The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 10, 12:32z for portions of IWX185
WUUS01 KWNS 101234
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
VALID TIME 101300Z - 111200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 37779149 37639361 37809537 38249632 38699678 39159671
40019536 40349425 40429261 40009063 39418907 38828839
38048859 37608924 37779149
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42519765 42559810 42819842 43149852 43579843 44189807
45009738 45869643 46209577 46409509 46329465 46109446
45929444 45339460 44489507 43809553 43239623 42819685
42519765
0.05 36379040 36489252 36879627 36599904 36210039 35460145
34850230 34600300 34700375 35060427 35600447 36250452
38770485 39560461 39890384 39860293 39520206 39210115
38990005 38899828 39189691 40159568 40529454 40599258
40439050 40068928 39678861 39068806 38418790 37678808
37018849 36478915 36379040
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127
26088152 25658212
0.05 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634
36139742 35829876 35449980 34290211 33810300 33790349
33920387 34620436 38760485 39570460 39890386 39850287
39330189 38970126 38600014 38519830 39189690 40189570
40559461 40629268 40469045 39828839 38968645 38298508
37458360 37268261 37398159 37728048 38387958 39087930
39667970 39628123 39618283 39798374 40258433 41018443
41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919 42357799 42097653
41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360
0.05 45479522 44909496 44469517 43829560 43309620 42849684
42569762 42589806 42799835 43119849 43569838 44209803
44959740 45489677 45609585 45479522
0.15 39419007 38518871 38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892
36698992 36899088 36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538
37789568 38529563 39339535 39859455 40069355 40039199
39419007
0.15 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381 37530397 38230379
38510347 38680266 38420200 37910156 37390123 37010116
36330109 35790132 35470161 35440221
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 38230379 38510347 38680266 38420200 37390123 36330109
35790132 35470161 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381
37530397 38230379
SLGT 38529563 39339535 39859455 40069355 40039199 39419007
38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892 36698992 36899088
36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538 37789568 38529563
MRGL 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127
26088152 25658212
MRGL 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634
36139742 35829876 35449980 33810300 33790349 33920387
34620436 38760485 39560461 39890386 39860293 39210115
38990005 38899828 39189691 40189570 40559461 40629268
40469045 39828839 38298508 37458360 37268261 37398159
37728048 38387958 39087930 39667970 39618283 39798374
40258433 41018443 41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919
42357799 42097653 41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360
MRGL 43579843 44189807 45009738 45869643 46209577 46409509
46329465 46109446 45929444 45339460 44489507 43809553
43239623 42819685 42519765 42559810 42819842 43149852
43579843
TSTM 31511314 31601310 32181265 32741165 33541130 34161198
34431231 34691229 35041223 35431187 35461105 35291033
35210958 35190838 35260757 35920658 36450592 37660836
38560999 39261137 39911213 40461244 41061243 41621219
42431220 42951270 43881366 44711441 44881461 45871470
46651383 47091351 47571251 47901007 48090809 48090656
47580561 46990508 46550455 45830380 44620310 44060310
43460346 42990415 42530428 41890389 41590322 40890261
40630239 40460196 40480138 40510079 40740065 41240066
