MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 17, 12:25 AM CDT ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...493
FXUS64 KMOB 170526 CCA
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion...Correction
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1225 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Now through Monday...
A closed upper low over the East Coast opens, leaving a weakening
upper trough centered along the East Coast into the weekend. This
will keep the Southeast under dry northeasterly upper flow into the
weekend in the process. Shortwave energy moving east of the
Mississippi River digs an upper trough over the river through the
weekend into the coming week, with the trough shifting east to
over the Eastern Conus in the coming week. A surface ridge
develops over the Appalachians, then builds southwest through the
rest of the week into the weekend, bringing east to southeast low
level flow to the Southeast, moving Gulf and Atlantic moisture
inland over the region. The forecast area will see an increasing
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the coming week.
A weak ridge building over the Southeast the rest of the week will
bring high temperatures rising to well above seasonal norms through
the forecast, with around 90s expected over most of the forecast
area Wednesday, then rising to the low to mid 90s by Saturday. The
advancing upper trough will drop high temperatures back into the
upper 80s to around 90 by Monday. More seasonal low temperatures in
the mod 60s to near 70 Wednesday night to the upper 60s to low 70s
for the rest of the forecast.
Weak, diurnally driven flow and decreasing tidal cycle will keep the
risk of Rip Currents Low through the weekend into the coming week.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. Light and
variable winds during the overnight hours will become a light
easterly to southeasterly flow later today. Winds over coastal
counties will turn more southerly during the afternoon. /96
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 66 91 68 93 69 94 70 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10
Pensacola 70 90 71 92 72 92 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Destin 71 88 73 89 73 89 73 89 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Evergreen 64 94 66 95 65 95 67 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Waynesboro 64 92 67 93 67 93 67 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 0
Camden 66 93 68 93 67 94 68 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crestview 64 93 65 94 65 93 67 91 / 0 0 0 0 0 10 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 17, 12:25 AM CDT ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...---------------
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