Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 4, 19:36z for portions of CLE  (Read 311 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 4, 19:36z for portions of CLE

138 
WUUS01 KWNS 041938
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0236 PM CDT THU JUL 04 2024

VALID TIME 042000Z - 051200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   45369306 45219146 44929037 44318984 43079024 41859136
       41469237 41619386 42129539 42329545 43349521 44249499
       44899482 45369306
0.02   38539398 38809255 38809057 39108835 39638651 40158456
       40368311 40258213 39918175 39048168 37988207 36708932
       36679393 37089491 38029477 38539398
0.05   37808676 37918705 38338716 38918637 39358535 39618372
       39028311 38238328 37808676
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   41388991 41169109 41169302 41469485 42069565 43599542
       44419519 45219483 45549432 45779387 45809341 45879137
       45348900 44438818 43238839 41388991
0.05   33950172 33930333 33970409 34980447 35610454 36000398
       36230328 36100243 35850135 35620011 36159836 36759722
       38099534 38859346 39159088 39128989 38808958 38318980
       37039120 36209285 35359491 34599693 34229848 34119942
       34030060 33950172
0.15   44769105 44158990 43119023 42209224 42489476 44009506
       44669374 44769105
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   39358858 39438731 39998542 40478308 40628024 40347617
       39587542 38447604 37557735 37057984 35908524 35458784
       34719345 33859544 33539696 33409859 33149997 32190211
       31950292 32840356 33950409 35000447 35610454 36020397
       36230328 36090238 35840134 35620006 36149843 36739728
       37759591 38609472 39289271 39439044 39358858
0.05   41169107 41169299 41469485 42059565 43599544 44439519
       45209483 45539433 45769385 45819331 45879134 45338899
       44428819 43228839 41388991 41169107
0.15   42199224 42489474 43999506 44669373 44779106 44158990
       43119023 42199224
0.15   36049015 35649426 34969518 34369618 34079729 34069850
       34419986 35069976 36079752 36899623 37989443 38319257
       38419022 38698754 39008647 39518545 39708385 39478295
       38978223 38258229 37818254 37508344 37338656 36628913
       36049015
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   36049015 35649425 34929523 34369618 34079729 34069847
       34419989 35069976 36079752 36839631 37979443 38319255
       38419022 38688753 39008649 39518544 39708385 39478293
       38988223 38238229 37828254 37518344 37448464 37328656
       36618912 36049015
SLGT   44779105 44158990 43119023 42209225 42489475 44009506
       44669373 44779105
MRGL   39358858 39448730 39998540 40478307 40628024 40347617
       39587542 38437604 37557735 37067981 35868539 35468783
       34719344 33849547 33539697 33409858 33149997 32180212
       31950292 32830355 33950410 35010447 35610454 36000398
       36230329 36120249 35840128 35620009 36159842 36739728
       37769590 38609472 39289270 39439043 39358858
MRGL   42079564 42719556 43669540 44429518 45199483 45549432
       45769385 45879137 45348900 44438818 43228839 41388991
       41169108 41169301 41479484 42079564
TSTM   31231189 31491117 31500967 31980736 34240567 35740627
       38090542 39960564 41460625 42360509 40920329 38910217
       38100107 37689983 37979867 38869762 40789696 41759770
       42400118 43030273 43760427 43000713 42920910 43591065
       45311210 47051372 48141488 49571622 99999999 48328695
       47848926 47669079 46959104 46848751 45508580 43418475
       42298359 41948302 42497996 42387656 42927422 42827241
       43006998 99999999 36797501 35647735 35407899 35198068
       34878215 34568279 33978294 32948226 31148040 99999999
       28129526 29609559 30099558 31789413 32459481 32329602
       32469865 32209996 31320189 29260211

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
JBR 25 NNE FSM 30 E MLC 30 NNE DUA 20 SW ADM SPS 20 E CDS 35 WSW CSM
30 SE END 15 WNW BVO 55 N JLN 30 SW JEF 20 WSW BLV 45 N EVV 15 SSE
BMG 45 ESE IND 25 SE DAY 35 S CMH 15 S UNI 15 ESE HTS 35 S HTS JKL
40 NW LOZ 25 NNW BWG 35 SSW PAH 30 ENE JBR.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE
EAU 25 NE VOK 10 SSW LNR 25 SSE ALO 25 ESE SLB 35 NE OTG 30 WSW MSP
20 ESE EAU.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW
MTO HUF 20 S MIE 35 NNW CMH 10 N PIT 35 ENE CXY 10 SE ILG 25 ENE NHK
RIC 20 SSE ROA 20 WSW CSV 50 NNW MSL 25 NW HOT 15 N PRX 20 SW GYI 40
S SPS 55 NNW ABI 15 NNE MAF 20 NE INK 20 WNW HOB 50 NNE ROW 50 WSW
TCC 35 E LVS 55 WSW CAO 15 SSW CAO DHT 10 NE BGD 55 WNW CSM 30 WSW
END 10 W PNC 25 WNW CNU 15 S OJC 40 NW COU 40 NNW ALN 20 WSW MTO.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW
DNS 20 WNW SLB 10 E OTG 10 SSW RWF 45 WSW STC 15 W STC 15 NE STC 50
SSW ASX 30 SE RHI GRB 30 NW MKE 30 E MLI 25 N BRL 10 SSE OXV 45 SE
DNS 15 WNW DNS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SW TUS 45 SSW TUS
DUG 30 SE DMN 10 N 4CR 15 NW SAF 50 WSW PUB 40 WNW DEN 30 WNW LAR 30
SSE DGW 20 SW SNY 25 SSE ITR 25 WNW GCK 10 SE DDC 45 W HUT SLN 10
WSW LNK 20 SW OFK 25 NNW MHN 25 NE CDR 65 WSW RAP 35 WNW CPR 20 WNW
LND JAC 20 ENE DLN 20 ENE MSO 30 WSW GPI 125 NW GPI ...CONT... 105
NE CMX 50 E GNA 20 WSW GNA 25 SE BFW 20 N MQT 50 W PLN 35 WSW MBS 10
ENE ARB 25 SE DTW 30 NNE ERI 10 SW ITH 25 WNW ALB 10 SW EEN 40 E PSM
...CONT... 65 E ORF 35 ESE RWI 25 ENE SOP 15 E CLT GSP AND 25 E AHN
35 SSW AGS 60 E SSI ...CONT... 70 S LBX 20 W HOU 35 NNW HOU 50 SSW
SHV GGG 30 NE CRS 30 WNW SEP 20 SW ABI 45 SSE MAF 55 S 6R6.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 4, 19:36z for portions of CLE

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