CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 2:53 AM EDT442
FXUS61 KCLE 240653
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
253 AM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the previous forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mainly dry conditions will continue through Saturday.
2) Shower and thunderstorm chances return Sunday through
Tuesday. Strong to severe storms are possible, mainly on
Monday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure continues to influence the region through Saturday
with seasonable temperatures expected. A shortwave aloft will swing
east across the Upper Ohio Valley during the afternoon and evening
hours today. The majority of the area should remain dry but have
introduced low-end rain chances along and south of US-30 later today
for any isolated showers that may develop. Isolated showers and
storms are expected along and east of I-77 Saturday morning and
afternoon as mid-level moisture increases.
High temperatures will rise into the low 80s today and Saturday.
Overnight lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s tonight with warmer
lows in the mid 60s Saturday night.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Active weather is expected to return early next week as a ridge over
the western United States builds and allows for a trough to dig
south across the the Great Lakes region. Surface low pressure will
usher in a strong LLJ over a moist airmass with dew points in the
upper 60s. This will increase the potential for clusters of
thunderstorms. Strong to severe storms remain possible, particularly
on Monday, as highlighted by the SPC Severe Risk area. Shower and
thunderstorm chances linger into mid-week as the aforementioned low
pushes east across the Lower Great Lakes. A fair amount of
uncertainty remains in timing, coverage, and intensity of storms
given the conditional nature of this setup.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
VFR. Winds ENE today 10kts or less at the surface. Robust
cumulus field expected with BKN ceiling FL045 inland including
CLE. ERI likely clear or cirrus only. Cumulus field dissipates
with evening/sunset.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible with periodic showers and
thunderstorms Sunday through Tuesday.
&&
.MARINE...
Quiet marine conditions are expected through much of the weekend as
high pressure builds in. Winds will be light at less than 10 knots
out of the east to northeast through Friday night with the highest
waves being a foot or less. Saturday through Sunday night, winds
will shift to be out of the south to southwest at 5-10 knots and
waves building to 2 feet or less, generally in the open waters.
Winds will increase Monday out of the southwest to 10-15 knots as a
cold front approaches and thunderstorm chances increase.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...26
MARINE...23
Source:
CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 24, 2:53 AM EDT---------------
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