691 46911826 47492181 48152237
       49172296 49652295 
0.05   40490189 39500188 38550194 38210225 38170360 38260495
       39830550 41220552 42830623 43750671 44380657 44480594
       43970517 43640473 42280356 41140217 40490189 
0.05   44887763 43877726 42477723 40497748 39047722 38147728
       37137784 36017910 35338067 34758390 34668575 32779032
       32019333 31879378 31799503 32009643 32199747 32800032
       33370168 34050241 34750219 35140129 35359983 35509842
       36039757 37459830 38519869 39269894 39579854 39709780
       39629689 39179638 38459552 37699424 36819126 36468940
       36748762 37178682 38728517 39348487 40318474 41838470
       42708445 44138352 44778258 45258139 
0.15   43997885 42167820 39527867 37308008 36568162 36488304
       36688454 37538466 39378396 41208356 42428308 43498193
CIG1   34090228 34700212 35040118 35209945 34749793 33999700
       33319706 32619792 32749910 32920020 33430156 34090228
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   43997885 42167820 39527867 37308008 36568162 36488304
       36688454 37538466 39378396 41208356 42428308 43498193
MRGL   43877726 42477723 40497748 39047722 38147728 37137784
       36017910 35338067 34758390 34668575 32779032 31879378
       31799503 32199747 32800032 33370168 34050241 34750219
       35140129 35509842 36069759 37459830 39269894 39579854
       39709780 39629689 38459552 37979471 36819126 36468940
       36748762 37178682 38728517 39348487 40318474 41838470
       42708445 44138352 44778258 45078184 
MRGL   44600677 44670590 44260523 42280356 41140217 40490189
       39500188 38550194 38210225 38170360 38260495 39830550
       41380569 42460620 43580698 44600677 
MRGL   49521438 49111389 46610996 45540917 43361010 41461221
       40261284 39131403 38781472 38881561 39411634 41071668
       42311619 43491591 46231691 46911826 47492181 48152237
       49172296 49582295 
TSTM   32161665 33101619 33631557 34491469 35641388 36521359
       36961371 37361425 37501513 37561649 37391769 37421873
       37781930 38161963 38731983 39991969 40831934 41811887
       43021858 44291878 45221932 45762039 46262204 46802370
       47532453 49192528 99999999 49361284 48591190 48191068
       47730916 47770770 48000599 48150489 48100408 47660272
       46800176 45670015 44309850 42249654 39309336 38149186
       37589074 37178953 37138846 37348784 37848729 38628702
       39218723 39668775 40268895 40728910 41858893 42278884
       43438888 45308956 46198954 47008899 47438802 47668715
       47868663 99999999 28559434 29009506 29499658 29649744
       29749811 29999898 30419948 31220015 31920144 32360286
       32560444 32210678 31730795 30900890 99999999 31178713
       32578522 33738376 33998372 34228422 34288496 34238575
       33878621 33128694 32518751 32168811 31968909 31889024
       31629082 31169111 30829086 30519012 30298892 30698802
       31178713 99999999 45307501 44367471 43687418 43107305
       42947160 43127015 43286934 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75
N BUF 35 NE BFD 40 WNW MRB  0 - ROA 45 E TRI 40 NNW HSS 40 SW LOZ
35 S LEX 30 NE LUK 15 NNE FDY 20 SW MTC 55 ESE BAX

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 NNE ROC 25 NW ELM 30 SE UNV 15 NW DCA 45 N RIC 35 NNE AVC 20
WNW RDU 20 ENE CLT 65 NNW AHN 40 WNW RMG 35 NNW JAN 40 S SHV 40
NNW LFK 40 NNW ACT 45 NW ABI 20 SSE LBB 40 WSW PVW 40 SW AMA 25
ESE AMA 35 NW CHK 25 SE END 20 NE P28 30 NNW RSL 50 NNE RSL 15 NW
CNK 35 NNW MHK 45 S TOP 45 ENE CNU 35 E UNO 30 N DYR 10 WNW HOP 25
WNW BWG 50 NE SDF 30 NW LUK 40 NW DAY 35 SSW JXN 10 SE LAN 25 SSW
OSC 45 ENE OSC 90 ENE OSC

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 SE SHR 30 NW GCC 15 ESE GCC 30 N BFF 40 E SNY 15 W IML 15 NW
GLD 50 SSE ITR 25 ENE LAA 10 NNW LHX 25 W PUB 35 W DEN  0 - LAR 35
SSE CPR 55 NNW CPR 15 SE SHR

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
85 N GPI 55 NNE GPI 15 NNW 3HT 35 WSW BIL 35 ESE JAC 20 NNW OGD  0
- DPG 45 ESE ELY 35 S ELY 50 SSE P68 20 WSW P68 35 NNE BAM 25 N
OWY 15 ESE BOI 10 SSE LWS 55 N ALW 25 E SEA 45 S BLI 30 NW BLI 55
NNW BLI

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW CZZ 35 S TRM
35 E TRM 20 SSW EED 25 N IGM 40 S SGU 10 SW SGU 25 SE P38 35 WSW
P38 50 SE TPH 35 E BIH 20 WNW BIH 60 WNW BIH 55 SSE TVL 15 SE TVL
35 N RNO 65 NW LOL 75 SW REO 45 SSE BNO 50 N BNO 40 SW PDT 40 ENE
DLS 55 NNE PDX 15 SE HQM 30 S UIL 95 NNW UIL ...CONT... 55 NNW CTB
20 E CTB 50 WSW HVR 50 NNE LWT 60 WSW GGW 20 WSW OLF 30 E OLF 30
NNE SDY 60 N DIK 60 SSW N60 15 NE MBG 15 WSW HON 15 SW SUX 40 SSE
CDJ  0 - VIH 20 SW FAM  0 - CGI 20 ENE PAH 50 SSW EVV 10 NW OWB 40
SSW BMG 15 SSE HUF 25 WNW HUF 15 S BMI 20 NNW BMI 25 SSE RFD 15
ENE RFD 30 NE MSN 25 S RHI 40 N RHI 25 WSW CMX 30 NE CMX 80 NNE
MQT 100 NNE MQT ...CONT... 60 SSE GLS 25 ESE LBX 50 NNE VCT 35 E
BAZ  0 - BAZ 45 NNE HDO 20 ESE JCT 25 ESE SJT 20 S BGS 30 SE HOB
20 NNW CNM 35 NW ELP 40 SSW DMN 55 SE DUG ...CONT... 20 SSW GZH 15
ESE AUO 30 WSW AHN 25 W AHN 40 NNE ATL 15 ESE RMG 25 NE GAD 10 SW
GAD 35 SSW BHM 35 WNW SEM 40 ESE MEI 30 SW MEI 30 SSW JAN 30 E HEZ
35 SSE HEZ 25 NE BTR 20 WNW ASD 10 SE GPT 15 E MOB 20 SSW GZH
...CONT... 25 NNW MSS 25 W SLK 35 NW GFL 30 S RUT 20 SSW CON 35
SSE PWM 55 ESE PWM

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 22, 12:02z for portions of PAH

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