The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 20, 20:01z for portions of IWX154
WUUS01 KWNS 202002
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT THU JUN 20 2024
VALID TIME 202000Z - 211200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 43370244 42490180 41360248 40790338 40770404 41040524
41640530 42740541 43250435 43370244
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 43446773 41717057 41477436 41287684 41228144 41228347
41418437 42748587 43538561 43118137 43078067 43937722
44827187 45136873 44916777 43446773
0.05 37021143 39630886 42350683 44060329 44470087 43769724
42849689 41899757 40470204 39600342 37710466 36880574
36220681 34920930 35591091 37021143
0.05 47730641 47580494 46600474 46210543 46250955 46941175
47771150 47950944 47730641
0.15 41840029 40820219 40140379 40230519 42750540 43240432
43380243 43250114 42860004 41840029
SIGN 41150404 41520493 41940509 42400497 42600414 42510335
41990290 41200330 41150404
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 36871199 39420949 42260727 44060330 44450088 44509992
44349579 44059444 43269423 42699473 42219630 40450208
39600340 37710466 36880575 36090698 35240869 34840968
35541139 36871199
0.05 45747104 45736889 45876674 99999999 42566899 41727056
41247665 40538005 40708023 41228144 41228339 41438436
42748588 43528562 43138161
0.15 40810223 40140379 40230519 42760540 43240433 44059957
43769835 42919819 42159871 40810223
0.15 45607125 45477003 44836884 44216808 43446857 42077086
42407309 43887688
0.15 37430998 38900759 38720674 38100627 37440629 36010862
36000957 36421000 37430998
0.15 42018249 41878351 42558511 43038556 43218531 42518205
SIGN 42930405 42990265 42380169 41620196 41220314 41430429
42230473 42680452 42930405
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 40220518 42740540 43240430 44049964 43789841 42899819
42159871 40810223 40140379 40220518
SLGT 42766970 42047083 42417314 43107494 43877690 99999999
45597128 45447000 44836879 44216808 43446857
SLGT 37420629 36010864 36000958 36431000 37440999 38910760
38730675 38100627 37420629
SLGT 42028250 41878354 42568512 43038557 43218532 42508205
MRGL 47771150 47950944 47580494 46600474 46210543 46250955
46941175 47771150
MRGL 42356939 41717057 41247665 40517997 41228144 41228339
41438436 42748587 43538562 43128143 99999999 45727098
45736915 45816700
MRGL 39420949 42260727 44060330 44470087 44509992 44349579
44059444 43269423 42699473 40450208 39600340 37710466
36880575 36090698 34920930 34960939 34840968 35541139
36871199 39420949
TSTM 41426945 41167278 40847670 40167834 38887946 38298004
38358121 38428223 38258358 38738481 39488565 40178749
40088951 39469191 39029445 38839620 39519825 39979912
40030066 39560177 37840212 35910246 34860083 34409891
34619779 35829618 35809516 35099446 34199444 33709547
33779641 33289793 32179867 31139694 30799437 31069154
30349028 30098858 31728798 31558599 30778445 30648339
30838277 31018189 31678165 32568086 33767938 34687766
34457494 99999999 45857133 46806646 99999999 50539409
48360066 47150121 46749766 46419465 45619218 44109025
44158883 44738758 44558530 44588225 45057901 99999999
30760674 31490670 32100695 32330770 32220854 31730932
30780977 99999999 31121189 35601353 37131389 38801288
41661009 43150991 43831037 45511047 46531136 47191304
47371559 47321827 47832101 48202165 50412370
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
FCL DGW 65 ENE DGW 25 NW 9V9 20 W MHE 40 NE ONL 20 S ONL 40 WNW IML
30 W AKO 20 SSW FCL.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ESE
PSM 25 SSE BOS 10 E PSF 25 E UCA 45 WSW ART ...CONT... 65 N BML 70
NW BGR BGR 20 SE BHB 70 S BHB.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
ALS 35 NNE GUP 55 NW GUP 85 SSW 4BL 30 WSW 4BL 35 NNE MTJ 15 NE GUC
45 SE GUC 25 W ALS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
MTC 25 NNE TOL 30 SE GRR 10 NNW GRR 25 NNE GRR 40 E MTC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW
GTF 45 SSE HVR 30 NNW GDV 30 NW BHK 25 SE MLS 20 SE 3HT 25 NNE HLN
20 NNW GTF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE
HYA 15 W HYA 15 E IPT 15 E PIT 20 N CAK 20 NE FDY 30 WSW TOL 20 WSW
GRR 40 NE MKG 80 ENE MTC ...CONT... 75 N BML 65 NNW BGR 45 ESE HUL.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
U28 30 N RWL 10 W RAP 30 WNW PIR 20 ENE PIR 40 WSW RWF 30 N FRM 30
SSE FRM 25 ENE SLB 25 W IML 25 NNE LIC 35 NNW TAD 40 S ALS 4SL 50 SW
GUP 50 SW GUP 45 NNE SOW 30 NNE FLG 30 W PGA 45 NE U28.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE ACK 20 E BDR
30 SSE IPT 10 S AOO 20 E EKN 40 NNE SSU 20 E CRW 20 ENE HTS 50 NNW
JKL 35 SW LUK 35 ESE IND DNV 20 NNE SPI 45 NNE COU 10 SE MKC 35 SE
MHK 30 W CNK 50 S EAR 15 SSW MCK 15 NNW GLD 35 ESE LAA 10 SE DHT 45
NW CDS 25 SE LTS 35 E FSI 30 SSW TUL 15 NE MKO 10 ENE RKR 10 NNW DEQ
PRX 10 S DUA 35 NNE MWL 30 W SEP 30 E TPL 40 SE LFK 40 SSW HEZ 25 N
MSY 35 SE GPT 60 WNW GZH 20 S TOI 25 NNW TLH 10 SSW VLD 30 E VLD 30
WSW SSI 40 NNW SSI 35 NE SAV 25 WNW CRE 10 SSW OAJ 65 SE HSE
...CONT... 80 NNE EFK 75 E CAR ...CONT... 125 NNE RRT 30 ENE MOT 35
NW BIS 40 WSW FAR 25 W BRD 60 NNW EAU 10 N VOK 20 NW OSH 30 ENE GRB
20 SE TVC 55 E OSC 145 N BUF ...CONT... 75 SSW ELP 30 SW ELP 40 WNW
ELP DMN 35 SW SVC 25 NE DUG 50 SSW DUG ...CONT... 90 SW TUS 35 NE
IGM 15 WNW SGU 25 NNE MLF 55 W RKS 40 NNE BPI 25 NE JAC 15 S LVM 30
E HLN 35 N 3DU 20 SSW 3TH 40 WSW GEG 50 NW EAT 60 SE BLI 125 NNW
BLI.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 20, 20:01z for portions of IWX---------------
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