[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 21, 16:37z for portions of BOX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 21, 16:37z for portions of BOX

980 
WUUS01 KWNS 211638
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2025

VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49440020 49040049 47950157 47250305 47620427 48300473
       49640454
0.02   43388127 43218154 44458486 45008615 46308908 46888848
       46938726 47088574 47128414
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46967039 45316962 43987034 42777200 41927406 42087583
       42177728 44057955
0.05   42468211 42328277 42698403 43068559 43878790 44548976
       44989154 45039195 45259205 45489190 46479023 47378850
       48108627
0.05   49279901 46570199 45770451 45510622 46040759 47060783
       48700760 49540697
0.05   43529967 44939897 45579785 45669666 45129557 44529546
       43399631 42609716 41719867 41719964 42360007 43529967
0.15   45307168 43747263 43037369 42877532 43157654 44187785
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45737137 43737138 42547197 41897425 42137589 42257724
       44177963
0.05   42458191 42378259 42618393 43028552 44298905 44759048
       44989162 45029183 45139207 45479177 46419024 48198624
0.05   49489916 46500197 45740454 45570615 46230793 47260781
       48650756 49780692
0.15   45347170 44227235 43647265 43027376 42927529 43097632
       43237672 43997759
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   45297176 43727264 43057370 42887523 43157654 44067760
MRGL   42468218 42328265 43038547 44619006 44799085 44969148
       45039189 45199208 45439196 45629147 46579000 47388859
       48038642
MRGL   46917043 45246967 43997028 42657203 41937418 42247729
       43997940
MRGL   49559879 47880048 46560198 45770455 45500626 46060762
       46940790 48120778 48740759 49870695
MRGL   42390011 44969893 45609772 45669666 45159561 44499538
       43369643 42579716 41779855 41659967 42390011
TSTM   30890976 33960755 35640631 37770449 39960263 42790123
       44220215 44210743 43521186 41651479 41061670 41261795
       42551880 44041964 45811841 49631334 99999999 48116988
       47186898 46566842 45656782 44676767 43326834 99999999
       39787239 40297548 40727846 40738223 40878391 41538501
       43288918 43319228 42399483 40549655 38209825 35150015
       33930098 32550148 31900079 31629936 31449805 31339579
       31949401 32859212 34789098 36658934 37318751 37538646
       37328547 36598484 36118409 36208322 36168206 35938153
       35248127 34998035 35467925 35517770 35977409

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE
EFK 20 WNW LEB 20 SSW GFL 20 SSE UCA 20 W SYR 65 N ROC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE
MTC 20 SSE MTC 10 NNE GRR 20 WSW CWA 30 E EAU EAU 25 WNW EAU 35 NW
EAU 45 NNW EAU 50 N EAU IWD 15 NNW CMX 115 ENE CMX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 W
CAR 50 NW BGR 25 N PWM 20 SE EEN 25 NW POU 20 WNW ELM 80 NNW BUF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 N
DVL 45 SE MOT 40 ESE DIK 45 SSW BHK 40 W 4BQ 45 ENE BIL 75 E LWT 55
W GGW 55 NW GGW 115 N GGW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW
ANW 40 SW ABR 35 ENE ABR 25 NNW VVV 40 ESE VVV 15 WSW RWF 20 SE FSD
25 SSE YKN 30 E BUB 15 N BBW 15 SSW ANW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DUG 35 W ONM
15 W SAF 35 S PUB 35 ESE AKO 35 W VTN 30 WNW PHP 30 ENE WRL 10 E IDA
60 SSW TWF 35 NNE BAM 25 NNW WMC 50 W REO 45 NW BNO 20 SSW ALW 80
NNW CTB ...CONT... 120 NW CAR 50 WNW CAR 30 SW CAR 30 S HUL 35 WSW
EPM 80 S BHB ...CONT... 80 SSE ISP 25 S ABE 30 NNW AOO 15 ESE MFD 15
SW FDY 40 NNE FWA 15 NE MSN 45 SSE RST 25 SE SLB 20 NNE BIE 25 WNW
HUT 50 N CDS 45 ESE PVW 25 N BGS 40 NNW SJT 25 WSW BWD 40 WNW TPL 45
NNW UTS 35 SSW SHV 25 NNW MLU 60 WSW MEM 40 SSE CGI 35 SSW OWB 40 N
BWG 60 ENE BWG 45 NNE CSV 20 NNW TYS 30 NW HSS 30 SE TRI 15 NNW HKY
20 W CLT 35 ESE CLT 20 NNE SOP 15 ENE GSB 100 ENE HSE.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 21, 16:37z for portions of BOX

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