PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 20, 2:33 PM CDT989
FXUS63 KPAH 201933
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
233 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above average temperatures continue through Monday then
pleasantly cooler the remainder of the week. Highs will dip
back down into the 70s.
- Transitioning to a much welcomed wetter pattern this week with
daily rain chances starting from tomorrow. By the weekend we
could see a grand total of 2-3" of rain on the high end.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 231 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Satellite this afternoon showing a cu field trying to develop along
with some high level clouds streaming in from the southwest. On
radar several storms have formed outside the CWA to the northwest
associated with a lobe of vorticity that is swinging through this
afternoon and could touch off more scattered showers and storms
across northwest portions of the area. While we are not outlooked
for anything but general thunder, a few storms could be on the
stronger side and produce some gusty winds as they collapse. Chances
for scattered showers and storms continue tonight and ramp up into
tomorrow morning as the parent shortwave aloft lifts northward and a
second one pulls up behind it.
Above average temperatures are expected to continue through Monday
then a pleasant cool down is expected. Rain chances pick up even
more Sunday night through Monday as the aforementioned second
shortwave aloft comes through. Temperatures begin to cool down by
Tuesday as the pattern shifts to one that is wetter and more active
for the remainder of the week. Highs come down into the 70s for the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Chances for rain
continue every day through Friday afternoon with PWATs around 1.5".
This means that on the high end we could see a grand total around 2-
3" of rain by the weekend.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2025
Expecting sporadic, gusty thunderstorms to develop later this
afternoon that will increase in coverage later overnight and
into tomorrow. Sites that see thunderstorms could see a
reduction in vsbys and gusty erratic winds. Cloud cover is
expected to increase through the day today and overnight. Winds
will generally be light and variable this afternoon and then
nearly calm overnight, and then out of the southwest tomorrow
around 7-10 kts.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 20, 2:33 PM CDT---------------
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