The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 24, 12:55z for portions of IWX113
WUUS01 KWNS 241257
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
VALID TIME 241300Z - 251200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 42789106 44359158 45129152 45459109 45779018 45828905
44978760 44008753 42318748 41638751 41258822 41328968
41779050 42789106
0.02 38870484 40420548 42180685 42800635 42660464 42010302
41310196 40770113 40200093 39320140 38820190 38580279
38500397 38870484
0.05 40000252 39740290 39630352 39740417 39980466 40480490
41380542 41840523 41920442 41670364 41150290 40610245
40000252
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 44898710 43158745 42478741 41888698 41468661 40958658
40708690 40608770 40748882 40898983 41299066 42039130
42979180 45349256 46089254 46499126 46449002 46278867
45428743 44898710
0.05 40330585 41440642 41820692 42330749 43000789 43650793
44180716 44250561 42600196 40879879 40059793 38839816
37609908 36940020 36420110 35590164 34560174 33840193
33030232 32230305 32170350 32350381 32810413 33450442
34240494 34830528 35670547 36650519 37120507 39290548
40330585
0.05 36559498 35989388 35289297 34719252 33979270 33429317
32999396 32889490 33439605 33839690 34339763 34839795
35989831 36479798 36659707 36669600 36559498
0.15 42699060 43579103 44669125 45439084 45778984 45608870
44848776 43938768 42648780 42188814 41768886 41768972
42699060
0.15 39040504 40360529 41660602 42670689 43090686 43350668
43530603 43410482 43030405 42130223 41210110 40640046
40150017 39600009 39140036 38930061 38630123 38150244
38360399 39040504
CIG1 41270080 40340012 39619981 38790037 38010128 37800265
37980378 38500481 39100521 40390538 41680613 42590695
42890730 43650716 43890615 43590462 42310208 41270080
CIG2 41540553 42380590 42830587 43000567 43040531 42770442
42450372 41950306 41400263 40820229 40210233 39960263
39780306 39840400 41540553
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42799122 43759144 44929143 45519122 45969026 45898904
45578817 45148751 44738725 43988733 43178746 42478743
41938705 41458662 40968660 40718692 40638770 40738874
40898981 41309067 41829100 42799122
0.05 34750540 35670567 36630519 37130508 39340551 40320583
41380637 43150746 43530738 44110632 44230550 41650018
39729693 37729447 34958989 32718715 32078683 31028680
30348706 30098829 30269002 31139187 32439435 33979718
35139909 35710036 35580117 34650120 33760143 33020194
32150311 32210394 32560442 34750540
0.05 25847956 25608066 25938124 26388159 27298211 28208228
29028216 29358184 29588100 29558048
0.05 42541356 42761188 42551077 42140989 41670916 41030847
40320791 39570766 38300733 36260710 35730751 35080911
35061043 35331157 36091270 37211381 38101464 38911524
39741548 40321548 40921537 41511500 42121446 42541356
0.15 40380531 41630597 42620615 43220549 43380478 42170229
40670048 40140014 39570011 38140085 37170194 36520252
35430248 34530221 34030225 33570255 33470301 33540364
34310438 35330478 37690478 40380531
0.15 41051131 39841080 39261096 38841172 38771317 38991386
39371412 40041420 40411403 40731369 41151301 41311236
41331185 41051131
CIG1 35890453 38210411 39910424 41800614 42650627 43270536
43170453 41670140 41090067 40199999 39409974 38120011
37370101 36440207 35800217 35070192 33860163 32990213
32460283 32380327 32450369 32740399 33300404 34100419
35890453
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 42830587 43000567 43040531 42770442 42450372 41950306
41400263 40820229 40210233 39960263 39780306 39840400
41540553 42380590 42830587
SLGT 43090686 43350668 43530603 43410482 42130223 40670048
40140014 39600009 38140085 37170194 36520252 35430248
34530221 34030225 33570255 33470301 33540364 34310438
35330478 37690478 40380531 41660602 42670689 43090686
SLGT 40411403 40731369 41151301 41311236 41331185 41051131
39841080 39261096 38841172 38771317 38991386 39371412
40041420 40411403
SLGT 45439084 45778984 45608870 44848776 43938768 42648780
42188814 41768886 41768972 42699060 43579103 44669125
45439084
MRGL 44180716 44230550 42600196 40879879 39729693 37729447
34958989 32718715 32078683 31028680 30348706 30098829
30269002 31139187 32439435 33979718 35139909 35710036
35580117 34650120 33760143 33020194 32150311 32210394
32560442 34750540 35670567 36600520 37130508 39760565
40330585 41440642 42330749 43000789 43650793 44180716
MRGL 40321548 40921537 41511500 42121446 42541356 42761188
