PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 12:27 PM CDT363
FXUS63 KPAH 091727
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1227 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions will linger through the middle of next week,
but a few sprinkles are possible Friday night over southern
Illinois.
- Below normal temperatures will continue through Thursday
night, before warming to near normal levels Friday into
Saturday. The Mt Vernon and Fairfield areas in southern
Illinois may see lows Friday morning in the upper 30s!
- Temperatures will climb back above normal beginning Sunday and
reaching near 80 by Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 220 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
A surface high pressure system will remain in control of the weather
across the Quad State through the upcoming weekend. Aloft, the area
will be on the east side of an upper-level ridge axis allowing for
cooler northwest flow into the area. At the same time, a fairly deep
upper-level low is progged to dive southeastward through the Great
Lakes before meandering to the northeast CONUS. That shouldn't have
much impact here, except for amplifying the ridge to the west and
the northwest flow across the area. There is a weak cold
front/surface trough that drifts through the area Friday night,
which may have just enough moisture to touch off some sprinkles and
to increase cloud cover. Otherwise, dry weather is anticipated
through the weekend. Temperatures are expected to be below normal
through Friday before warming above normal over the weekend. Highs
will mainly be in the low 70s with lows in the 40s to low 50s. The
coldest night will be tonight with light winds and clear skies. A
few colder locations may see some upper 30s for overnight lows!!
An upper-level ridge axis will build across the area for early next
week, leading to another substantial warmup across the area. Most
locations will warm into the low to mid 80s, which is about 10
degrees above normal for this time of year. As warm air advection
and moisture increases across the area, expect an increase in cloud
cover early next week as well. Right now it doesn't look like any
great chances for precipitation.&&
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Winds are out of the northeast at 5-15 kts this afternoon with
occasional gusts to around 20 kts. Winds will go calm overnight.
Some patchy fog is possible before dawn tomorrow particularly at
MVN and CGI. Winds will be light and variable tomorrow with
midlevel clouds moving in from the northwest tomorrow afternoon.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...HICKFORD
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 12:27 PM CDT---------------
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