The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 9, 16:31z for portions of LMK390
WUUS01 KWNS 091633
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1131 AM CDT WED JUL 09 2025
VALID TIME 091630Z - 101200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 46570204 47250146 47390069 47349963 46269913 45449895
44619893 42920066 42760194 43400277 44950308 45800251
46570204
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 40017710 40537560 40657460 40387422 39937438 39517509
38447667 37327853 36497952 35958012 35788106 36038160
36848134 37358080 38207958 39287810 40017710
0.05 42838194 42078385 41928481 42108542 42598551 43868503
44758370 45228194
0.05 49419620 47219661 44629668 43659637 42579626 41679599
40779570 39679501 38539501 38039536 36939662 36439745
36029860 35899935 36069997 36810051 37970088 39030093
39820135 41760311 43100371 44770644 45330697 45560677
45580574 45490472 46260344 47560235 48290173 49430129
0.15 45990288 46990194 47340127 47349975 46799933 46169934
44679964 43960010 42880098 42490136 42490217 43010280
43780410 44600417 45390371 45990288
SIGN 47360128 47339976 46809938 46169936 44779963 44280021
43720119 43560280 43700364 43860416 44660422 45490364
45790313 46990198 47360128
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 49330518 47910571 46920578 46410489 46220394 46450326
47700168 49330075 99999999 49349587 47229638 46329639
45199645 44479604 43019539 41119487 39199415 37979451
37039570 36539715 36029866 35899939 36069997 36830054
37790083 39040094 41590250 43030390 44780698 44860862
44691049 44191105 43671108 43021069 42791012 42560916
42280863 41840843 41310841 40800882 40231012 39881139
39801221 40031306 40651362 41451380 41981399 42491468
42321639 42531766 42931864 43511909 44411836 44891567
45121501 45651440 46421309 47421165 48201173 48801107
49500994
0.05 36727545 36177714 35207855 34067961 32058061 30988117
30718164 30798221 31608347 33138327 34408353 35338432
35888522 36748552 37538495 37868451 38838228 39487974
40877591 40967479 40697371 40057278
0.05 42648148 41208302 41018372 41088464 41768541 42588549
43738487 44358387 44768204
0.15 37917442 37387635 36947738 36497810 35367925 34468021
34158094 34998211 36278156 36988125 37638052 38497929
39307801 39977633 40117563 40147499 39927429 39367341
0.15 44430344 45180316 45890229 47000120 47379998 47249875
46509794 45729713 43749627 42509573 41399538 40709526
40199539 39819596 39669670 39659803 39909971 40660109
42280215 43160289 43690338 44430344
0.15 45091046 44961188 45321224 45621227 46511149 47131036
47250876 47060767 46590727 46140702 45750745 45420913
45091046
0.30 43910277 44550253 45120159 45420035 45519942 45419874
45189818 44869775 44599754 44599754 43919773 43509797
43029840 42669886 42409984 42250069 42660168 43290248
43910277
SIGN 46780077 46949978 46769858 46299787 45939743 45559725
44849733 43859774 43509799 43029838 42609894 42260046
42270136 42430213 42970276 43690339 44380351 45210312
46160196 46620128 46780077
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 44530244 45210156 45469997 45509878 45099809 44599758
43949765 42729879 42509945 42350046 42380094 42790194
43380278 43970278 44530244
SLGT 37857464 37387635 36947738 36497810 34468021 34158094
34998211 36988125 37638052 39307801 39977633 40117563
40147499 39927429 39457355
SLGT 42020216 43110290 43890412 44590429 45450368 45990288
46990194 47340127 47379998 47249875 46509794 45759708
45289687 44369659 43269599 40789521 40279539 39919573
39669644 39689803 39899979 40610097 42020216
SLGT 45611231 46591139 47111049 47320874 47100763 46230696
45680751 45320941 45031044 44971197 45611231
MRGL 36727545 36177714 35207855 34067961 30988117 30718164
30798221 31608347 33138327 34408353 35338432 35888522
36748552 37538495 37868451 38838228 39487974 40877591
40967479 40697371 40057278
MRGL 42648148 41208302 41018372 41088464 41768541 42598551
43868503 44758370 45228194
MRGL 49330518 47910571 46920578 46410489 46220394 46440329
48280166 49490120 99999999 49349587 47169647 45079637
