Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 30, 5:47z for portions of LMK  (Read 321 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 30, 5:47z for portions of LMK

162 
WUUS01 KWNS 300548
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1247 AM CDT SUN JUN 30 2024

VALID TIME 301200Z - 011200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38207432 37847570 38067651 38607702 39327647 40567520
       42337338 44257180 45877119
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49869949 48249942 45999990 40720169 38160187 37510198
       37010338 37140469 37040618 36470837 36810924 37570960
       38670891 39650778 40540561 42420560 44200662 44890768
       44970968 44631119 44291263 44401315 44811365 45961402
       47671135 48790910 49910584
0.05   37907417 37957629 38677773 39367753 42077507 43777345
       45397273
0.15   46680988 48330574 48340391 47930326 47350316 46520335
       45940400 45670520 45540710 45480933 46071000 46680988
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   31547856 32288043 33128227 34348446 35058484 36928466
       37938404 39248123 39937996 42007733 43687605 45827505
0.05   49869949 48299939 45889992 40750168 38200180 37560194
       37050315 37160486 37040630 36480837 36810917 37590959
       38720879 39640776 40540559 41090558 42530567 44170665
       44880773 45040986 44681157 44541266 45031341 45891364
       46481328 47821108 48750918 49590689
0.05   31431261 32891257 33921219 34321140 34181047 33710958
       33180918 31940908 31010911
0.15   36907438 36307698 35837802 35728074 36398100 37827947
       38427889 41297503 42777323 44097140 45257085 46237068
0.15   46690986 48290584 48310460 47530409 46770412 45870435
       45700507 45580683 45500933 46040999 46690986
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   46690983 48330574 48370397 47900324 47240318 46470337
       45900406 45670520 45540723 45500936 46051001 46690983
SLGT   36707525 36307698 35867791 35758084 36358098 38327897
       41297503 42777323 44097140 45257085 46237068
MRGL   49889947 48299943 45979989 40850169 38660184 37530197
       37010338 37140469 37040618 36470837 36810924 37570960
       38670891 39650778 40540561 42450559 44170665 44890768
       44970968 44291263 44401315 44811365 45961402 47671135
       48211033 48790910 49310760
MRGL   32037979 33128227 34348446 35058484 36928466 37968400
       39208120 39878010 40837884 41937740 43417624 45527527
MRGL   31371258 32891259 33931219 34321144 34181048 33690957
       33170920 32130909 30980913
TSTM   50029781 45969700 41579561 40969551 38819518 38189474
       37649385 37069158 37338882 37788784 38798461 39918202
       43077799 44897705 99999999 28269499 28629627 29099700
       30089736 30799709 31669650 32199631 32569643 33259819
       33590027 35160254 35710359 35770435 35320513 34550536
       33520479 32200398 31220393 28760451 99999999 32021457
       33781431 36121387 38831221 42031036 43560784 44000742
       44240765 44210814 43880893 43230981 42021121 41221468
       40291949 40332152 40982191 43262152 44062032 45031922
       45711829 47301763 48302042 49342164
TSTM   29260169 29530151 29560112 29390048 28829941 27809801
       27439723 27329634

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N
3HT 20 NNW OLF 20 NW ISN 25 SE ISN 35 NNW DIK 35 SW DIK 35 SSE BHK
20 NNE 4BQ 55 NNW SHR 45 WSW BIL 25 SSW 3HT 20 N 3HT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ESE
ORF 40 ESE RZZ RWI 30 E HKY 50 NNE HKY SHD 30 SSW MSV 25 N PSF 15
SSW MWN 45 NNE BML 110 NNE BML.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 125
NNW DVL 25 WNW DVL 40 NE MBG 25 N IML 45 SSE ITR 35 N EHA 40 NNW CAO
20 WSW TAD 30 SSW ALS 20 SSW FMN 45 SW CEZ 4BL 35 SW GJT 45 W EGE 30
WNW FCL 25 SSW DGW 45 SSE SHR 35 WNW SHR 45 NW COD 25 SW MQM 45 WSW
MQM 25 SSE SMN 60 N SMN 15 N GTF 35 SW HVR 35 ENE HVR 85 NNW GGW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE
CHS 25 SW AGS 40 E RMG 20 E CHA 35 WSW LOZ 35 E LEX 15 SE PKB 20 NNW
MGW 25 S DUJ 30 WSW ELM 20 NNW SYR 45 NNW MSS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 S
GBN GBN 35 NNW PHX 60 SSE FLG 30 WSW SOW 45 SSE SOW 35 NE SAD 55 NNE
DUG 45 SE DUG.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNW HCO 55 NNW VVV
25 NE OMA 15 NNW SDA 25 W OJC 45 S OJC 40 NW SGF 25 NE UNO 20 N PAH
25 SW EVV 25 SSW LUK ZZV 15 WSW ROC 80 NW ART ...CONT... 65 SSE LBX
PSX 15 NNW VCT 25 SE AUS 30 SE TPL 25 SSW CRS 10 NNE CRS 30 SE DAL
35 NNW MWL 60 S CDS 45 W AMA 35 N TCC 45 E LVS 25 S LVS 35 NNE 4CR
20 NW ROW 20 ESE CNM 60 SW INK 115 SSW MRF ...CONT... 45 S YUM 25
ENE BLH 60 N IGM 40 SSE U24 40 SSW BPI 30 SSE WRL 30 E WRL 25 NE WRL
20 NNW WRL 45 S COD 50 NNE BPI 50 N EVW 50 NW ENV 50 WNW LOL 40 ENE
RBL 30 SE MHS 70 SSW RDM 45 ESE RDM 50 SSW PDT 25 E PDT 25 SSW GEG
45 WSW OMK 55 NE BLI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W DRT 35 WNW DRT
20 NW DRT 25 E DRT 30 NNW COT ALI 30 SE CRP 75 ESE CRP.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 30, 5:47z for portions of LMK

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