MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 21, 7:57 AM CDT ...New Aviation...203
FXUS64 KMOB 211257
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
757 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025
Upper ridging retrogrades westward and weakens through the
remainder of the week into the weekend as broad upper troughing
begins to take its place across the eastern CONUS. A more subtle
shortwave trough will be situated across the forecast area today
through Saturday helping to promote scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms each day. This feature shifts east Sunday with
shower and thunderstorm chances diminishing somewhat to isolated
to scattered coverage. A more pronounced trough and attendant cold
front works their way across the region early next week, with
cold frontal passage looking to occur sometime on Monday. Prior
to the frontal passage, daily afternoon highs top out in the upper
80's to lower 90's with lows in the upper 60's to lower 70's,
middle 70's nearer the coast. After the front pushes through
afternoon highs top out in the middle to upper 80's, lower 90's
nearer the coast with overnight lows in the middle to upper 60's
for most locations. The overall forecast will be mostly dry for
next week with only an isolated shower or storm possible nearer
the coast Monday. A Low risk of rip currents continues through the
weekend into early next week. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 757 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Afternoon
thunderstorms are possible again today. Coverage and timing is
uncertain, but any activity should diminish by sunset. /73
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025
The diurnal flow pattern comes to an end today with westerly flow
this morning becoming onshore this afternoon. Light southwesterly
flow prevails Friday through Sunday. Light to moderate northwest
flow develops late Sunday night into Monday morning as a cold
front moves through. No impacts are anticipated other than higher
winds and seas near storms. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 94 73 91 73 90 72 92 72 / 60 40 70 20 60 20 40 10
Pensacola 92 76 91 76 89 75 90 74 / 60 30 60 30 60 30 40 10
Destin 91 77 90 77 89 77 89 76 / 50 30 50 40 60 30 40 20
Evergreen 95 72 92 71 89 70 92 69 / 60 40 70 30 50 20 30 10
Waynesboro 92 72 89 70 91 69 92 69 / 70 40 50 20 40 10 20 10
Camden 91 72 90 71 89 70 91 69 / 60 40 50 30 40 20 20 10
Crestview 93 72 91 71 89 71 90 71 / 60 30 70 20 70 20 40 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 21, 7:57 AM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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