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692 FXUS64 KLIX 261812AFDLIXArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service New Orleans LA112 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE....KEY MESSAGES...Updated at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025 - The severe weather threat has ended across all local land areas. - Areas of fog are expected tonight, with locally dense fog possible. Those with travel plans during the early morning hours should be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Allow extra commuting time. - Cooler and drier conditions are expected through the work week, with a substantial cooldown coming for the second half of the week behind a reinforcing cold front. &&.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Tuesday)Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025Well... It was a morning. But the severe weather threat hasfinally come to an end across the local land areas. The surfacecold front is just now entering the far northwestern portion ofthe local area and will continue to progress slowlyeast/southeastward through this evening and overnight. Expect areas of fog to develop tonight mainly around and aftermidnight as low level moisture becomes trapped under theinversion. Visibility could become locally dense in some places,but confidence in visibility dropping to 1/4 mile or lower is iffyso will hold off on a dense fog advisory for now. Will need tomonitor visibility trends this evening and especially overnight.Otherwise, expect pretty benign conditions through the short termas the cooler and drier air starts to move into the area.Tonight's lows will generally fall into the upper 50s to mid 60s,as the coolest air lags the front. But highs tomorrow and Tuesdaywill top out around 80 degrees most places. &&.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025A reinforcing front is forecast to move through the local area Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, resulting in temperaturesdropping below normal through the remainder of the period.The midweek front will likely have some showers associated with it as it moves through. While we never really get into good returnflow ahead of the front, model forecast soundings indicatepotential for some moisture pooling ahead of the front, withprecipitable water topping out between 1.5" and 1.75". This isbetween the 75th and 90th percentile for this time of year andshould be sufficient to result in scattered to numerous showersalong or just ahead of the boundary. The boundary should be prettyprogressive, so while rain chances are generally high (60 percentor better most places), overall rain totals should remain low(less than a half inch).Behind this front, expect to see another cool down with highsstruggling to rise above the 60s Wednesday through Saturday. Overnight lows will also drop well below normal - into the low to mid 40s north and upper 40s to lower 50s south Thursday morningthrough Saturday morning. &&.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS)Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025MVFR to VFR conditions will prevail through around 06z now thatshowers and storms have moved away from all terminals. The surfacecold front will gradually move through the area this evening andtonight, but moisture trapped near the surface will result in lowcigs and fog development. Expect at least temporary IFR conditionsto develop at most terminals around daybreak, but these conditionsshould improve quickly after sunrise as drier air mixes down fromaloft.&&.MARINE...Issued at 1255 PM CDT Sun Oct 26 2025A cold front will move through the waters this evening and tonight with high pressure building over the waters behind it.Benign conditions will accompany this high. Hazardous conditions are expected to develop again Tuesday night or Wednesday associated with a reinforcing cold front.&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...MCB 60 74 55 74 / 10 0 0 10 BTR 61 78 57 78 / 0 0 0 10 ASD 60 78 55 77 / 10 0 0 0 MSY 66 81 62 78 / 10 0 0 0 GPT 63 78 58 74 / 30 0 0 0 PQL 61 79 55 75 / 40 10 0 0 &&.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...LA...None.GM...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$SHORT TERM...DMLONG TERM....DMAVIATION...DMMARINE...DM
