[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 16:25z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 16:25z for portions of PAH

192 
WUUS01 KWNS 081627
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT TUE JUL 08 2025

VALID TIME 081630Z - 091200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35550510 37440360 39240372 40930445 43880486 45970537
       46140430 45100329 43010230 41220080 39850079 38660007
       38379865 37789501 37159419 35849423 35229519 33919948
       33120050 32730127 32490287 32740521 33810579 35550510
0.05   45538750 44848800 44788857 45678924 46438914 46638885
       46678801 46328746 45538750
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   35059144 34209215 33349384 32789653 32799827 32980000
       32750126 32490288 32730524 33830583 35600511 37420355
       39240376 40930445 44000489 44970470 45310399 45120328
       43060233 41250084 39790079 38630007 38409872 39049447
       39709180 40658998 40678872 40198767 38978756 37348669
       36638674 36238763 35059144
0.05   34018118 34438136 35998133 36268119 38797954 40067871
       40767812 41917526 42577320 42647118 42157060 41497082
       40797283 39027438 37067597 35437723 34457835 33437943
       33378027 34018118
0.05   45538749 44838799 44808858 45698925 46458912 46658883
       46678798 46328746 45538749
0.15   36927700 36907797 37237886 37937917 39027871 40347743
       41217536 41457438 41237369 40557358 39627419 37307649
       36927700
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   39027871 40347742 41217536 41457438 41237369 40557358
       39627419 37307649 36927700 36907797 37237886 37937917
       39027871
MRGL   35600511 37440360 39240376 40930445 44000489 45970537
       46140430 45120328 43060233 41230080 39850079 38660007
       38409872 39049447 39709180 40658998 40678872 40198767
       38978756 37348669 36638674 36238763 35059144 34239213
       33369380 32779653 32799827 32990000 32730127 32490287
       32730524 33830583 35600511
MRGL   36268119 38797952 40077870 40797810 41917526 42577320
       42647118 42157060 41497082 40797283 39027438 35437723
       33437943 33378027 34008117 34438137 36018133 36268119
MRGL   46658883 46678800 46308746 45538748 44848799 44808856
       45678923 46458915 46658883
TSTM   27820037 29289997 30150033 30680166 30650332 30270461
       29530526 99999999 31111320 32161181 33021145 33491183
       34301346 35781399 36571321 36851233 36761113 35661002
       34840945 34610834 35770772 37720722 38510791 39130840
       39710818 40120741 41490629 43000619 43510663 43700742
       42900844 42940972 43591306 43921653 42631764 42451913
       42712074 42052268 42192337 42852369 44542262 45252147
       46521793 46901173 46330741 46780472 47830348 47850221
       46580169 45540140 45299950 44469799 43799663 43419529
       43659435 43899397 45609308 47239198 49109121 99999999
       42408209 41518387 40428609 39128555 39358368 40568213
       42497819 43507353 44657121 44276817 44646590

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW
MRB 30 WNW CXY 20 ESE AVP 30 SE MSV 30 SSE POU 10 ESE JFK 25 ENE ACY
30 NNW ORF 45 SSE RIC 15 NNE AVC 20 ESE LYH 30 SSW SHD 45 WSW MRB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LVS 40
S LHX LIC 25 SE CYS 40 SE GCC 35 N 4BQ 15 S BHK 35 SSE 2WX 40 ENE
CDR 10 NW LBF 25 SSW MCK 50 SSW HLC 30 S RSL 10 SE MKC 35 WSW UIN 15
W PIA 15 NE BMI DNV 35 SSW HUF 30 NNW BWG 30 SW BWG 30 SSW CKV 50
SSE BVX 10 WNW PBF 15 ESE TXK 20 ESE DAL 10 W MWL 45 NNW ABI 40 NNE
BGS 25 ESE HOB 50 E ALM 20 SSW 4CR LVS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
HKY 20 ESE EKN 25 SW AOO 15 WSW UNV 30 WNW MSV 10 NNE PSF 20 NNW BOS
25 SE BOS 15 SSE EWB 15 E ISP 30 SSE ACY 25 NNW EWN 35 WSW CRE 35 E
OGB CAE 35 NNW CAE 20 N HKY 40 NNE HKY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW
CMX 20 WNW MQT 15 SSE MQT 25 SW ESC 25 NNE GRB 30 NW GRB 10 ENE RHI
45 E IWD 40 SSW CMX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW LRD 50 W HDO
40 SW JCT 55 NE 6R6 30 SW FST 35 W MRF 95 SW MRF ...CONT... 130 SSW
GBN 50 W TUS 45 SE PHX 10 ENE PHX 65 WSW PRC 35 N IGM 40 SSE SGU 50
W PGA 20 ESE PGA 60 NE INW 50 NE SOW 45 SSW GNT 45 NNE GNT 50 NE DRO
MTJ GJT 45 NNE GJT 25 SSE CAG 35 WNW LAR 15 ENE CPR 45 N CPR 35 SE
WRL 10 S RIW 30 NE BPI 50 W IDA 30 NNW BOI 10 ENE REO 65 W REO 40
NNW LKV 25 SSE MFR 30 WSW MFR 50 SE OTH 30 SE SLE 30 SSW DLS 35 NNE
ALW 25 NNE HLN 65 NE BIL 25 S GDV 25 SSE ISN 40 WNW N60 45 WSW BIS
45 SE Y22 50 ESE MBG 15 ENE HON 15 NNE FSD 20 NNW SPW FRM 25 S MKT
45 E STC 25 W BFW 90 NNE ELO ...CONT... 40 ESE MTC TOL 40 WNW MIE 55
SE IND 45 ENE LUK 25 SE MFD 40 SE BUF 15 NNE GFL BML 15 SE BHB 60
ESE EPM.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 16:25z for portions of PAH

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