LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 31, 12:23 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...295
FXUS64 KLIX 311723
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1223 PM CDT Sat May 31 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025
Cold front has made it to the coast this morning and continue to
slowly move offshore today. This has already started bringing some
nice comfortable temps and dew pts to the northern half of the area
and this should continue southward this morning. The front will get
pushed back to at least the coast early Sunday and pivot between
Venice and Lafayette sending the western part of the front well
inland. Sunday should be another nice day, or at least most of it,
before rain and storm chances increase once again. Model consensus
has the area with light precip chances but we will bump these up a
bit. An MCS will begin to develop late today from the short wave
currently over the Dakotas. This feature will drop almost due
south today through Sunday bringing most of the storms into TX and
western LA by Sunday. We should see the complex of storms moving
through eastern Colorado tonight. Some of the outflow from this
may be able to spark some storms along the frontal boundary by
late Sunday so we have bumped up numbers across the area for this.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025
A diurnal driven few days of sh/ts for the start of the new week
then we should see another cold front moving SE by mid week
approaching the area, but this one looks to stall before getting
here. But it may be able to keep our rain chances in the normal
range for summer.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Sat May 31 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the period as high pressure
results in mostly clear skies and light winds.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 302 AM CDT Sat May 31 2025
A cold front is currently moving offshore and most winds over the
coastal waters have shifted to north at around 15kt. The front will
stall over the northern gulf later this morning. Winds will become
light and variable by late today. Light onshore flow will develop
once again Sun and slowly rise to 10-15kt by mid week. A small
window of very little storm activity will occur late this morning
through a good portion of Sun, but outside that window, chances for
strong or severe storms, although low, will remain.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 85 64 85 64 / 0 0 20 10
BTR 86 67 88 69 / 0 0 20 10
ASD 86 66 88 67 / 0 0 10 20
MSY 86 71 88 73 / 0 0 10 20
GPT 86 68 85 69 / 0 0 10 20
PQL 86 64 88 66 / 0 0 10 20
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...DM
MARINE...TE
Source:
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at May 31, 12:23 PM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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