Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 12:43z for portions of LMK  (Read 130 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 12:43z for portions of LMK

488 
WUUS01 KWNS 081244
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT TUE JUL 08 2025

VALID TIME 081300Z - 091200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35550510 37440360 39240372 40960441 43880486 45970537
       46140430 45090332 43060237 41230080 39850079 38660007
       38379865 37789501 37159419 35849423 35229519 33919948
       33380002 32730127 32490287 32740521 33810579 35550510
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   35059144 32869662 32799827 33769981 33580135 32650350
       32730524 33830583 35600511 37420355 39240376 40930445
       44000489 44970470 45310399 45120328 43060233 41340088
       39790079 38630007 38409872 39049447 39709180 40658998
       40678872 40198767 38978756 37348669 36638674 36238763
       35059144
0.05   36268119 38797954 41917526 42577320 42647118 42157060
       41497082 40797283 39027438 37067597 35437723 34457835
       33437943 33378027 34008117 34428137 36268119
0.15   36927700 36907797 37237886 37937917 39027871 39657789
       41217536 41457438 41237369 40557358 39627419 37307649
       36927700
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   39027871 39657789 41217536 41457438 41237369 40557358
       39627419 37307649 36927700 36907797 37237886 37937917
       39027871
MRGL   36268119 38797954 41917526 42577320 42647118 42157060
       41497082 40797283 39027438 35437723 33437943 33378027
       34008117 34428137 36268119
MRGL   35600511 37440360 39240376 40930445 44000489 45970537
       46140430 45120328 43060233 41230080 39850079 38660007
       38409872 39049447 39709180 40658998 40678872 40198767
       38978756 37348669 36638674 36238763 35059144 32869662
       32799827 33699970 33380002 32730127 32490287 32730524
       33830583 35600511
TSTM   31111320 32131178 33031108 33691124 33921172 33941260
       34421359 35781399 36571321 36851233 36631162 34661028
       34290943 34330890 35670804 38050733 40140700 41500642
       43000619 43510663 43700742 42900844 42940972 43591306
       43031605 42431814 42451913 42712074 42052268 42192337
       42852369 44542262 45252147 46621763 47331328 46900860
       46230329 43720062 42569842 42519637 42909520 43899397
       45609308 47239198 49109121 99999999 42408209 41518360
       40868411 40358423 40028352 40328261 42157850 45087092
       45286888 45296649 99999999 27820037 29289997 30080014
       30590102 30480184 30070240 29360239

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW
MRB 10 WSW HGR 20 ESE AVP 30 SE MSV 30 SSE POU 10 ESE JFK 25 ENE ACY
30 NNW ORF 45 SSE RIC 15 NNE AVC 20 ESE LYH 30 SSW SHD 45 WSW MRB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
HKY 15 ESE EKN 30 WNW MSV 10 NNE PSF 20 NNW BOS 25 SE BOS 15 SSE EWB
15 E ISP 30 SSE ACY 25 NNW EWN 35 WSW CRE 35 E OGB CAE 35 NNW CAE 40
NNE HKY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LVS 40
S LHX LIC 25 SE CYS 40 SE GCC 35 N 4BQ 15 S BHK 35 SSE 2WX 40 ENE
CDR 10 NW LBF 25 SSW MCK 50 SSW HLC 30 S RSL 10 SE MKC 35 WSW UIN 15
W PIA 15 NE BMI DNV 35 SSW HUF 30 NNW BWG 30 SW BWG 30 SSW CKV 50
SSE BVX 15 E DAL 10 W MWL 60 SSE CDS 70 NNW ABI 40 NNE BGS 25 ESE
HOB 50 E ALM 20 SSW 4CR LVS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 SSW GBN 50 W TUS
60 ESE PHX 50 ENE PHX 40 NNE PHX 50 NW PHX 60 SSE IGM 35 N IGM 40
SSE SGU 50 W PGA 20 SSW PGA 30 NNW SOW 30 E SOW 65 E SOW 35 NNW GNT
40 SSW GUC 35 N EGE 40 WNW LAR 15 ENE CPR 45 N CPR 35 SE WRL 10 S
RIW 30 NE BPI 50 W IDA 40 SSE BOI 20 SW REO 65 W REO 40 NNW LKV 25
SSE MFR 30 WSW MFR 50 SE OTH 30 SE SLE 30 SSW DLS 25 WSW PUW 45 N
3DU 40 ESE LWT 45 SSW DIK 50 SSW PIR 15 ENE ONL 10 N SUX 20 S SPW 25
S MKT 45 E STC 25 W BFW 90 NNE ELO ...CONT... 40 ESE MTC 10 ESE TOL
25 WSW FDY 30 N DAY 35 W CMH 25 NNE CMH 25 NNE BFD 30 NNE BML 35 N
BGR 35 NE EPM ...CONT... 60 WNW LRD 50 W HDO 35 SW JCT 60 SSW SJT 40
NE 6R6 10 W 6R6 50 SSW 6R6.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 8, 12:43z for portions of LMK

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