The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 8, 12:55z for portions of IWX338
WUUS01 KWNS 081256
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT WED MAY 08 2024
VALID TIME 081300Z - 091200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 36697803 35757673 34897697 34477834 34327969 34068541
31779395 30089703 29969826 30959866 39279338 40119015
39698565 36697803
0.02 40989479 41719599 43159736 44389704 44509603 44559506
43599257 41959129 41369129 40889239 40989479
0.05 30609663 30399751 30609797 31229814 39099323 39809012
39578773 38768532 37968356 36588217 35428273 34968353
34968775 30609663
0.10 38399317 38959203 38919002 38628762 38218617 37568484
36888406 36208411 35788458 35568505 35548572 35648715
36128956 36729343 37359368 38399317
SIGN 38429317 38969202 38909005 38638764 38208618 37558484
36878406 36198413 35798459 35558505 35558575 35628707
36269040 36739343 37389368 38429317
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 33157850 33668290 32748837 29779691 29749841 30949906
39709423 40679430 41739599 43449777 44389832 44989792
45019649 44789495 42539053 42368781 41708589 41098493
40278030 40157716 40707587 41697577 42767625 43317621
43777601 44397514 44267379 43827204 42986995
0.15 31809394 30379657 30169767 30339803 31019835 32029804
39029411 39979282 40489062 40508825 40168571 38948122
37487816 36587710 35527647 34437710 34087943 34058551
31809394
0.30 36959447 38219360 38939206 38909006 38258706 37478552
36808496 36018527 35528590 35049013 32329544 32349621
32719644 33229654 34669581 36959447
0.45 36479081 36759255 36909298 37249305 37769296 38249228
37948908 37478736 37078716 36318720 35818789 36479081
SIGN 39629274 38758761 38258629 37418504 36578464 35428535
34649024 32589405 30399670 30189766 30369802 31029831
32019804 39039410 39629274
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 33197877 33668276 32748834 29769692 29759841 30959905
39679424 40679431 41729599 43409775 44399832 44989790
45019642 44789493 42539051 42348776 41688586 41088489
40288033 40147712 40707589 41647577 42747625 43297622
43797600 44407516 44287386 43827203 42986995
0.15 31759399 30359660 30159765 30329802 31029833 32149800
39039408 39969284 40489061 40498822 40158570 38958122
37537820 36617713 35517647 34447713 34087943 34108185
34058546 31759399
0.30 34978814 32339540 32369624 32739646 33259652 35529528
38229359 38959205 38909003 38638759 37868425 37128271
36588215 35978261 35388316 35138441 34978814
0.45 37789296 38289225 37948903 37018571 36618524 35928518
35558572 35778774 36469074 36749259 36899296 37229307
37789296
SIGN 31069821 33969651 38199363 38909165 38658894 37988661
37218532 36338495 35738508 35178594 35028824 33689206
32779423 31289607 30609672 30499770 30499797 31069821
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MDT 37789296 38279226 37958904 37008571 36608521 35918517
35558575 35778774 36469075 36749259 36909298 37229307
37789296
ENH 34669581 36959447 38229359 38959203 38919001 38628761
37878424 37118270 36588215 35988261 35388316 35138441
34978814 32329544 32369624 32739646 33229654 34669581
SLGT 39029411 39979282 40489062 40508825 40158570 38948122
37537820 36617713 35527647 34437710 34087943 34058546
31759399 30379657 30169767 30339803 31019835 32049804
39029411
MRGL 33157851 33658280 32748834 29779691 29749841 30949906
39699422 40679431 41719599 43449777 44389832 44989792
45019649 44789495 42539054 42368781 41698590 41088490
40288033 40157709 40717588 41677578 42747625 43307622
43797600 44407516 44287386 43827204 42896976
TSTM 46197105 45666949 45116806 44416682 99999999 32237983
32258441 31619114 31039299 29599558 29019803 29319878
29719935 30609951 31739939 33369871 39109560 39729558
40189621 40999929 41850130 43310335 44350347 45140243
46060034 46579767 46529498 46119108 45068537 44268280
43548176 99999999 27437952 26108058 25708124 25968203
27348272 28338285 29608201 30098144 30108106 29988075
99999999 41240903 41581020 42591086 43751059 44050996
43820906 42660797 42020762 41430792 41220842 41240903
&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE
SGF 25 SSW JEF 15 NE MDH 40 E BWG 45 N CSV CSV 45 SW CSV 60 SSW CKV
25 NNE ARG 40 N FLP 30 SE SGF 15 E SGF 45 NNE SGF.
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S
MLC 15 S JLN 35 S SZL 15 NE COU ALN 40 N EVV 25 ESE LEX 45 NNW TRI
15 ENE TRI 15 ENE HSS 35 W AVL 45 E CHA 35 WNW MSL TYR 25 NNE CRS 25
ESE DAL 30 NE DAL 15 S MLC.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE
MKC 15 WSW IRK 35 SE BRL 30 N CMI 15 WSW MIE 30 SSE PKB 45 SSE CHO
35 ENE RZZ 45 NE EWN 40 SE OAJ 20 ESE FLO 25 SW RMG 50 S SHV 20 SW
CLL 10 S AUS 20 W AUS 55 W TPL 15 SSE SEP 25 ESE MKC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
CRE 35 SE AHN 35 NE MEI 60 SE AUS 15 NNE SAT 50 NE JCT 35 WSW CDJ 20
WNW LWD 10 ESE TQE 25 SSE MHE HON 40 W ATY 20 S VVV 15 NNE RWF 15 NE
DBQ 25 S RAC 20 E SBN 15 ENE FWA 15 SSW PIT 15 WSW CXY 25 W ABE 25 N
AVP 20 NNE ITH 15 NNW SYR 15 S ART 40 SSW MSS 20 ESE SLK 20 NE LEB
55 ESE PSM.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 105 NNE EFK 65 NNW
BGR 45 ENE BGR 35 SSE EPM ...CONT... 45 SSE CHS 35 ESE CSG 10 E HEZ
10 E POE 20 WSW HOU 45 SE SAT 25 E HDO 25 NNW HDO 15 ENE JCT 25 W
BWD 45 SSW SPS TOP 25 S FNB 30 ESE BIE 25 NW EAR 20 SW MHN 35 NNW
CDR 30 NW RAP 55 SSW Y22 35 N MBG 45 WSW FAR 40 WNW BRD 30 SSW ASX
25 NNE TVC 30 ESE OSC 65 ESE BAX ...CONT... 55 ESE VRB 30 NW MIA 45
SE APF 20 SW APF 10 WSW SRQ 30 NNW PIE 15 ESE GNV 10 NW SGJ 20 ENE
SGJ 35 E SGJ ...CONT... 25 S RKS 50 ENE EVW 40 W BPI 15 NNE JAC 50
NE JAC 50 S COD 40 SE RIW 25 NW RWL 45 SW RWL 45 SE RKS 25 S RKS.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 8, 12:55z for portions of IWX---------------
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