Author Topic: [Alert]ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 7, 2:05 PM EDT  (Read 74 times)

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ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 7, 2:05 PM EDT

851 
FXUS61 KILN 071805
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
205 PM EDT Sun Sep 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide dry conditions through much of the week.
Temperatures will gradually moderate back to more seasonable readings
as the week progresses.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
An upper level trough continues to pivot through the area, but is
only amounting to high based clouds with shallow moisture at about
the 700mb level with very dry conditions above and below. The trough
becomes more shallow as it continues to depart the region with
surface high pressure building in.

With lingering low level moisture in especially the SE forecast area
and very light winds, expecting primarily valley fog overnight
tonight with the loss of the clouds from the departing upper
trough/shortwave. A little drier than this morning, so current
expectations are not to be as dense as this morning.

Very cool overnight lows, with record low temperature at CVG/DAY/CMH
at 44/42/39, respectively. So not expecting records to be broken
here, but some valley areas could get as cool as upper 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As surface high pressure builds into the region, area becomes
increasingly dry with only a few diurnal cumulus on Monday. Light
winds become SE and then pivot SW as weak WAA begins to enter the
region. Below normal temperatures persist, however, with highs in the
lower to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Overall expect a quiet and dry week.  There are subtle signals late
in the week where there is potential for some areas to see rain,
however the signal is not consistent enough to have enough
confidence to include in the forecast at this time.  Highs on
Tuesday are expected to be in the 70s and 80s, however 80s are
expected for highs the rest of the week.  Lows Tuesday night are
expected to be in the 40s and 50s, with lows in the 50s expected the
remainder of the week.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mid level clouds associated with an upper level trough and associated
shortwave through today, along with diurnal cu. VFR conditions
expected to continue through the area, with MVFR visibility possible
at KLUK under winds less than 5kts. Winds become ESE through the day
on Monday as surface high pressure builds into the region.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JDR
NEAR TERM...JDR
SHORT TERM...JDR
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JDR

Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 7, 2:05 PM EDT

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