The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 21, 12:52z for portions of IWX340
WUUS01 KWNS 211253
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT FRI JUN 21 2024
VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39121130 39280857 38590782 37790765 36740833 36371026
36141222 36791285 38011227 39121130
0.02 43490038 44029904 44369738 44539626 44769488 45209222
44698923 43708834 42948855 42719119 42089593 40800156
40740412 41250552 42200650 44040798 45521045 46781265
48141275 48991057 49010870 44700504 43220290 43160127
43490038
0.05 45390889 46651124 47841135 48140992 47680827 46970748
45960720 45370737 45390889
0.05 43249389 42649641 42599825 42919966 43459985 43719907
44479438 44739278 44449024 43898985 43449057 43249389
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49240824 47470597 44290330 43740168 44469954 45549653
45639114 44328727 43068675 42338743 41829535 40949914
39760252 39300556 36610685 35510833 35231119 35671303
36391379 38511344 40731154 41571095 43920981 45461122
46781385 48601499 49581388 49240824
0.15 36651285 38011227 39111134 39380926 38510796 37630784
36730838 36331047 36181224 36651285
0.15 42909381 41869827 40920191 40670411 41180550 42020646
43640740 45230965 46551205 48161264 48771117 48600853
45790607 43610350 43170132 43599957 44559702 44049403
42909381
SIGN 45260927 45921026 46581178 47721182 48121087 48040856
46970734 45010695 44770723 45260927
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 40827402 39977668 39807869 40208103 40828318 41588453
42518440 43458480 43798462 44018418 43928334 43728314
42818298 42268261 41878113 41998007 43077726 43537494
43557396 43047233 42707144 42407107 41917101 41327145
40827402
0.05 39040560 36490659 34270904 32450923 30750892 30831059
33671159 35211257 36381383 38511344 40791143 41591113
42751053 43910985 45381140 46721394 48521500 49511393
49340828 47570607 44150326 43730158 44069966 45609639
45659140 44288728 42988672 42358752 41749516 40200078
39370266 39040560
0.15 36591278 37991236 39111134 39350921 38460804 37770787
36730838 36311038 36121217 36591278
0.15 40670411 41190545 42050652 43620750 45270966 46591213
48211260 48721121 47950873 45070543 43610342 43090120
43529918 44859644 44979239 44318961 43828873 43138886
42849057 42909386 41519941 40840199 40670411
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 37991236 39111134 39380926 38510796 37630784 36730838
36311038 36121217 36651285 37991236
SLGT 48771117 48600853 45790607 44010398 43610342 43490292
43170132 43599957 44499719 44859644 44979239 44318961
43828873 43138886 42849057 42909381 40840199 40670411
41180550 42050652 43620750 45230965 46591213 48161264
48771117
MRGL 43798462 44018418 43928334 43728314 42818298 42268261
41878113 41998007 43077726 43537494 43557396 42707144
42407107 41917101 41327145 40827402 39977668 39807869
40208103 40828318 41588453 42518440 43458480 43798462
MRGL 30841060 33671159 35211257 36381383 38511344 41001135
41591113 43910985 45381140 46721394 48521500 48601499
49521394 99999999 49340828 47470597 44290330 43800185
43750165 45609639 45659140 45639114 44328727 42988672
42338743 41749516 40200078 39370266 39040560 36490659
34270904 32450923 30830893
TSTM 49770042 48049632 47499190 46818631 46278273 99999999
44197988 43497873 43427791 43497676 44237576 44537416
43887191 42667084 41717073 41047163 40557359 40127549
39197740 37877852 35848200 35778248 35988308 36678269
38108115 38598135 38588270 39718392 40978611 40439232
40029472 38820023 38150122 37250124 35840064 35430061
34540130 34090182 33080381 32360448 31470525 30730583
99999999 28900450 30610256 30379736 30929245 29378807
99999999 29558683 30538631 32028377 33498185 34977849
35367459 99999999 30961197 34451309 37311473 39101463
42091208 43981203 45471318 46961558 49551784
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW
BCE 45 SW PUC 45 WNW GJT MTJ 35 N DRO 10 W FMN 75 SE PGA 10 N GCN 50
SE SGU 25 NNW BCE.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E
CTB 55 E HVR 40 NW 4BQ 45 W RAP 35 SSW RAP 40 S RAP 45 WNW VTN 20 SW
9V9 20 NW BKX 30 S VVV 40 E MSP 35 S CWA 15 SW OSH 25 E MSN 30 NNE
DBQ 30 SW MCW 30 NW IML 50 SE CYS 15 SE LAR 40 ENE RWL 35 SE WRL 50
SE LVM HLN 35 SSW CTB 55 E CTB.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW
MBS 35 N MBS 20 WNW BAX 10 WSW BAX 15 NNW MTC 25 SSE MTC 50 NE CLE
10 SE ERI 20 E ROC 35 NE UCA 25 NW GFL 30 NW BOS BOS 15 N EWB 10 NNE
BID 10 NE EWR 20 SSE CXY 40 SSW AOO 20 W HLG 30 ESE FDY 40 W TOL 15
NNE JXN 35 W MBS 30 NW MBS.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW
FHU 30 NE PHX 40 NNW PRC 50 SSW SGU 25 WNW MLF 25 SW EVW 20 NNW EVW
50 ENE JAC 30 SSW BZN 15 SSE MSO 35 WNW GPI 40 WNW GPI 85 N GPI
...CONT... 85 NE HVR 45 SSW OLF 20 NW RAP 20 SW PHP 20 S PHP 20 N
VVV 55 N EAU 55 NNE EAU 25 ENE MTW 30 WSW MKG 35 SSE RAC 20 SE DNS
10 W MCK 20 WNW ITR 50 WNW COS 40 NNE 4SL 55 E SOW 35 SE SAD 60 SE
DUG.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 NNE MOT TVF 30 S
ELO 65 ENE MQT 80 E ANJ ...CONT... 105 NNW BUF 40 N BUF 25 NNW ROC
40 NW SYR 20 NE ART 10 N SLK 25 NE LEB 20 NNE BOS 15 E EWB 10 SSW
BID 10 ESE JFK 20 NW PHL 30 NW DCA 20 SSW CHO 35 WNW HKY 20 ESE HSS
15 WNW HSS 20 NW TRI 20 N BKW 20 NE CRW 15 NNW HTS 20 SE DAY 50 W
FWA 25 NNE IRK 20 NNE STJ 45 SSW HLC 30 WNW GCK 20 NW LBL 45 ENE BGD
50 ESE BGD 35 NE PVW 10 SW PVW 45 ESE ROW 10 W CNM 35 SW GDP 80 SSE
ELP ...CONT... 105 SSW MRF 30 SE FST 20 ENE AUS 35 SSW ESF 80 E BVE
...CONT... 65 SSE PNS 20 SE CEW 40 NE ABY 10 NE AGS 20 E FAY 60 E
HSE ...CONT... 100 SW TUS 40 WSW PRC 25 SSW P38 15 SE ELY 10 ESE MLD
30 N IDA 35 WNW DLN 45 SSW 3TH 105 NE OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 21, 12:52z for portions of IWX---------------
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