MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 5, 12:45 PM CDT ...New Aviation...697
FXUS64 KMOB 051745
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1245 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
Upper ridging continues to be dominant over the south-central
CONUS through the weekend. Upper troughing splits over the
southeastern CONUS with part of this retrograding westward across
the forecast area this weekend. Upper ridging then builds in
across the region for next week. As better moisture returns to the
area throughout the atmospheric column, more typical afternoon
scattered showers and storms are expected to become established by
late this weekend into next week as better moisture returns to
the area. Hot temperatures can be expected each day with highs
topping out in the lower to middle 90's and overnight lows in the
lower to middle 70's. Heat indices will generally stay below heat
advisory criteria in the 95 to 105 range, perhaps sneaking to near
advisory criteria by the middle of next week in the 100 to 107
range. A Low risk of rip currents remains through the weekend and
early next week. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours. However, we
are expecting brief drops in visibility and gusty/variable winds
up to 25 knots near scattered afternoon and early evening storms.
Added PROB30 groups to our coastal TAFs through late afternoon
before storms move inland in the evening. Light easterly winds
inland (southerly close to the coast) will become light northerly
tonight. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025
No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this
weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to
westerly flow for next week with showers and thunderstorms
increasing in coverage across the marine waters. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 72 93 73 92 73 93 74 94 / 10 30 10 50 10 50 10 60
Pensacola 75 93 76 91 77 92 77 92 / 10 30 10 50 10 40 20 60
Destin 78 93 79 92 79 92 80 92 / 20 30 20 40 10 40 20 50
Evergreen 71 96 71 96 72 95 73 94 / 10 20 10 40 10 30 10 50
Waynesboro 70 96 71 94 70 95 72 94 / 10 20 10 40 10 40 10 50
Camden 71 95 72 94 72 94 73 93 / 0 10 10 30 10 30 10 50
Crestview 72 95 72 94 72 94 73 94 / 10 30 10 60 10 50 10 70
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jul 5, 12:45 PM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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