[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 19:55z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 19:55z for portions of PBZ

144 
WUUS01 KWNS 111957
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026

VALID TIME 112000Z - 121200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   36268728 36368844 36438930 36649017 36929054 37359065
       37629048 37998995 38298905 38328822 38138743 37898706
       37558655 37368633 37088624 36838635 36408669 36268728
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36599811 36709456 36279026 35698973 35018983 34839076
       34769238 34879450 35219788 35399832 35829850 36239849
       36599811 
0.05   31341212 31991190 32451146 32691058 32560983 32270933
       31740910 30950900 
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29228025 28668059 28258085 27978112 27748135 27798190
       28108243 28618283 29228317 29688356 30278427 30918479
       31818558 32178630 32678767 33359102 34129474 34269651
       34239792 34409875 34509928 34659962 34869976 35089984
       35409996 35689995 36079987 36279971 36649925 36789842
       37179332 37289240 37599155 37979104 38469076 38969028
       39328960 39618884 39718309 39528131 39328001 39257912
       39607827 40177697 40357623 40247484 39337341 
0.05   31941448 33231293 33751157 33620979 33820843 34220737
       35110635 36130538 36390483 36430418 36280364 35760332
       34970315 34040316 33590333 33250374 30860695 
0.15   31817997 33178202 33688349 34018760 35009680 35049772
       35049819 35189867 35489896 35849896 36179871 36439786
       36549713 36809126 36438741 35518294 35008056 34607891
       34277810 33577708 
0.15   31581387 32481311 33181171 33251005 32680904 30850905
CIG1   31901453 32721352 33191172 33231032 32580970 31570947
       30670984 31901453 
CIG1   36639882 36789831 36829673 36649586 35949553 35509561
       35189579 35049600 35029700 35059773 35159834 35259878
       35719911 36329908 36639882 
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   31701377 32481311 33181171 33251005 32680904 30850905
SLGT   31848002 33178202 33688349 34018760 35009680 35049819
       35189867 35489896 35849896 36179871 36439786 36549713
       36809126 36438741 34607891 34277810 33737732 
MRGL   31961445 33231293 33751157 33620979 33820843 34220737
       35110635 36130538 36390483 36430418 36280364 35760332
       34970315 34040316 33590333 31120660 
MRGL   29228025 28258085 27748135 27798190 28108243 29688356
       30278427 31818558 32178630 32678767 34129474 34269651
       34239792 34509928 34659962 34869976 35409996 36079987
       36649925 36789842 37289240 37599155 37979104 38469076
       38969028 39618884 39718309 39257912 40177697 40357623
       40247484 39437356 
TSTM   48068619 47368698 46288827 45378949 44829040 44389130
       44229249 44479329 45409406 46569481 46919545 47289682
       47279856 47239909 46680025 45770112 44060173 42260217
       40410240 39990231 39580200 38980102 38679979 38529801
       38449627 38399508 38489378 38679307 38929233 39519112
       40248939 40728749 41168598 41278305 40947883 40217260
       99999999 29780496 32229744 32499712 32929722 33139761
       33199877 32930148 32570355 32120453 30630619 99999999
       26827948 25198062 24908091 23558309 99999999 32161514
       32661486 33671426 34831338 35091312 35201291 35291253
       35281203 35301141 35241087 35071017 34930958 34900912
       34920882 35030851 35290830 35810801 36490786 37550757
       40290653 43750548 45490486 46860407 47700359 48770275
       49610208 

&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80
SE YUM 40 SW GBN 25 SE PHX 35 NW SAD 35 ESE SAD 55 SE DUG

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75
S CHS 15 SSW AGS 20 SSW AHN 50 S MSL 50 S CQB 15 WSW CHK 30 ESE
CSM 15 NE CSM 40 NNE CSM 40 S AVK  0 - END 15 S PNC 35 E UNO 10 S
CKV 25 S FAY 10 W ILM 50 SE ILM

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 S YUM 25 NNW GBN 35 NE PHX 45 SSE SOW 85 N SVC 30 WNW ONM 15
ENE ABQ 35 NNW LVS 30 SW RTN 25 SE RTN 30 WSW CAO 45 NNE TCC 30
ESE TCC 25 SSE CVS 55 S CVS 50 SSW ELP

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
50 E DAB 15 NW MLB  0 - AGR 35 WNW AGR 20 NE PIE 30 W CTY 10 SSE
TLH 25 E TOI 10 SE MGM 40 S TCL 20 WNW DEQ 20 NNW DUA 40 ENE SPS
10 S LTS 20 W LTS 30 WNW LTS 45 W CSM 15 SSW GAG 35 WSW AVK 15 E
AVK 35 SSW TBN 40 SSE VIH 35 WNW FAM 30 SW STL 15 NNE STL 15 S DEC
25 SSW CMH 45 ENE EKN 10 WSW CXY 35 ENE CXY  0 - TTN 60 SE NEL

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125 NNE MQT 65 NNE
MQT 35 NNW IMT 20 S RHI 35 W CWA 35 N LSE 20 N RST 30 S MSP 10 S
STC 35 WNW BRD 20 ENE DTL 25 N FAR 25 NNE JMS 30 NW JMS 25 ESE BIS
35 WNW MBG  0 - PHP 35 ENE AIA 40 W IML 50 N ITR 20 NW GLD 45 SE
GLD 50 S HLC 25 SW SLN 10 NNW EMP 35 SSW OJC 20 SW SZL 25 E SZL 10
NW COU 30 S UIN 30 NNE SPI 35 N DNV 40 SSE SBN 35 ENE FDY 15 SSE
DUJ 50 SSE ISP ...CONT... 70 SW MRF 40 S FTW 25 SSE FTW 10 NE FTW
25 NNW FTW 50 NW MWL 50 N BGS 20 WSW HOB 20 SW CNM 80 S ELP
...CONT... 40 ENE PBI 40 NE MTH 15 NE MTH 110 SW EYW ...CONT... 45
SW YUM 15 W YUM 25 E BLH 45 SE IGM 45 ESE IGM 45 NW PRC 45 N PRC
25 WNW FLG 20 NE FLG 15 NNW INW 30 E INW 50 NNE SOW 45 SSW GUP 40
S GUP 35 SSE GUP 25 WNW GNT 45 N GNT 25 SE FMN 30 NNE DRO 50 NNE
EGE 40 S GCC 25 E 4BQ 35 NNE BHK 35 S ISN 55 NE ISN 100 NNW MOT

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 11, 19:55z for portions of PBZ

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