[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 23, 1:00z for portions of JKL

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 23, 1:00z for portions of JKL

196 
WUUS01 KWNS 230102
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SAT AUG 22 2026

VALID TIME 230100Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49231735 48481811 48091954 48052030 48362095 48862140
       49232161 
0.05   40660275 40540369 41140492 43120574 44190637 44770632
       44800576 44170458 43380326 42720266 42230247 41670243
       41170258 40660275 
0.05   37940490 38050590 38460619 38860611 39200544 39190483
       39030418 38620384 38160403 37940490 
0.05   33829217 34269261 34759301 35039306 35279268 35009163
       34809063 34628986 34388931 34018876 33648848 33248870
       33318975 33449090 33559156 33829217 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   32840117 33140198 33650259 33970273 34310274 34610223
       34130161 33890069 33810018 33919961 33489931 32959933
       32679978 32720050 32840117 
0.05   37940487 38010584 38420617 38890610 39200544 39200482
       39030417 38650382 38170403 37940487 
0.05   40171271 41021367 42171399 43471422 44761309 45671165
       45851092 45750999 45240944 44040919 43070925 41390988
       40681067 40211158 40171271 
0.05   34169285 34799339 35189318 35549271 35449166 35099044
       34998992 35198890 35268839 35088767 34698711 34148702
       33428727 32998795 32868891 32929003 33239190 33679248
       34169285 
0.05   35558500 36048563 36608535 37218344 37608204 37967997
       38557901 39197859 40317824 41107818 41627816 41767766
       41667711 41167665 40177666 38697689 38167702 37617740
       37057798 36287877 35917925 35418086 35248279 35558500
0.05   43950418 43360321 42680262 42220249 41710241 41030263
       40700278 40530365 41170496 42440545 43110576 44170634
       44750633 44820577 44290478 43950418 
0.15   34858782 33998772 33398809 33248865 33328991 33519135
       33809213 34269262 34749314 34999311 35339263 35329181
       35049103 34809016 35028824 34858782 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   34999311 35339263 35329181 34809016 35028824 34858782
       33998772 33398809 33248865 33519135 33809213 34749314
       34999311 
MRGL   38890610 39200544 39200482 39030417 38650382 38160403
       37940487 38010584 38460619 38890610 
MRGL   44770632 44820577 43360321 42680262 42230247 41710241
       40660275 40530365 41170496 43110576 44190637 44770632
MRGL   44761309 45671165 45851092 45750999 45240944 44040919
       43070925 41390988 40681067 40211158 40171271 41021367
       42171399 43471422 44761309 
MRGL   49231735 48481811 48091954 48052030 48362095 48862140
       49232161 
MRGL   34610223 34130161 33810018 33919961 33489931 32959933
       32679978 32720050 32840117 33140198 33650259 33970273
       34310274 34610223 
MRGL   35189318 35549271 35449166 34998992 35268839 35088767
       34698711 34148702 33428727 32998795 32868891 32929003
       33239190 33679248 34799339 35189318 
MRGL   36608535 37608204 37967997 38557901 39197859 40317824
       41627816 41767766 41667711 41167665 40177666 38167702
       37617740 36287877 35917925 35418086 35248279 35558500
       36048563 36608535 
TSTM   29538617 30728581 31998365 32558129 33508050 34368019
       35078101 34808244 34138400 33518500 32868601 32598688
       32348780 32208977 32199167 32099332 31619382 30269382
       29139312 99999999 49600534 47390235 45460001 42489735
       39849525 38449401 37499248 37099031 37198885 37428688
       38028558 38768498 39448506 39908558 40028657 40148746
       40788866 41208908 42868914 43818912 45308956 46228953
       46998902 47438803 47888651 99999999 32071690 32941656
       34251465 35211394 35731403 36261417 36511456 36611493
       36471529 36251548 36281581 36601609 36741657 36541741
       36331809 36581862 37261903 37851937 38541970 39371987
       40491968 41711948 43231904 44291878 45221932 45762039
       46262204 46802370 47532453 49192528 99999999 28559434
       28579509 28879579 29689649 30979755 31589961 31620145
       31580260 32060427 32270526 32220649 31990728 31800784
       30900890 99999999 45537459 44337424 43287366 42597329
       42267288 42097237 42007200 42067170 42197153 42617144
       43067123 44367002 45186914 45916794 46406714 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
S RUE 25 ENE RUE 30 SSW BVX 20 SSW MEM 40 WNW MSL 15 WNW MSL 55 S
MSL 25 SE CBM 30 SSW CBM 20 W GLH 25 WNW LLQ 20 N HOT 20 S RUE