44479604 43019539 41119487 39199415 37979451 37039570
36029860 35899939 36069997 36830054 37970088 39040094
40050156 41760311 42750355 43020380 44780706 44810792
44820912 44661044 44231119 43101072 42821042 42580916
42360870 41850852 41450845 40840875 40280986 40021097
39821225 40031315 40651362 41981399 42491468 42321639
42531766 42931864 43511909 44411836 44891567 45121501
45651440 46421309 47421165 48201173 48801107 49500994
TSTM 49049234 47429280 46409291 44559234 43609180 43079066
43038893 43588722 45978465 47408473 99999999 43787774
42517887 41547978 41047999 40867910 41597707 42127555
42707516 43307573 43777696 43787774 99999999 46607051
44977005 43496868 99999999 29940493 30480389 31310342
32390331 33180334 33120401 31750517 31110656 99999999
31171200 32371130 33371141 33821165 34131151 34231117
34300984 34300863 35160725 36250685 36570642 36600525
36890427 38110359 39650330 40800485 42370462 43710605
44510764 44420807 44110841 43580789 42010630 40150631
39190778 37681010 37501190 38251273 40361358 41771439
41861580 41691926 41772061 41972125 42542155 43162132
44411973 46041628 47181387 47791301 48461278 49341214
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE
RAP 60 SSE Y22 25 ESE MBG 20 W ABR 30 SSE ABR 30 SW ATY 20 ENE MHE
20 NNW ONL 30 E ANW 30 WSW ANW 25 NNE MHN 60 E CDR 40 NNE CDR 15 ESE
RAP 45 NE RAP.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
WAL 35 NNW ORF 40 S RIC 15 SSW AVC 35 NW FLO 20 NE CAE 10 NE GSP 20
S BLF 15 SW SSU MRB 30 ESE CXY 25 NW PHL 15 SW TTN 10 SSE NEL 55 E
ACY.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
AIA 20 NNE CDR 55 W RAP 65 ENE GCC 10 SW 2WX 35 W Y22 45 ENE DIK 25
SSE N60 55 NE BIS 20 N JMS 45 SE JMS 45 NW VVV 20 W VVV 10 ENE BKX
35 SW OTG 10 ENE SDA 20 NE FNB 15 SSW FNB 40 NNE MHK 25 WNW CNK 35 N
HLC 35 E IML 35 E AIA.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
BTM 30 E HLN 50 W LWT 40 ENE LWT 85 E LWT 55 WSW MLS 50 E BIL 55 SW
BIL 40 NE WEY 30 NNE MQM 25 SSE BTM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
ORF 35 ESE RZZ 25 NE FAY 10 SE FLO 20 SE SSI 15 N JAX 35 SSE AYS 40
NNE MGR 35 NE MCN 35 NNW AHN 40 SSW TYS 10 WSW CSV 50 ESE BWG 40 SSW
LEX 15 SSE LEX 25 S UNI 15 SE MGW 30 WNW ABE 35 WNW EWR JFK 55 SSE
ISP.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E
MTC 35 ENE FDY FDY 30 ENE FWA 35 SSE AZO 20 S GRR 40 SSW HTL 25 SSW
APN 80 E APN.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNE
OLF 15 SSW OLF 35 N MLS 30 W BHK 20 ESE BHK 35 SW DIK 15 W MOT 85 N
MOT ...CONT... 35 NNW ROX 25 NE FAR 15 S VVV 40 ENE BKX 15 SW SPW 40
NE SDA 25 ENE MKC 55 N JLN 25 NE BVO 45 WSW END 40 NNW CSM 65 NW CSM
30 ESE LBL 10 WNW GCK 45 ESE GLD 35 S IML 25 SW AIA 25 WSW CDR 40
WNW CDR SHR 45 W SHR 20 NNW COD 35 E WEY 30 S WEY 35 S JAC 25 NW BPI
25 SW LND 30 S LND 35 ENE RKS 35 ESE RKS 50 NE VEL 20 WSW VEL 30 NNW
PUC 35 NNE U24 15 SW DPG 20 ESE ENV 40 SSW BYI 10 W TWF 30 NNW OWY
10 ESE REO 45 WNW REO 10 SW BNO 40 SW BKE 20 E MYL 55 W SMN 45 NW
SMN 15 S 3DU 15 WSW GTF 40 SE CTB 60 ENE CTB 65 N HVR.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE INL HIB 45 SW
DLH 45 N RST 35 SW LSE 25 WSW LNR 20 ESE MSN 45 SSE MTW 30 NNE PLN
65 NNW ANJ ...CONT... 45 N ROC 30 SSW BUF 10 NNE FKL 25 SSW FKL 25
SSW DUJ 25 NNW IPT 25 ESE BGM 35 SSE UCA 20 WNW UCA 50 WSW ART 45 N
ROC ...CONT... 120 W CAR 45 NNW AUG 70 SSW BHB ...CONT... 60 WSW MRF
10 NE MRF 35 SSW INK 20 SSW HOB 35 NNW HOB 30 ESE ROW 20 WSW GDP 50
SSW ELP ...CONT... 90 SW TUS 25 NW TUS 35 E PHX 35 NE PHX 55 NNE PHX
60 SSW INW 10 ENE SOW 75 SW GNT 35 E GNT 15 NNE 4SL 50 NE 4SL 40 WSW
RTN 20 NE RTN LHX 35 NE LIC 25 S CYS 30 NW TOR 50 SSW GCC 35 WSW SHR
30 N WRL 25 WNW WRL 25 S WRL 50 ENE RWL 45 NE EGE 40 E GJT 35 ENE
U17 20 SE BCE 20 SE MLF 35 SE ENV 50 S TWF 20 ESE OWY 65 ESE LKV 20
N AAT 30 ESE LMT 30 NNE LMT 75 NNE LMT 70 NW BNO 35 WSW P69 20 NNE
MSO 65 SSW CTB 20 WSW CTB 50 NNE CTB.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 9, 16:31z for portions of LMK---------------
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