The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 22, 17:28z for portions of LMK862
WUUS02 KWNS 221729
PTSDY2
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2024
VALID TIME 231200Z - 241200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... TORNADO ...
0.02 46807104 44686873 44276886 43836961 43037065 42507094
41297305 40607391 39727526 39627622 39827714 39927856
39817941 39128139 39268197 39638228 40938079 41938011
43037882 43907626 44487546 45497492
0.05 45687109 44617015 44087001 43537037 42527160 41997270
41787372 42687435 43297461 44457443 46087373
0.10 43887303 44047236 44267125 44167092 43877089 43207132
42547236 42547283 42857342 43207347 43887303
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49540023 48320036 47720041 47230279 46600556 46240760
46510926 47610954 48950959 49480965
0.05 46237136 44786981 43916993 42607134 41637313 41057455
40447871 39128097 38358239 38338375 38738395 39718335
40768240 41688064 42727872 43347650 44297527 45317450
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49410020 47700037 46580567 46260757 46420929 47090956
49020970 49820970
0.05 37767340 37708104 35268653 34649149 34979259 35339272
35789275 37158950 38918588 40008398 41108258 42777984
99999999 47257013 46126972 45216878 43576766
0.05 39910205 40670099 41180003 41039947 40209928 39349960
38780059 38770201 39540227 39910205
0.15 45797159 44466948 43616935 42487078 41657211 40687365
39627498 38967607 38857716 39457804 39527901 39038122
38398235 38338329 38618373 39548328 40668175 41538030
42687886 43737612 44327540 45537471
0.30 44227084 43797092 43247120 42517226 42377340 42787373
43807314 44397187 44227084
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 43887303 44397187 44227084 43877089 43247120 42517226
42377340 42787373 43887303
SLGT 45687109 45227069 44466948 43616935 42487078 40687365
39627498 38967607 38857716 39457804 39527901 39038122
38398235 38338329 38618373 39548328 40668175 41538030
42687886 43737612 44327540 45497473
MRGL 39910205 40670099 41180003 41039947 40209928 39349960
38780059 38770201 39540227 39910205
MRGL 49410020 47700037 46600556 46240760 46420929 47090956
49500970
MRGL 37757469 37708104 35268653 34649149 34979259 35339272
35789275 37158950 38918588 40008398 41108258 42777984
99999999 47257013 46126972 45216878 43666772
TSTM 29298561 30678505 30998443 31848388 32978422 32478497
31888723 31978877 33269329 34469484 35429508 36199455
37589078 38598864 40118651 41418528 41958355 42548331
43248472 43528592 43248805 43528987 44539215 45639347
47469456 50289498 99999999 49579729 47119809 46599985
45910558 45550904 45661062 46651104 47991072 49961048
99999999 31721648 33451684 34041713 34791693 35681612
38011585 40331242 40740934 40540718 40130602 39690524
40110364 40750267 41530203 43020079 43429948 43209813
42319726 41249731 40159799 39019913 37550082 36130102
35070146 33030538 33060711 32860852 32150889 30780840
99999999 28840125 29459957 30119805 29949637 28539494
99999999 47437043 46566634
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N
RUT 30 WNW MWN 25 E MWN 35 WNW PWM 15 E CON 25 NW ORH PSF ALB 25 N
RUT.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N
BML 45 NNE BML 20 ENE AUG 50 E PWM 15 NE BOS 10 ENE JFK 20 SE PHL 35
WSW DOV DCA MRB 50 E MGW 25 SSE PKB 10 E HTS 40 W HTS 50 SE LUK 40
SW CMH 25 SW CAK 25 WNW FKL 20 SSW BUF 20 SSW ART 40 NE ART 40 N
MSS.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW
GLD 35 ENE IML 25 SW BBW 30 SSE BBW 40 SSW EAR 15 ESE HLC 60 SW HLC
35 SSE ITR 20 N ITR 40 NNW GLD.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 NNE
MOT 50 E N60 20 NE MLS 55 NE BIL 25 E 3HT LWT 65 N HVR.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
WAL BKW 45 NNE HSV 40 NE PBF 25 NW LIT 20 ENE RUE 35 SSW FLP CGI 45
ESE BMG 15 ENE DAY 20 N MFD 50 NNE ERI ...CONT... 105 WNW CAR 90 W
HUL 30 N BGR 65 SSE BHB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW AAF 15 SSE MAI
40 W MGR 30 NE ABY 40 WNW MCN CSG 35 NNW GZH 25 S MEI 25 W ELD 40 NW
DEQ 25 SE MKO 25 WNW FYV 25 SW FAM 20 ESE SLO 30 NNW IND 30 N FWA 20
SSE ARB 20 N DTW 30 NNW LAN 30 NNE MKG 20 NNW MKE 25 NE LNR 40 SW
EAU 30 ENE STC 15 ESE BJI 95 N RRT ...CONT... 60 NNW HCO 30 ENE JMS
45 ESE BIS 35 NNW 4BQ 30 SW BIL 10 WSW LVM 45 E HLN 45 NE GTF 100
NNW HVR ...CONT... 60 S CZZ 40 WSW TRM 20 ENE RAL 10 WSW DAG 60 WSW
LAS 65 E TPH 30 ENE DPG 25 NNE VEL 20 E CAG 55 WSW FCL 20 WSW DEN 20
WSW AKO 30 SSE SNY 55 SE AIA 15 NW VTN 25 SSW 9V9 40 S MHE 25 NNE
OFK 15 S OLU 40 SE HSI 20 WNW RSL 25 SSW GCK 35 NE BGD 20 SE AMA 30
SSE SRR 15 SE TCS 25 NW SVC 55 SW SVC 85 ESE DUG ...CONT... 40 SSW
DRT 25 WNW HDO 25 WSW AUS 45 S CLL 50 SE LBX ...CONT... 120 WNW CAR
75 ENE HUL.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 22, 17:28z for portions of LMK---------------
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