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 ESE ASE 50 SW DEN 25 NNW COS 30 WSW LIC 45 S LIC 25 ESE PUB 30
SW PUB 40 N ALS 40 E GUC 45 ESE ASE

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
30 E SHR 35 NNW GCC 35 N CDR 25 ESE CDR 20 NE AIA 30 SE AIA 35 SSE
SNY 35 NW AKO  0 - CYS 30 NW DGW 50 SE SHR 30 E SHR

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 SW DLN 25 WSW BZN 10 ENE BZN 20 E LVM 55 NNW COD 35 SSW COD 30
WNW LND 45 WSW RKS 45 SSE EVW 45 SSE SLC 10 E DPG 30 NE ENV 30 SSW
BYI  0 - SUN 45 SW DLN

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
110 N GEG 65 NNW GEG 25 S OMK 45 N EAT 75 NNW EAT 50 E BLI 50 NE
BLI

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 NW PVW  0 - PVW 45 S CDS 55 SSW LTS 60 SW SPS 40 NNE ABI 20 NNW
ABI 50 WNW ABI 45 NNE BGS 40 SSW LBB 45 W LBB 45 SE CVS 35 E CVS
40 NW PVW

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
0 - RUE 30 NE RUE 20 S BVX  0 - MEM 40 SE MKL 25 N MSL 20 W HSV 40
SSW HSV 25 NE TCL 25 SW TCL 40 NNW MEI 40 S GWO 30 SSW LLQ 35 NNE
ELD 30 NW HOT  0 - RUE

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 NNW CSV 60 SSW CRW 25 ENE SSU 20 NNW SHD 35 WSW MRB  0 - AOO 25
ESE BFD 50 SW ELM 30 NNW IPT 15 ESE IPT 10 ESE CXY 35 WSW NHK 10
NNW RIC 30 N RDU 25 W RDU 15 NNE CLT 20 SW AVL 30 S CSV 30 WNW CSV
45 NNW CSV

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW PFN 35 NNW
PFN 50 S MCN 30 N SAV 20 E OGB 30 WNW FLO 10 SSW CLT 15 WSW GSP 40
NE ATL 35 N LGC 40 WNW AUO 20 NNE SEM 50 W SEM 20 ESE JAN 30 SE
MLU 25 NNW IER 45 WSW IER 25 NNE BPT 70 S LCH ...CONT... 105 N OLF
45 NNE DIK 20 ESE MBG 30 S YKN 20 WNW STJ 30 SW SZL 25 SW TBN 25
NNE POF 10 NNW PAH 25 SE OWB 15 SE SDF 40 SW LUK 40 NW LUK 25 SSW
MIE 25 NW IND 10 ESE DNV 25 NNE BMI 25 WSW MMO 15 NNW JVL 30 WSW
OSH 25 S RHI 40 N RHI 30 WSW CMX 30 NE CMX 105 NNE MQT ...CONT...
45 SW CZZ 25 NNW CZZ 35 S EED  0 - IGM 35 N IGM 55 ENE LAS 45 NE
LAS 40 NNE LAS 30 NNW LAS 20 WNW LAS 30 SSE DRA  0 - DRA 30 W DRA
60 NNE NID 50 NNW NID 55 SSW BIH 35 W BIH 65 WNW BIH 30 SSE TVL 10
SSW RNO 70 N RNO 55 ESE LKV 25 S BNO 50 N BNO 40 SW PDT 40 ENE DLS
55 NNE PDX 15 SE HQM 30 S UIL 95 NNW UIL ...CONT... 60 SSE GLS 45
SSE LBX 25 SW LBX 65 S CLL 15 SSW TPL 40 WSW BWD 40 S BGS 35 SW
MAF 20 S CNM 40 NW GDP 30 NNW ELP 30 SE DMN 30 SSW DMN 55 SE DUG
...CONT... 45 NNE MSS  0 - SLK  0 - GFL 10 N PSF 10 NW BAF 15 NE
BDL 20 SSW ORH 15 SSE ORH 20 ESE ORH 30 NW BOS 15 SE CON 10 WNW
AUG 30 NNW BGR 15 SSW HUL 35 ENE HUL

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 23, 1:00z for portions of JKL

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