42250090 42780087 43440057 44040041 44750039 45610055
46450058 46800013 47179909 47379811 47619772 47989700
48199686 48689676 49669657 99999999 29120142 29819974
30429864 31189759 31749700 32409576 32579442 32709319
32809251 32769127 32608984 32758908 33028884 33238871
33658903 33938957 34549141 35059378 35089579 35039807
34809963 34560012 33580149 32660288 31970393 31200439
30190525 99999999 43927950 43257590 43267367 42997096
42796867 99999999 48518709 47608924 47179031 46849112
46339128 46189048 46038941 45918913 45498887 45058896
44628913 44378972 43928997 43708988 43368941 43028870
42878812 42748754 42918677 43318573 43398529 43328407
43368260 43758102 99999999 44466629 44546791 44966873
45436909 46176887 46806837 47606736
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
NW LHX 35 N LHX 40 N LAA 45 ENE LAA 30 NNW LBL 35 SE GUY 10 NE BGD
20 NNE AMA 30 WNW AMA 40 SSW DHT 35 SSW CAO 35 W CAO 25 NE TAD 20
NW LHX
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40
S TOP 25 NE TOP 20 ENE STJ 15 N CDJ 30 E IRK 35 N ALN 35 W EVV 45
SW EVV 25 ESE PAH 30 SSW PAH 30 E POF 25 WNW POF 20 NNW UNO 20 SSE
SGF 10 WSW JLN 25 SSE CNU 15 NW CNU 40 S TOP
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 SSW CTY 40 WSW OCF 20 SW OCF 35 SSE OCF 35 WSW ORL 40 ENE FMY
15 ESE APF 40 SSW APF
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 SE SAV 20 NE VDI 20 N ANB 20 NNW MEM 25 SSE HRO 25 W TUL 30 ESE
END 40 NE CSM 35 WNW CSM 45 SSE CVS 40 SSW CVS 45 SW CVS 60 SW TCC
10 WSW COS 20 SE DEN 45 NNW LIC 25 SE AKO 30 ESE GLD 30 SSW HLC 30
E RSL 15 WNW MHK 10 NW FNB 35 W LWD 35 SSW OTM 40 ESE BRL 15 SSW
CMI 30 NW LEX 15 WSW JKL 55 NNW TRI 20 WNW BLF 10 WSW SSU 35 SSE
EKN 30 ENE EKN 10 E MGW 25 S CMH 25 ESE DAY 25 NNW DAY 40 E FWA 10
S TOL 45 NNW MFD 40 N YNG 10 NNE JHW 55 SSW ROC 20 ESE ELM 25 NE
AVP 0 - EWR 25 E NEL 55 E ACY
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 SW MHE 15 SSE HON 15 WNW ATY 40 N VVV 30 NW AXN 40 NNE AXN 25
WSW BRD 25 SW BRD 30 NW STC 30 WSW STC 0 - RWF 10 NNE OTG 35 SE
FSD 30 ESE YKN 30 SSW YKN 30 E ONL 25 NNE ONL 45 N ONL 25 SW MHE
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW GBN 95 SSW
GBN 50 S GBN 50 SSE PHX 40 E PHX 40 SE PRC 15 SSE PRC 10 ENE PRC
30 NNE PRC 25 NNW FLG 35 NNW INW 30 NE INW 50 WSW GUP 25 W GNT 20
ENE GNT 20 ESE 4SL 60 N SAF 30 NNE CEZ 20 SW CNY 40 SW PUC 40 NNE
U24 30 NE DPG 25 WSW OGD 30 NNW OGD 20 NNE MLD 0 - PIH 40 NE SUN
40 SW SMN 40 WSW SMN 45 ESE P69 20 SSE MSO 35 NNW 3DU 75 S CTB 45
SSW HVR 70 W GGW 10 SSE GGW 35 S OLF 15 SW GDV 20 NW BHK 20 NW 2WX
40 N RAP 0 - RAP 45 SSW RAP 65 N TOR 35 NNW TOR 15 W BFF 30 SE
BFF 25 SE SNY 45 SE SNY 20 WSW IML 15 ESE IML 25 NNW MCK 25 S LBF
10 N LBF 15 NNE MHN 15 WSW VTN 40 N VTN 25 SSW PIR 25 NNW PIR 10
NW MBG 25 SSE BIS 30 E BIS 25 NW JMS 40 NE JMS 35 SW GFK 10 ENE
GFK 20 NE GFK 10 ESE HCO 65 NNE HCO ...CONT... 35 WSW DRT 50 S JCT
60 N SAT 10 WNW TPL 15 ENE ACT 20 W TYR 20 NE GGG 40 SSW ELD 35
SSE ELD 50 SSW GLH 25 NE JAN 35 NNW MEI 50 N MEI 30 SSW CBM 35 W
CBM 30 S UOX 40 NE PBF 40 ESE FSM 15 N MLC 0 - CHK 25 WNW LTS 15
NE CDS 20 ESE LBB 20 E HOB 30 SE CNM 50 SSE GDP 75 W MRF
...CONT... 80 NNW BUF 15 NE SYR 0 - GFL 10 SW PSM 115 S BHB
...CONT... 115 NE CMX 45 NW CMX 40 S GNA 25 NNW ASX 20 SW ASX 30
SW IWD 30 N RHI 25 NE RHI 30 ESE RHI 35 ENE AUW 30 ESE CWA 30 S
CWA 15 E VOK 25 SE VOK 15 NNW MSN 30 NNE JVL 10 WSW MKE 15 E RAC
35 WSW MKG 30 NNW GRR 35 NNE GRR 15 S MBS 35 SE BAX 125 NNW ERI
...CONT... 50 SE EPM 25 ENE BHB 10 NNE BGR 45 NNW BGR 50 W HUL 15
WSW CAR 60 NNE CAR
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 10, 12:32z for portions of IWX---------------
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