Author Topic: [Alert]PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 12:20 PM CDT  (Read 94 times)

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PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 12:20 PM CDT

519 
FXUS63 KPAH 071720
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1220 PM CDT Thu Aug 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near normal early to mid August weather is expected. Highs
  will be in the lower 90s, humidity stays, and a small but
  daily chance of thunderstorms returns next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Thu Aug 7 2025

There is active convection upstream that we will be keeping an
eye upon, as some modeling, which does not overall handle it
well anyway, hints at its influence perhaps reaching into the
I-64 corridor or flirting with it...but chances are low,
probably not even audible, as it stays mostly north of there.
Some blow-off of the canopy is possible and is accounted for in
the grids/tafs. Pulse convection in our east is a possibility
but the chance is silent.

Otherwise, anticipate a near normal early to mid August week of
weather as we see daily highs in the lower 90s and dew points in
the lower 70s. The only relief will be in the form of a
thunderstorm, whose small audible chance returns to the daily
forecast by next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Thu Aug 7 2025

High pressure is strong so it keeps winds light this package.
Clouds will be mainly diurnally based, but there is some blow-
off from upstream convection that could impact terminals,
particularly KMVN. Pop-up convection in our east may be worthy
of VC mention at KEVV/KOWB terminals. Other than a potential
pop-up storm or patchy predawn fog potentially dropping vsbys
to restricted cats, similar to past night, there are no
restrictions to the forecast.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 12:20 PM CDT

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