42551077 42140989 41670916 41030847 40320791 38300733
36260710 35730751 35080911 35061043 35331157 36091270
38101464 38911524 39741548 40321548
MRGL 25847956 25608066 25938124 26388159 27298211 28208228
29028216 29358184 29588100 29558048
MRGL 46089254 46499126 46449002 46278867 45428743 44898710
43158745 42478741 41468661 40958658 40708690 40608770
40898983 41299066 42039130 42979180 45349256 46089254
TSTM 49681224 48971194 48391147 47120926 46490759 46140618
45950413 45580265 44850082 44179918 43609822 42889696
42379601 42129523 42199456 42889400 44039399 45339470
46139574 46689757 48060123 49230396 49500477 99999999
28569079 29829329 31089508 31929627 32579751 32759824
32729939 32400049 31270187 30180295 29680377 29330459
29280494 99999999 31221207 32261174 32961160 33631195
34251296 34401419 34251528 34251611 34521679 34901717
35951747 37271764 39241771 41421708 43421628 45241593
45921609 46301637 46521690 46651777 46591839 46461907
46281948 45992006 45802130 46042170 46722196 48112157
49692202 99999999 43317955 42068065 40848360 39538635
38898758 38138836 37408874 36528894 35728835 34518717
33838601 32658492 31228442 30838417 30448359 30278269
30358150 30718082 99999999 44226678 44146845 44577154
44697229 45457347
&&
THERE IS A ENHANCED RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 WNW DGW 25 NW DGW 20 N DGW 50 NNW TOR 35 NE TOR 15 WSW AIA 30
NE SNY 40 WNW IML 45 WSW IML 35 ESE AKO 30 SSE AKO 45 NNW LIC 15
NNE LAR 35 SW DGW 25 WNW DGW
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
NW CPR 35 NNW CPR 50 NNE CPR 55 NNE DGW 30 E AIA 35 N MCK 25 E MCK
20 NW HLC 15 NNW GCK 10 N EHA 35 N DHT 40 S DHT 35 NW PVW 30 WSW
PVW 45 W LBB 55 NNE HOB 60 SSW CVS 70 N ROW 30 SE LVS 40 NW TAD 15
WSW FCL 30 NW LAR 25 SW CPR 25 NW CPR
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
S ENV 20 E ENV 65 N DPG 20 WNW OGD 15 NE OGD 20 SW EVW 15 N PUC 25
SSW PUC 55 SE U24 25 NNW MLF 60 NW MLF 40 E ELY 50 S ENV 20 S ENV
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50
NE EAU 20 WNW RHI 30 WSW IMT 30 NE GRB 15 S MTW 10 S RAC 45 SSW
RAC 30 NNW MMO 45 SW RFD 20 NNE DBQ 25 SSE LSE 20 SE EAU 50 NE EAU
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 SSW SHR 10 S GCC 55 NE AIA 15 NE EAR 40 SSW BIE 40 N JLN 10 SE
MEM 25 NNW SEM 20 SSE SEM 25 NW CEW 10 SE PNS 40 S MOB 15 WSW ASD
30 SE ESF 20 E GGG 25 SSW ADM 15 SSE CSM 50 SW GAG 15 ESE BGD 45
NE PVW 25 ENE LBB 45 S LBB 25 NNE INK 20 ESE CNM 20 NNW CNM 50 NNE
4CR 25 E SAF 40 WSW RTN 45 NW RTN 40 W DEN 45 W FCL 40 WNW LAR 40
NNW RWL 30 E RIW 20 S WRL 40 SSW SHR
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
40 SSE EKO 20 ENE EKO 65 NE EKO 25 S TWF 10 E BYI 45 NNE MLD 35 W
BPI 30 SSE BPI 0 - RKS 50 SE RKS 25 WSW CAG 25 SW GUC 20 NNW 4SL
35 WSW 4SL 35 SSW GUP 15 E INW 15 NNE FLG 30 WNW GCN 35 N P38 35
SW ELY 30 ENE P68 40 SSE EKO
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
45 E MIA 25 WSW MIA 35 ESE APF 20 NE APF 30 ESE SRQ 30 NE PIE 10
SSE OCF 25 ENE OCF 30 N DAB 45 NE DAB
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 SSW DLH 15 WSW ASX 10 SE IWD 40 NW IMT 25 SW ESC 55 S ESC 25
ENE MKE 30 SE RAC 20 SW SBN 40 NNE LAF 20 N LAF 30 N DNV 15 NNW
PIA 15 SW MLI 25 ENE CID 40 NE ALO 45 NE MSP 55 SSW DLH
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 N CTB 30 NE CTB
65 N GTF 10 ENE LWT 65 NE BIL 25 SW MLS 30 SSE BHK 35 SW Y22 40 NW
PIR 30 NNE 9V9 15 SW MHE 20 E YKN 20 E SUX 10 NE DNS 30 SW FOD 25
NNE FOD 15 SSW MKT 35 WSW STC 25 NW AXN 40 WSW FAR 15 S MOT 75 NNW
ISN 105 NNE OLF ...CONT... 70 S HUM 20 S LCH 20 WSW LFK 10 SE CRS
20 SSW FTW 10 WSW MWL 25 NE ABI 45 W ABI 50 SSE MAF 50 S FST 50
SSE MRF 80 SSW MRF 95 SW MRF ...CONT... 90 SW TUS 45 WNW TUS 40 SE
PHX 15 NNE PHX 40 SW PRC 35 SE EED 50 SW EED 45 N TRM 25 S DAG 20
W DAG 20 NNE NID 40 E BIH 30 WSW U31 60 N BAM 10 SSW BOI 25 NNE
MYL 30 SW P69 30 E LWS 10 NNE LWS 30 WSW PUW 35 N ALW 55 NNW PDT
50 NW PDT 45 SSE YKM 15 NNW DLS 40 NW DLS 55 SSE SEA 55 NE SEA 65
NNE BLI ...CONT... 50 WNW BUF 25 W ERI 15 SSE FDY 15 SSW IND 40
SSW HUF 30 ESE MVN 25 N PAH 40 SSW PAH 35 ENE MKL 25 WSW HSV 10
SSE GAD 10 N CSG 25 SSW ABY 30 SW MGR 30 SW VLD 50 NNW GNV 15 SE
JAX 50 SE SSI ...CONT... 50 SSE EPM 20 S BHB 20 WSW BML 15 SSW EFK
70 NNW BTV
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 24, 12:55z for portions of IWX---------------
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