The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 25, 6:00z for portions of LMK857
WUUS01 KWNS 250602
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
VALID TIME 251200Z - 261200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 35909741 36229840 36460034 37770044 38509905 38419707
37899540 37369447 36719426 36059433 35799499 35829618
35909741
0.02 42697899 42697729 41737726 40727896 39888048 40288215
41758129 42227992 42697899
0.05 36599928 37029951 37809888 37829757 37609668 37159605
36739592 36379617 36219662 36299741 36429813 36599928
CIG1 37899856 37829696 37319612 36399593 36219696 36449865
36709932 37319921 37899856
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42730457 41880375 40150313 39440164 39650081 39589873
39409643 39009386 37839239 37069217 36339236 35669327
35409626 34859773 33589955 32640151 34070345 36770348
37500478 40550556 42470590 42800593 42730457
0.05 42278033 43287810 43277574 42807483 41197636 39987827
39397926 38908088 38298529 39388575 40398391 41828206
42278033
0.05 42508185 43838496 44558474 45008374 44658262 44278143
0.15 35769778 35509848 35719985 35820040 36110195 37900441
39030443 39370360 38270109 38390006 38639826 38539671
38109452 37559315 36479324 36109426 36139547 36159658
35769778
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 41051330 41191239 40761185 40281157 39841167 39611200
39401229 39291270 39101339 39791413 40431408 41051330
0.05 42508214 43888507 44508472 44968369 44308139
0.05 37638633 37098971 36549105 35969181 35519284 35439612
34919770 32030158 32720353 35300529 37180483 40550556
41120664 41550902 42660959 43300859 43900818 43840659
43200599 42620479 42010373 40690289 39640100 39589881
39229435 39009248 39599071 39768701 40308463 40808378
41528300 42218089 43267815 43347585 42787481 41157638
39397921 38848088 38638237 37638633
0.15 35269814 34639929 33550050 32490198 32980351 35100330
35880324 36820333 37970450 39110447 39410371 38290116
38589797 38569368 37909241 37079217 36419231 36099300
35819465 35769570 35779676 35269814
0.30 38009949 38249800 38259521 37239405 36469521 36469696
34819956 33380197 33600288 34700282 36020213 37290305
37990275 37670079 38009949
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 39110447 39410371 38290114 38639826 38569368 37909241
37079217 36419231 36099300 35819465 35779676 35269814
34639929 33550050 32490198 32980351 35880324 36820333
37970450 39110447
MRGL 43300859 43900818 43840659 43200599 42760507 42730457
42200406 42010373 40690289 39640100 39589873 39009248
39599071 39768701 40308463 40808378 41528300 42218089
43287810 43347585 42787481 41157638 39397921 38848088
38638237 37638633 37098971 36549105 35969181 35519284
35419619 34859773 32030158 32720353 35300529 37180483
40550556 41120664 41550902 42660959 43300859
MRGL 40431408 41051330 41191239 40761185 40281157 39841167
39401229 39101339 39791413 40431408
MRGL 42508214 43888507 44558474 45008374 44398171
TSTM 45596643 44786801 44186908 43317030 42547078 41587127
40857165 40307224 39927296 39607456 38817785 37788073
37278357 37048483 36678549 36358582 35758614 35308576
34048418 33648339 33358241 33408142 34247847 35767471
99999999 45169132 46079097 46539108 46859134 47119211
47479327 47769442 47959641 47989740 47889822 47659898
47139948 46499962 45809962 44979935 44079811 42639580
41459347 40819104 40848919 41038753 41418662 41898603
42408589 42978635 43228686 43278771 43178843 43208923
43248971 43689070 44359131 45169132 99999999 28189066
28709116 29349171 29709189 30619213 32309269 32849322
33109413 33339544 33109761 32829876 32359985 31950039
31450120 30460207 29890261 28990436 99999999 31171192
32661276 36041465 37341517 38541545 41061576 43171595
43751597 44931578 45601584 46361640 47221718 47911819
48561957 49162036 49672081
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25
NE COS 10 NNW LIC 35 NW GCK 35 ESE RSL 15 SSW SZL 20 NW TBN 30 NW
UNO 15 NNE FLP 15 SE HRO 30 WSW FYV 0 - CQB 15 NW CHK 0 - LTS 60
SSW CDS 35 NW BGS 25 NW HOB 40 S CAO 25 NNW CAO 20 S PUB 25 NE COS
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
15 NNW RIW 10 WSW WRL 65 N CPR 30 NE CPR 15 E DGW 50 NNW TOR 10
NNE TOR 10 NW BFF 30 S SNY 45 SSW MCK 50 N RSL 20 NW COU 35 SE UIN
25 NE HUF 35 NW DAY 15 SSW FDY 50 SSE DTW 35 WNW ERI 25 WNW ROC 20
NE SYR 40 SE UCA 30 ESE IPT 40 ESE MGW 45 SE PKB 20 NNE HTS 45 N
BWG 10 SW CGI 30 NNW ARG 20 NNW BVX 25 NE RUE 45 NNW MLC 20 SE CHK
15 SSW BGS 20 W HOB 25 SSW LVS 30 WSW TAD 30 WNW FCL 55 SSE RWL 0
- RKS 25 ENE BPI 15 NNW RIW
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
20 S ENV 45 ENE ENV 20 W OGD 0 - SLC 40 SSE SLC 50 WNW PUC 10 E
U24 50 NNW MLF 50 NE ELY 20 S ENV
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 E MTC 40 SSW HTL 15 NNW HTL 10 WSW APN 75 NE BAX
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNE EPM 30 NE
BHB 45 SSW BGR 25 S PWM 15 NE BOS 15 SE PVD 20 S BID 55 SE ISP 60
S ISP 10 N ACY 40 S MRB 20 E BKW 20 SSW JKL 40 W LOZ 55 NNW CSV 50
NW CSV 40 SE BNA 35 WNW CHA 30 NNE ATL 20 S AHN 25 W AGS 30 E AGS
35 W ILM 65 NE HSE ...CONT... 20 NNE EAU 35 S ASX 10 W ASX 25 S
BFW 20 N DLH 20 WNW HIB 30 NE BJI 15 SW TVF 10 WNW GFK 35 ESE DVL
35 S DVL 40 WNW JMS 55 SW JMS 45 ENE MBG 55 SW ABR 20 N MHE 30 W
SLB 10 ESE DSM 0 - BRL 30 NNW BMI 40 SW VPZ 20 E VPZ 20 NE SBN 20
NW AZO 15 SSW MKG 30 W MKG 25 NNE MKE 30 WNW MKE 0 - MSN 20 WNW
MSN 30 SW VOK 35 N LSE 20 NNE EAU ...CONT... 95 S HUM 65 SSW HUM
40 SE 7R4 15 ESE 7R4 30 NNW LFT 45 NNE IER 35 SW ELD 25 SSW TXK 20
S PRX 25 NW FTW 40 W MWL 10 WSW ABI 40 N SJT 40 W SJT 30 NNE 6R6
25 WSW 6R6 95 SSW MRF ...CONT... 85 SW TUS 20 S GBN 30 E LAS 40
WSW P38 60 SSW ELY 15 N EKO 30 SSE BOI 20 NE BOI 15 ENE MYL 40 SSW
P69 30 E LWS 35 N PUW 35 WNW GEG 0 - OMK 60 NW OMK 100 NW OMK
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 25, 6:00z for portions of LMK---------------
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