[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 11:38z for portions of PBZ

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 11:38z for portions of PBZ

081 
WUUS01 KWNS 271139
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2025

VALID TIME 271300Z - 281200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   47828648 46688720 45499003 43849268 43599469 43489581
       43819709 44339762 45349738 47119624 49219375
0.05   46279491 47369206 47069074 46359141 45709294 45689427
       45879506 46279491
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   47948648 46758720 45608821 44858954 43869253 43619443
       43429666 43509738 43779784 44219815 44609813 45509762
       46259702 47269697 47609752 47879939 47530231 46750421
       45610742 45660918 46121050 47111065 47790873 48400582
       49500468
0.15   44129646 44339692 44809696 45439662 46199566 47159392
       48009231 48249113 47978935 47579070 46379151 45629183
       45069300 44399493 44129646
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36087489 35117647 34607765 34797828 35277872 36247876
       37217920 37958012 38718179 39648229 40568178 41097984
       41147735 41167461 39697237
0.05   47378418 46518548 46028604 44598765 43628832 42158931
       41519050 41359226 41639456 42289652 42999844 44099958
       45879794 46569774 47219773 47479957 47230203 46850387
       45610751 45650919 46681255 47711180 48390589 49300219
0.15   48168690 46798778 45718880 44299048 43639254 43559529
       43789684 43989763 44599805 45339780 46079592 46919488
       48109371 49179244
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   48168690 46798778 45718880 44299048 43639254 43559529
       43789684 43989763 44599805 45339780 46079592 46919488
       48109371 49029261
MRGL   36037497 35117647 34607765 34797828 35277872 36247876
       37217920 37958012 38718179 39648229 40568178 41097984
       41167461 40037289
MRGL   47208444 46518548 44598765 42158931 41519050 41359226
       41639456 42999844 44099958 45879794 46569774 47219773
       47479957 47230203 46850387 45610742 45650919 46681255
       47711180 48410581 49480470
TSTM   39299413 40759538 40869634 41139765 40279862 38800022
       35670147 35290086 34060071 33270192 32250417 31530457
       30540333 29940213 29990112 30749976 31999822 32699588
       33579469 34229432 36059462 37829485 39299413 99999999
       46128306 45568454 45388628 44248748 42548850 41918785
       41758592 42118244 43307847 43637690 44537580 45137593
       99999999 46246712 45056909 44097060 42717153 41437144
       41097051 40876943 99999999 32647893 32878031 33958201
       34468413 34528540 35488738 34948861 34488810 32968679
       31498588 30768462 30728347 31138242 30968148 29708102
       27238113 26588116 26018056 26497951 99999999 30830982
       32350921 33610820 35810511 36770283 38380180 39330228
       42670120 43530144 43770319 45080538 44920722 45270920
       45251147 44511301 43031403 42261461 41641538 41391624
       41181737 40741837 40461868 39381828 38901824 38521848
       38301891 38311965 39292057 39782188 39692235 39372259
       39322300 39832352 40722399 42572318 44512135 45171899
       46211722 47611578 48751501 49721580

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NE
CMX 20 NNW MQT 35 E RHI 25 NNW VOK 20 S RST 15 ESE OTG 15 NNW FSD 25
NE MHE 15 NNE HON 30 ESE ABR 30 WNW AXN 40 S BJI 35 SSW INL 50 NE
INL.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNE
HSE 35 E EWN 15 S OAJ 35 ESE FAY 25 NNE FAY 25 N RDU 10 S LYH 15 NE
SSU 25 NNW CRW 30 N UNI 30 SW CAK 20 S FKL 40 SSE MSV 55 SSE ISP.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N
ANJ 55 W ANJ 25 ENE GRB 10 WSW RFD MLI 20 NNE OTM 45 W DSM 40 NNE
ONL 25 NNW 9V9 35 NE ABR 50 WSW FAR 45 WNW FAR 55 SW DVL 40 SW N60
40 NNE BHK 55 ESE BIL 35 WSW BIL 25 WNW HLN 25 NW GTF 25 NNW OLF 100
NNW ISN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE MKC SDA 25 E
LNK 25 SW OLU 25 SSW HSI 45 SSW HLC BGD 40 SE BGD 35 SW CDS 30 SSW
LBB 10 SE CNM 25 SE GDP 35 SW FST 10 SE 6R6 45 NNW DRT 15 N JCT 15 S
SEP 35 NW TYR 35 SSW DEQ 10 NNE DEQ 25 W FYV 35 ENE CNU 30 ENE MKC
...CONT... 65 ESE ANJ 10 E PLN 45 ESE ESC 10 NE MTW 25 E JVL 55 NW
VPZ 20 E SBN 40 SSE MTC 30 NNE BUF 50 WSW ART 40 NNE ART 55 WNW MSS
...CONT... 35 ENE HUL 20 NW BGR 35 NNW PWM 35 S CON 20 NNE BID 25
WSW ACK 40 SE ACK ...CONT... 65 ESE CHS 15 W CHS 40 N AGS 60 NW AHN
20 NW RMG 50 NNE MSL 45 NNE TUP 35 SW MSL 40 S BHM 30 WNW DHN 30 NNW
TLH 10 WSW VLD 10 S AYS 15 S SSI 25 SE SGJ 30 SSE AGR 45 E FMY 25 NW
MIA 40 ESE PBI ...CONT... 45 SSW DUG 40 SE SAD 60 WNW TCS 10 NNE LVS
30 NE CAO 50 ENE LAA ITR 35 WSW VTN 35 SSE PHP 20 SSW RAP 25 S 4BQ
15 NW SHR 50 SW BIL 40 SSW BZN 35 W MQM 35 SSE SUN 15 SSW TWF 45 ESE
OWY 40 S OWY 30 NE WMC 30 WSW WMC 25 NNW LOL 25 ESE NFL 50 SSE NFL
70 SSE NFL 70 NNW BIH 45 SSE TVL 40 NW TVL 30 SE RBL 30 S RBL 35 ENE
UKI 15 NE UKI 50 NNW UKI 10 SE EKA 20 NW MFR 20 NNW RDM 40 SSW PDT
15 SW LWS 20 W 3TH 45 NW GPI 120 NW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 27, 11:38z for portions of PBZ

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